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UEFA Europa LeagueUEFA Europa League· Kick-off : Thursday, August 20, 2026, 18:00 (UK time)

Egnatia Rrogozhinë vs Lillestrom: 0-0 result and AI prediction review

Review: prediction vs result

1X2 outcome missedExact score missedMost likely score before kick-off : 1-0

Final score: Egnatia Rrogozhinë 0-0 Lillestrom. The outcome was missed: the model favoured victory for Egnatia Rrogozhinë (54%), while a draw was rated at only 24%. The final score ranked 5th among the most likely scorelines (6.9%), behind 1-0. On goals, the model expected both teams to score (51%): missed; it pointed to over 2.5 goals (50%): missed.

Match analysis

Egnatia Rrogozhinë and Lillestrom met on Thursday, August 20, 2026, a UEFA Europa League fixture. Venue: Arena Egnatia, Rrogozhine. Before kick-off, our model gave Egnatia Rrogozhinë a 54% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Lillestrom 22%. On the correct score, 1-0 comes out on top (11.6%), followed by 1-1 (11.5%) and 2-0 (9.8%).

Over their last 5 matches, Egnatia Rrogozhinë have 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat, scoring 16 and conceding 9. Lillestrom have won just one of their last 5 matches (1 draw, 3 defeats), scoring 5 and conceding 6. Egnatia Rrogozhinë therefore arrive in far better shape than Lillestrom. On average Egnatia Rrogozhinë score 3.20 and concede 1.80 goals per game; Lillestrom score 1.00 and concede 1.20.

Our data holds no recent head-to-head between Egnatia Rrogozhinë and Lillestrom: the prediction relies on each team's form and level. Lillestrom: E. B. Garnas, C. Jebara and T. Olsen. In double chance terms, "Egnatia Rrogozhinë or draw" stands at 78%, "Lillestrom or draw" at 46% and "no draw" at 76%.

Outcome probabilities (1X2)

54%
Egnatia Rrogozhinë (Win)
24%
Draw
22%
Lillestrom (Win)

Double chance

78%
Egnatia Rrogozhinë or draw
46%
Lillestrom or draw
76%
No draw

Most likely correct scores

Scores shown as Egnatia Rrogozhinë – Lillestrom. 1-0 is the single most likely scoreline (11.6%); the 5 scores below add up to 50% of all outcomes, which is why an exact score remains hard to call.

ScoreProbability
Egnatia Rrogozhinë 1-0 Lillestrom11.6%
Egnatia Rrogozhinë 1-1 Lillestrom11.5%
Egnatia Rrogozhinë 2-0 Lillestrom9.8%
Egnatia Rrogozhinë 2-1 Lillestrom9.7%
Egnatia Rrogozhinë 0-0 Lillestrom6.9%

Goals: both teams to score, over/under

With 1.69 expected goals for Egnatia Rrogozhinë and 0.99 for Lillestrom, "over 2.5 goals" is rated at 50% and "both teams to score" at 51%. Egnatia Rrogozhinë keep a clean sheet in 37% of scenarios, Lillestrom in 19%.

Probability
Egnatia Rrogozhinë expected goals1.69
Lillestrom expected goals0.99
Both teams to score51%
Over 1.5 goals75%
Over 2.5 goals50%
Over 3.5 goals28%
Egnatia Rrogozhinë clean sheet37%
Lillestrom clean sheet19%

Recent form

Latest matches played before this game in the competitions Elofoot covers.

Egnatia Rrogozhinë

DateOpponentScore
Aug 13, 2026Shamrock Rovers · UEFA Europa League5-1W
Aug 4, 2026Shamrock Rovers · UEFA Europa League1-3L
Jul 28, 2026Celje · UEFA Champions League1-1D
Jul 22, 2026Celje · UEFA Champions League3-3D
Jul 15, 2026Petrocub · UEFA Champions League6-1W

Lillestrom

DateOpponentScore
Jul 3, 2026Sarpsborg 08 FF · Club Friendlies3-1W
Jun 26, 2026Degerfors IF · Club Friendlies2-3L
Jun 20, 2026FC Midtjylland · Club Friendlies0-1L
Mar 27, 2026Orgryte IS · Club Friendlies0-1L
Feb 27, 2026Tromso · Club Friendlies0-0D

Head-to-head

Our data holds no recent head-to-head between Egnatia Rrogozhinë and Lillestrom: the prediction relies on each team's form and level.

Out and doubtful

Egnatia Rrogozhinë

No absences reported.

Lillestrom

  • E. B. Garnas (out)
  • C. Jebara (out)
  • T. Olsen (out)

Other matches in this competition

Frequently asked questions

What is the Egnatia Rrogozhinë vs Lillestrom prediction?

Before the match, our AI gave Egnatia Rrogozhinë a 54% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Lillestrom 22%. Egnatia Rrogozhinë are therefore favourites. Final score: 0-0.

What is the most likely correct score for Egnatia Rrogozhinë vs Lillestrom?

1-0 (11.6%), followed by 1-1 (11.5%), 2-0 (9.8%), 2-1 (9.7%) and 0-0 (6.9%).

Will both teams score in Egnatia Rrogozhinë vs Lillestrom?

The probability that both Egnatia Rrogozhinë and Lillestrom score is 51%. Egnatia Rrogozhinë have a 37% chance of keeping a clean sheet, Lillestrom 19%.

How many goals should we expect in Egnatia Rrogozhinë vs Lillestrom?

The model expects 2.68 goals (1.69 for Egnatia Rrogozhinë, 0.99 for Lillestrom). Probabilities: over 1.5 goals 75%, over 2.5 goals 50%, over 3.5 goals 28%.

When and where is Egnatia Rrogozhinë vs Lillestrom played?

Thursday, August 20, 2026 at 18:00 (UK time), UEFA Europa League. Venue: Arena Egnatia, Rrogozhine.

What form are Egnatia Rrogozhinë and Lillestrom in?

Egnatia Rrogozhinë: 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches (16 scored, 9 conceded). Lillestrom: 1 win, 1 draw and 3 defeats in their last 5 matches (5 scored, 6 conceded).

What was the Egnatia Rrogozhinë vs Lillestrom result, and was the prediction right?

Final score: Egnatia Rrogozhinë 0-0 Lillestrom. The outcome was missed: the model favoured victory for Egnatia Rrogozhinë (54%), while a draw was rated at only 24%. The final score ranked 5th among the most likely scorelines (6.9%), behind 1-0. On goals, the model expected both teams to score (51%): missed; it pointed to over 2.5 goals (50%): missed.

How is the Egnatia Rrogozhinë vs Lillestrom prediction calculated?

The model estimates each team's expected goals (1.69 for Egnatia Rrogozhinë, 0.99 for Lillestrom) from recent form, xG and standings, then applies a Poisson distribution: every possible score gets a probability, from which the 1X2, correct score, both teams to score and total goals are derived. Every figure is calculated, none is made up.

Go further

Key terms explained