UEFA Europa League· Kick-off : Tuesday, August 4, 2026, 20:00 (UK time)
Larne vs Saburtalo: 0-0 result and AI prediction review
Review: prediction vs result
Final score: Larne 0-0 Saburtalo. The outcome was missed: the model favoured victory for Larne (52%), while a draw was rated at only 25%. The final score ranked 6th among the most likely scorelines (7.0%), behind 1-1. On goals, the model expected both teams to score (52%): missed; it pointed to under 2.5 goals (50%): correct.
Match analysis
Larne vs Saburtalo was played on Tuesday, August 4, 2026 (UEFA Europa League). Venue: Inver Park, Larne. Before kick-off, our model gave Larne a 52% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Saburtalo 23%. The most likely correct score is 1-1 (11.7%), ahead of 1-0 (11.5%) and 2-1 (9.6%).
Over their last 5 matches, Larne have 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 defeats, scoring 5 and conceding 11. Over their last 5 matches, Saburtalo have 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat, scoring 8 and conceding 8. On recent form, there is little to separate the two teams. On average Larne score 1.00 and concede 2.20 goals per game; Saburtalo score 1.60 and concede 1.60.
Our data holds no recent head-to-head between Larne and Saburtalo: the prediction relies on each team's form and level. In double chance terms, "Larne or draw" stands at 77%, "Saburtalo or draw" at 48% and "no draw" at 75%.
Outcome probabilities (1X2)
Double chance
Most likely correct scores
Scores shown as Larne – Saburtalo. 1-1 is the single most likely scoreline (11.7%); the 5 scores below add up to 49% of all outcomes, which is why an exact score remains hard to call.
| Score | Probability |
|---|---|
| Larne 1-1 Saburtalo | 11.7% |
| Larne 1-0 Saburtalo | 11.5% |
| Larne 2-1 Saburtalo | 9.6% |
| Larne 2-0 Saburtalo | 9.4% |
| Larne 0-1 Saburtalo | 7.1% |
Goals: both teams to score, over/under
The model expects 2.66 goals in total (1.64 for Larne, 1.02 for Saburtalo): over 2.5 goals has a 50% probability and both teams to score 52%. Larne keep a clean sheet in 36% of scenarios, Saburtalo in 19%.
| Probability | |
|---|---|
| Larne expected goals | 1.64 |
| Saburtalo expected goals | 1.02 |
| Both teams to score | 52% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 74% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 50% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 28% |
| Larne clean sheet | 36% |
| Saburtalo clean sheet | 19% |
Recent form
Latest matches played before this game in the competitions Elofoot covers.
Larne
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 29, 2026 | FK Crvena Zvezda · UEFA Champions League | 0-5 | L |
| Jul 21, 2026 | FK Crvena Zvezda · UEFA Champions League | 0-4 | L |
| Jul 14, 2026 | Tre Fiori · UEFA Champions League | 2-1 | W |
| Jul 7, 2026 | Tre Fiori · UEFA Champions League | 1-0 | W |
| Jun 29, 2026 | H&W Welders · Club Friendlies | 2-1 | W |
Saburtalo
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 29, 2026 | Slovan Bratislava · UEFA Champions League | 1-1 | D |
| Jul 21, 2026 | Slovan Bratislava · UEFA Champions League | 0-2 | L |
| Jul 14, 2026 | Flora Tallinn · UEFA Champions League | 2-2 | D |
| Jul 8, 2026 | Flora Tallinn · UEFA Champions League | 3-2 | W |
| Feb 12, 2026 | Petrocub · Club Friendlies | 2-1 | W |
Head-to-head
Our data holds no recent head-to-head between Larne and Saburtalo: the prediction relies on each team's form and level.
Out and doubtful
Larne
No absences reported.
Saburtalo
No absences reported.
Other matches in this competition
- Shamrock Rovers 3-1 Egnatia RrogozhinëAug 4, 2026
- Ferencvarosi TC 1-0 Gornik ZabrzeAug 5, 2026
- KuPS 1-1 Universitatea CraiovaAug 6, 2026
- Jagiellonia 2-1 RangersAug 6, 2026
- Maccabi Tel Aviv 0-3 CSKA SofiaAug 6, 2026
- Red Bull Salzburg 1-0 PafosAug 6, 2026
- Lech Poznan 1-0 KI KlaksvikAug 6, 2026
- Hradec Králové 0-1 BeşiktaşAug 6, 2026
- Lincoln Red Imps FC 1-1 Omonia NicosiaAug 6, 2026
- PAOK 0-1 AnderlechtAug 6, 2026
Frequently asked questions
What is the Larne vs Saburtalo prediction?
Before the match, our AI gave Larne a 52% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Saburtalo 23%. Larne are therefore favourites. Final score: 0-0.
What is the most likely correct score for Larne vs Saburtalo?
1-1 (11.7%), followed by 1-0 (11.5%), 2-1 (9.6%), 2-0 (9.4%) and 0-1 (7.1%).
Will both teams score in Larne vs Saburtalo?
The probability that both Larne and Saburtalo score is 52%. Larne have a 36% chance of keeping a clean sheet, Saburtalo 19%.
How many goals should we expect in Larne vs Saburtalo?
The model expects 2.66 goals (1.64 for Larne, 1.02 for Saburtalo). Probabilities: over 1.5 goals 74%, over 2.5 goals 50%, over 3.5 goals 28%.
When and where is Larne vs Saburtalo played?
Tuesday, August 4, 2026 at 20:00 (UK time), UEFA Europa League. Venue: Inver Park, Larne.
What form are Larne and Saburtalo in?
Larne: 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches (5 scored, 11 conceded). Saburtalo: 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches (8 scored, 8 conceded).
What was the Larne vs Saburtalo result, and was the prediction right?
Final score: Larne 0-0 Saburtalo. The outcome was missed: the model favoured victory for Larne (52%), while a draw was rated at only 25%. The final score ranked 6th among the most likely scorelines (7.0%), behind 1-1. On goals, the model expected both teams to score (52%): missed; it pointed to under 2.5 goals (50%): correct.
How is the Larne vs Saburtalo prediction calculated?
The model estimates each team's expected goals (1.64 for Larne, 1.02 for Saburtalo) from recent form, xG and standings, then applies a Poisson distribution: every possible score gets a probability, from which the 1X2, correct score, both teams to score and total goals are derived. Every figure is calculated, none is made up.
Go further
- All Larne predictions
- All Saburtalo predictions
- UEFA Europa League predictions
- Today’s predictions
- Our methodology