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UEFA Europa LeagueUEFA Europa League· Kick-off : Thursday, August 20, 2026, 18:00 (UK time)

Universitatea Craiova vs Ararat-Armenia: 1-1 result and AI prediction review

Universitatea CraiovaUniversitatea Craiova1 – 1Ararat-ArmeniaArarat-Armenia

Review: prediction vs result

1X2 outcome missedExact score foundMost likely score before kick-off : 1-1

Final score: Universitatea Craiova 1-1 Ararat-Armenia. The outcome was missed: the model favoured victory for Universitatea Craiova (49%), while a draw was rated at only 25%. The exact score 1-1 was the most likely scoreline in our grid (12.0%). On goals, the model expected both teams to score (52%): correct; it pointed to under 2.5 goals (49%): correct.

Match analysis

Universitatea Craiova vs Ararat-Armenia was played on Thursday, August 20, 2026 (UEFA Europa League). Venue: Stadionul Ion Oblemenco, Craiova. Before kick-off, our model gave Universitatea Craiova a 49% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Ararat-Armenia 26%. The most likely correct score is 1-1 (12.0%), ahead of 1-0 (11.2%) and 2-1 (9.4%).

Over their last 5 matches, Universitatea Craiova have 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat, scoring 6 and conceding 5. Over their last 5 matches, Ararat-Armenia have 2 wins, 0 draws and 3 defeats, scoring 7 and conceding 8. On recent form, there is little to separate the two teams. On average Universitatea Craiova score 1.20 and concede 1.00 goals per game; Ararat-Armenia score 1.40 and concede 1.60.

Our data holds no recent head-to-head between Universitatea Craiova and Ararat-Armenia: the prediction relies on each team's form and level. In double chance terms, "Universitatea Craiova or draw" stands at 74%, "Ararat-Armenia or draw" at 51% and "no draw" at 75%.

Outcome probabilities (1X2)

49%
Universitatea Craiova (Win)
25%
Draw
26%
Ararat-Armenia (Win)

Double chance

74%
Universitatea Craiova or draw
51%
Ararat-Armenia or draw
75%
No draw

Most likely correct scores

Scores shown as Universitatea Craiova – Ararat-Armenia. 1-1 is the single most likely scoreline (12.0%); the 5 scores below add up to 49% of all outcomes, which is why an exact score remains hard to call.

ScoreProbability
Universitatea Craiova 1-1 Ararat-Armenia12.0%
Universitatea Craiova 1-0 Ararat-Armenia11.2%
Universitatea Craiova 2-1 Ararat-Armenia9.4%
Universitatea Craiova 2-0 Ararat-Armenia8.8%
Universitatea Craiova 0-1 Ararat-Armenia7.7%

Goals: both teams to score, over/under

The model expects 2.63 goals in total (1.56 for Universitatea Craiova, 1.07 for Ararat-Armenia): over 2.5 goals has a 49% probability and both teams to score 52%. Universitatea Craiova keep a clean sheet in 34% of scenarios, Ararat-Armenia in 21%.

Probability
Universitatea Craiova expected goals1.56
Ararat-Armenia expected goals1.07
Both teams to score52%
Over 1.5 goals74%
Over 2.5 goals49%
Over 3.5 goals27%
Universitatea Craiova clean sheet34%
Ararat-Armenia clean sheet21%

Recent form

Latest matches played before this game in the competitions Elofoot covers.

Universitatea Craiova

DateOpponentScore
Aug 13, 2026KuPS · UEFA Europa League2-1W
Aug 6, 2026KuPS · UEFA Europa League1-1D
Jul 29, 2026Levski Sofia · UEFA Champions League2-2D
Jul 22, 2026Levski Sofia · UEFA Champions League0-1L
Jul 15, 2026ML Vitebsk · UEFA Champions League1-0W

Ararat-Armenia

DateOpponentScore
Aug 11, 2026Celje · UEFA Champions League0-2L
Aug 4, 2026Celje · UEFA Champions League2-1W
Jul 28, 2026Shamrock Rovers · UEFA Champions League1-2L
Jul 21, 2026Shamrock Rovers · UEFA Champions League2-0W
Jul 14, 2026Riga · UEFA Champions League2-3L

Head-to-head

Our data holds no recent head-to-head between Universitatea Craiova and Ararat-Armenia: the prediction relies on each team's form and level.

Out and doubtful

Universitatea Craiova

No absences reported.

Ararat-Armenia

No absences reported.

Other matches in this competition

Frequently asked questions

What is the Universitatea Craiova vs Ararat-Armenia prediction?

Before the match, our AI gave Universitatea Craiova a 49% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Ararat-Armenia 26%. Universitatea Craiova are therefore favourites. Final score: 1-1.

What is the most likely correct score for Universitatea Craiova vs Ararat-Armenia?

1-1 (12.0%), followed by 1-0 (11.2%), 2-1 (9.4%), 2-0 (8.8%) and 0-1 (7.7%).

Will both teams score in Universitatea Craiova vs Ararat-Armenia?

The probability that both Universitatea Craiova and Ararat-Armenia score is 52%. Universitatea Craiova have a 34% chance of keeping a clean sheet, Ararat-Armenia 21%.

How many goals should we expect in Universitatea Craiova vs Ararat-Armenia?

The model expects 2.63 goals (1.56 for Universitatea Craiova, 1.07 for Ararat-Armenia). Probabilities: over 1.5 goals 74%, over 2.5 goals 49%, over 3.5 goals 27%.

When and where is Universitatea Craiova vs Ararat-Armenia played?

Thursday, August 20, 2026 at 18:00 (UK time), UEFA Europa League. Venue: Stadionul Ion Oblemenco, Craiova.

What form are Universitatea Craiova and Ararat-Armenia in?

Universitatea Craiova: 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches (6 scored, 5 conceded). Ararat-Armenia: 2 wins, 0 draws and 3 defeats in their last 5 matches (7 scored, 8 conceded).

What was the Universitatea Craiova vs Ararat-Armenia result, and was the prediction right?

Final score: Universitatea Craiova 1-1 Ararat-Armenia. The outcome was missed: the model favoured victory for Universitatea Craiova (49%), while a draw was rated at only 25%. The exact score 1-1 was the most likely scoreline in our grid (12.0%). On goals, the model expected both teams to score (52%): correct; it pointed to under 2.5 goals (49%): correct.

How is the Universitatea Craiova vs Ararat-Armenia prediction calculated?

The model estimates each team's expected goals (1.56 for Universitatea Craiova, 1.07 for Ararat-Armenia) from recent form, xG and standings, then applies a Poisson distribution: every possible score gets a probability, from which the 1X2, correct score, both teams to score and total goals are derived. Every figure is calculated, none is made up.

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Key terms explained