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UEFA Europa LeagueUEFA Europa League· Kick-off : Thursday, August 20, 2026, 18:00 (UK time)

Beşiktaş vs Kauno Žalgiris: 3-0 result and AI prediction review

Review: prediction vs result

1X2 outcome correctExact score missedMost likely score before kick-off : 1-0

Final score: Beşiktaş 3-0 Kauno Žalgiris. The AI called the outcome correctly: it rated victory for Beşiktaş at 86%. The final score ranked 5th among the most likely scorelines (8.5%), behind 1-0. On goals, the model did not expect both teams to score (45%): correct; it pointed to over 2.5 goals (51%): correct.

Match analysis

Beşiktaş and Kauno Žalgiris met on Thursday, August 20, 2026, a UEFA Europa League fixture. Venue: Tüpraş Stadyumu, Istanbul. Before kick-off, our model gave Beşiktaş a 86% chance of winning, the draw 10% and Kauno Žalgiris 4%. On the correct score, 1-0 comes out on top (13.0%), followed by 2-0 (12.9%) and 1-1 (9.7%).

Beşiktaş are unbeaten in their last 5 matches (5 wins, 0 draws), scoring 6 and conceding 0. Over their last 5 matches, Kauno Žalgiris have 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats, scoring 5 and conceding 9. Beşiktaş therefore arrive in far better shape than Kauno Žalgiris. On average Beşiktaş score 1.20 and concede 0.00 goals per game; Kauno Žalgiris score 1.00 and concede 1.80.

Our data holds no recent head-to-head between Beşiktaş and Kauno Žalgiris: the prediction relies on each team's form and level. Beşiktaş out or doubtful: E. Ricardo. In double chance terms, "Beşiktaş or draw" stands at 96%, "Kauno Žalgiris or draw" at 14% and "no draw" at 90%.

Outcome probabilities (1X2)

86%
Beşiktaş (Win)
10%
Draw
4%
Kauno Žalgiris (Win)

Double chance

96%
Beşiktaş or draw
14%
Kauno Žalgiris or draw
90%
No draw

Most likely correct scores

Scores shown as Beşiktaş – Kauno Žalgiris. 1-0 is the single most likely scoreline (13.0%); the 5 scores below add up to 54% of all outcomes, which is why an exact score remains hard to call.

ScoreProbability
Beşiktaş 1-0 Kauno Žalgiris13.0%
Beşiktaş 2-0 Kauno Žalgiris12.9%
Beşiktaş 1-1 Kauno Žalgiris9.7%
Beşiktaş 2-1 Kauno Žalgiris9.6%
Beşiktaş 3-0 Kauno Žalgiris8.5%

Goals: both teams to score, over/under

With 1.98 expected goals for Beşiktaş and 0.74 for Kauno Žalgiris, "over 2.5 goals" is rated at 51% and "both teams to score" at 45%. Beşiktaş keep a clean sheet in 48% of scenarios, Kauno Žalgiris in 14%.

Probability
Beşiktaş expected goals1.98
Kauno Žalgiris expected goals0.74
Both teams to score45%
Over 1.5 goals76%
Over 2.5 goals51%
Over 3.5 goals29%
Beşiktaş clean sheet48%
Kauno Žalgiris clean sheet14%

Recent form

Latest matches played before this game in the competitions Elofoot covers.

Beşiktaş

DateOpponentScore
Aug 16, 2026Eyüpspor · Süper Lig1-0W
Aug 13, 2026Hradec Králové · UEFA Europa League1-0W
Aug 6, 2026Hradec Králové · UEFA Europa League1-0W
Jul 30, 2026FC Midtjylland · UEFA Europa League2-0W
Jul 23, 2026FC Midtjylland · UEFA Europa League1-0W

Kauno Žalgiris

DateOpponentScore
Aug 11, 2026Dinamo Zagreb · UEFA Champions League1-2L
Aug 4, 2026Dinamo Zagreb · UEFA Champions League0-5L
Jul 29, 2026KI Klaksvik · UEFA Champions League1-0W
Jul 21, 2026KI Klaksvik · UEFA Champions League0-0D
Jul 14, 2026Drita · UEFA Champions League3-2W

Head-to-head

Our data holds no recent head-to-head between Beşiktaş and Kauno Žalgiris: the prediction relies on each team's form and level.

Out and doubtful

Beşiktaş

  • E. Ricardo (out)

Kauno Žalgiris

No absences reported.

Other matches in this competition

Frequently asked questions

What is the Beşiktaş vs Kauno Žalgiris prediction?

Before the match, our AI gave Beşiktaş a 86% chance of winning, the draw 10% and Kauno Žalgiris 4%. Beşiktaş are therefore favourites. Final score: 3-0.

What is the most likely correct score for Beşiktaş vs Kauno Žalgiris?

1-0 (13.0%), followed by 2-0 (12.9%), 1-1 (9.7%), 2-1 (9.6%) and 3-0 (8.5%).

Will both teams score in Beşiktaş vs Kauno Žalgiris?

The probability that both Beşiktaş and Kauno Žalgiris score is 45%. Beşiktaş have a 48% chance of keeping a clean sheet, Kauno Žalgiris 14%.

How many goals should we expect in Beşiktaş vs Kauno Žalgiris?

The model expects 2.72 goals (1.98 for Beşiktaş, 0.74 for Kauno Žalgiris). Probabilities: over 1.5 goals 76%, over 2.5 goals 51%, over 3.5 goals 29%.

When and where is Beşiktaş vs Kauno Žalgiris played?

Thursday, August 20, 2026 at 18:00 (UK time), UEFA Europa League. Venue: Tüpraş Stadyumu, Istanbul.

What form are Beşiktaş and Kauno Žalgiris in?

Beşiktaş: 5 wins, 0 draws and 0 defeats in their last 5 matches (6 scored, 0 conceded). Kauno Žalgiris: 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches (5 scored, 9 conceded).

What was the Beşiktaş vs Kauno Žalgiris result, and was the prediction right?

Final score: Beşiktaş 3-0 Kauno Žalgiris. The AI called the outcome correctly: it rated victory for Beşiktaş at 86%. The final score ranked 5th among the most likely scorelines (8.5%), behind 1-0. On goals, the model did not expect both teams to score (45%): correct; it pointed to over 2.5 goals (51%): correct.

How is the Beşiktaş vs Kauno Žalgiris prediction calculated?

The model estimates each team's expected goals (1.98 for Beşiktaş, 0.74 for Kauno Žalgiris) from recent form, xG and standings, then applies a Poisson distribution: every possible score gets a probability, from which the 1X2, correct score, both teams to score and total goals are derived. Every figure is calculated, none is made up.

Go further

Key terms explained