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UEFA Europa LeagueUEFA Europa League· Kick-off : Wednesday, August 5, 2026, 19:15 (UK time)

Ferencvarosi TC vs Gornik Zabrze: 1-0 result and AI prediction review

Ferencvarosi TCFerencvarosi TC1 – 0Gornik ZabrzeGornik Zabrze

Review: prediction vs result

1X2 outcome correctExact score missedMost likely score before kick-off : 1-1

Final score: Ferencvarosi TC 1-0 Gornik Zabrze. The 1X2 prediction came good: victory for Ferencvarosi TC was the model's favourite outcome (52%). The final score ranked 2nd among the most likely scorelines (11.5%), behind 1-1. On goals, the model expected both teams to score (52%): missed; it pointed to under 2.5 goals (50%): correct.

Match analysis

Ferencvarosi TC vs Gornik Zabrze was played on Wednesday, August 5, 2026 (UEFA Europa League). Venue: Groupama Aréna, Budapest. Before kick-off, our model gave Ferencvarosi TC a 52% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Gornik Zabrze 23%. The most likely correct score is 1-1 (11.7%), ahead of 1-0 (11.5%) and 2-1 (9.6%).

Ferencvarosi TC are unbeaten in their last 5 matches (4 wins, 1 draw), scoring 10 and conceding 4. Gornik Zabrze have won just one of their last 5 matches (2 draws, 2 defeats), scoring 4 and conceding 4. Recent momentum is clearly with Ferencvarosi TC. On average Ferencvarosi TC score 2.00 and concede 0.80 goals per game; Gornik Zabrze score 0.80 and concede 0.80.

Our data holds no recent head-to-head between Ferencvarosi TC and Gornik Zabrze: the prediction relies on each team's form and level. In double chance terms, "Ferencvarosi TC or draw" stands at 77%, "Gornik Zabrze or draw" at 48% and "no draw" at 75%.

Outcome probabilities (1X2)

52%
Ferencvarosi TC (Win)
25%
Draw
23%
Gornik Zabrze (Win)

Double chance

77%
Ferencvarosi TC or draw
48%
Gornik Zabrze or draw
75%
No draw

Most likely correct scores

Scores shown as Ferencvarosi TC – Gornik Zabrze. 1-1 is the single most likely scoreline (11.7%); the 5 scores below add up to 49% of all outcomes, which is why an exact score remains hard to call.

ScoreProbability
Ferencvarosi TC 1-1 Gornik Zabrze11.7%
Ferencvarosi TC 1-0 Gornik Zabrze11.5%
Ferencvarosi TC 2-1 Gornik Zabrze9.6%
Ferencvarosi TC 2-0 Gornik Zabrze9.4%
Ferencvarosi TC 0-1 Gornik Zabrze7.1%

Goals: both teams to score, over/under

The model expects 2.66 goals in total (1.64 for Ferencvarosi TC, 1.02 for Gornik Zabrze): over 2.5 goals has a 50% probability and both teams to score 52%. Ferencvarosi TC keep a clean sheet in 36% of scenarios, Gornik Zabrze in 19%.

Probability
Ferencvarosi TC expected goals1.64
Gornik Zabrze expected goals1.02
Both teams to score52%
Over 1.5 goals74%
Over 2.5 goals50%
Over 3.5 goals28%
Ferencvarosi TC clean sheet36%
Gornik Zabrze clean sheet19%

Recent form

Latest matches played before this game in the competitions Elofoot covers.

Ferencvarosi TC

DateOpponentScore
Jul 30, 2026Twente · UEFA Europa League2-2D
Jul 23, 2026Twente · UEFA Europa League2-1W
Jul 16, 2026Vojvodina · UEFA Europa League3-0W
Jul 9, 2026Vojvodina · UEFA Europa League2-1W
Jul 1, 2026Qarabag · Club Friendlies1-0W

Gornik Zabrze

DateOpponentScore
Jul 29, 2026Fenerbahçe · UEFA Champions League1-1D
Jul 21, 2026Fenerbahçe · UEFA Champions League0-1L
Jul 10, 2026FC Nordsjaelland · Club Friendlies2-0W
Jul 4, 2026WSG Wattens · Club Friendlies0-0D
Jul 4, 2026Red Bull Salzburg · Club Friendlies1-2L

Head-to-head

Our data holds no recent head-to-head between Ferencvarosi TC and Gornik Zabrze: the prediction relies on each team's form and level.

Out and doubtful

Ferencvarosi TC

No absences reported.

Gornik Zabrze

No absences reported.

Other matches in this competition

Frequently asked questions

What is the Ferencvarosi TC vs Gornik Zabrze prediction?

Before the match, our AI gave Ferencvarosi TC a 52% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Gornik Zabrze 23%. Ferencvarosi TC are therefore favourites. Final score: 1-0.

What is the most likely correct score for Ferencvarosi TC vs Gornik Zabrze?

1-1 (11.7%), followed by 1-0 (11.5%), 2-1 (9.6%), 2-0 (9.4%) and 0-1 (7.1%).

Will both teams score in Ferencvarosi TC vs Gornik Zabrze?

The probability that both Ferencvarosi TC and Gornik Zabrze score is 52%. Ferencvarosi TC have a 36% chance of keeping a clean sheet, Gornik Zabrze 19%.

How many goals should we expect in Ferencvarosi TC vs Gornik Zabrze?

The model expects 2.66 goals (1.64 for Ferencvarosi TC, 1.02 for Gornik Zabrze). Probabilities: over 1.5 goals 74%, over 2.5 goals 50%, over 3.5 goals 28%.

When and where is Ferencvarosi TC vs Gornik Zabrze played?

Wednesday, August 5, 2026 at 19:15 (UK time), UEFA Europa League. Venue: Groupama Aréna, Budapest.

What form are Ferencvarosi TC and Gornik Zabrze in?

Ferencvarosi TC: 4 wins, 1 draw and 0 defeats in their last 5 matches (10 scored, 4 conceded). Gornik Zabrze: 1 win, 2 draws and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches (4 scored, 4 conceded).

What was the Ferencvarosi TC vs Gornik Zabrze result, and was the prediction right?

Final score: Ferencvarosi TC 1-0 Gornik Zabrze. The 1X2 prediction came good: victory for Ferencvarosi TC was the model's favourite outcome (52%). The final score ranked 2nd among the most likely scorelines (11.5%), behind 1-1. On goals, the model expected both teams to score (52%): missed; it pointed to under 2.5 goals (50%): correct.

How is the Ferencvarosi TC vs Gornik Zabrze prediction calculated?

The model estimates each team's expected goals (1.64 for Ferencvarosi TC, 1.02 for Gornik Zabrze) from recent form, xG and standings, then applies a Poisson distribution: every possible score gets a probability, from which the 1X2, correct score, both teams to score and total goals are derived. Every figure is calculated, none is made up.

Go further

Key terms explained