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UEFA Europa LeagueUEFA Europa League· Kick-off : Thursday, August 20, 2026, 19:00 (UK time)

FK Crvena Zvezda vs Plzen: 3-0 result and AI prediction review

Review: prediction vs result

1X2 outcome correctExact score missedMost likely score before kick-off : 1-1

Final score: FK Crvena Zvezda 3-0 Plzen. The 1X2 prediction came good: victory for FK Crvena Zvezda was the model's favourite outcome (52%). The final score ranked 9th among the most likely scorelines (5.1%), behind 1-1. On goals, the model expected both teams to score (52%): missed; it pointed to under 2.5 goals (50%): missed.

Match analysis

FK Crvena Zvezda vs Plzen was played on Thursday, August 20, 2026 (UEFA Europa League). Venue: Stadium Rajko Mitić, Belgrade. Before kick-off, our model gave FK Crvena Zvezda a 52% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Plzen 23%. The most likely correct score is 1-1 (11.7%), ahead of 1-0 (11.5%) and 2-1 (9.6%).

Over their last 5 matches, FK Crvena Zvezda have 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats, scoring 11 and conceding 5. Plzen have won just one of their last 5 matches (3 draws, 1 defeat), scoring 10 and conceding 10. On recent form, there is little to separate the two teams. On average FK Crvena Zvezda score 2.20 and concede 1.00 goals per game; Plzen score 2.00 and concede 2.00.

Our data holds no recent head-to-head between FK Crvena Zvezda and Plzen: the prediction relies on each team's form and level. In double chance terms, "FK Crvena Zvezda or draw" stands at 77%, "Plzen or draw" at 48% and "no draw" at 75%.

Outcome probabilities (1X2)

52%
FK Crvena Zvezda (Win)
25%
Draw
23%
Plzen (Win)

Double chance

77%
FK Crvena Zvezda or draw
48%
Plzen or draw
75%
No draw

Most likely correct scores

Scores shown as FK Crvena Zvezda – Plzen. 1-1 is the single most likely scoreline (11.7%); the 5 scores below add up to 49% of all outcomes, which is why an exact score remains hard to call.

ScoreProbability
FK Crvena Zvezda 1-1 Plzen11.7%
FK Crvena Zvezda 1-0 Plzen11.5%
FK Crvena Zvezda 2-1 Plzen9.6%
FK Crvena Zvezda 2-0 Plzen9.4%
FK Crvena Zvezda 0-1 Plzen7.1%

Goals: both teams to score, over/under

The model expects 2.66 goals in total (1.64 for FK Crvena Zvezda, 1.02 for Plzen): over 2.5 goals has a 50% probability and both teams to score 52%. FK Crvena Zvezda keep a clean sheet in 36% of scenarios, Plzen in 19%.

Probability
FK Crvena Zvezda expected goals1.64
Plzen expected goals1.02
Both teams to score52%
Over 1.5 goals74%
Over 2.5 goals50%
Over 3.5 goals28%
FK Crvena Zvezda clean sheet36%
Plzen clean sheet19%

Recent form

Latest matches played before this game in the competitions Elofoot covers.

FK Crvena Zvezda

DateOpponentScore
Aug 11, 2026Hapoel Beer Sheva · UEFA Champions League0-2L
Aug 4, 2026Hapoel Beer Sheva · UEFA Champions League0-1L
Jul 29, 2026Larne · UEFA Champions League5-0W
Jul 21, 2026Larne · UEFA Champions League4-0W
Jul 3, 2026FC BW Linz · Club Friendlies2-2D

Plzen

DateOpponentScore
Jul 10, 2026BSC Young Boys · Club Friendlies3-5L
Jul 7, 2026FC Copenhagen · Club Friendlies1-1D
Jul 1, 2026Spartak Trnava · Club Friendlies1-1D
Jun 27, 2026Artis · Club Friendlies4-2W
Feb 26, 2026Panathinaikos · UEFA Europa League1-1D

Head-to-head

Our data holds no recent head-to-head between FK Crvena Zvezda and Plzen: the prediction relies on each team's form and level.

Out and doubtful

FK Crvena Zvezda

No absences reported.

Plzen

No absences reported.

Other matches in this competition

Frequently asked questions

What is the FK Crvena Zvezda vs Plzen prediction?

Before the match, our AI gave FK Crvena Zvezda a 52% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Plzen 23%. FK Crvena Zvezda are therefore favourites. Final score: 3-0.

What is the most likely correct score for FK Crvena Zvezda vs Plzen?

1-1 (11.7%), followed by 1-0 (11.5%), 2-1 (9.6%), 2-0 (9.4%) and 0-1 (7.1%).

Will both teams score in FK Crvena Zvezda vs Plzen?

The probability that both FK Crvena Zvezda and Plzen score is 52%. FK Crvena Zvezda have a 36% chance of keeping a clean sheet, Plzen 19%.

How many goals should we expect in FK Crvena Zvezda vs Plzen?

The model expects 2.66 goals (1.64 for FK Crvena Zvezda, 1.02 for Plzen). Probabilities: over 1.5 goals 74%, over 2.5 goals 50%, over 3.5 goals 28%.

When and where is FK Crvena Zvezda vs Plzen played?

Thursday, August 20, 2026 at 19:00 (UK time), UEFA Europa League. Venue: Stadium Rajko Mitić, Belgrade.

What form are FK Crvena Zvezda and Plzen in?

FK Crvena Zvezda: 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches (11 scored, 5 conceded). Plzen: 1 win, 3 draws and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches (10 scored, 10 conceded).

What was the FK Crvena Zvezda vs Plzen result, and was the prediction right?

Final score: FK Crvena Zvezda 3-0 Plzen. The 1X2 prediction came good: victory for FK Crvena Zvezda was the model's favourite outcome (52%). The final score ranked 9th among the most likely scorelines (5.1%), behind 1-1. On goals, the model expected both teams to score (52%): missed; it pointed to under 2.5 goals (50%): missed.

How is the FK Crvena Zvezda vs Plzen prediction calculated?

The model estimates each team's expected goals (1.64 for FK Crvena Zvezda, 1.02 for Plzen) from recent form, xG and standings, then applies a Poisson distribution: every possible score gets a probability, from which the 1X2, correct score, both teams to score and total goals are derived. Every figure is calculated, none is made up.

Go further

Key terms explained