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UEFA Europa LeagueUEFA Europa League· Kick-off : Thursday, August 6, 2026, 16:00 (UK time)

KuPS vs Universitatea Craiova: 1-1 result and AI prediction review

KuPSKuPS1 – 1Universitatea CraiovaUniversitatea Craiova

Review: prediction vs result

1X2 outcome missedExact score foundMost likely score before kick-off : 1-1

Final score: KuPS 1-1 Universitatea Craiova. The outcome was missed: the model favoured victory for KuPS (53%), while a draw was rated at only 24%. The exact score 1-1 was the most likely scoreline in our grid (11.6%). On goals, the model expected both teams to score (52%): correct; it pointed to under 2.5 goals (50%): correct.

Match analysis

KuPS vs Universitatea Craiova was played on Thursday, August 6, 2026 (UEFA Europa League). Venue: Savon Sanomat Areena, Kuopio. Before kick-off, our model gave KuPS a 53% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Universitatea Craiova 23%. The most likely correct score is 1-1 (11.6%), ahead of 1-0 (11.5%) and 2-1 (9.6%).

KuPS have won just one of their last 5 matches (1 draw, 3 defeats), scoring 4 and conceding 6. Over their last 5 matches, Universitatea Craiova have 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat, scoring 11 and conceding 7. Recent momentum is clearly with Universitatea Craiova. On average KuPS score 0.80 and concede 1.20 goals per game; Universitatea Craiova score 2.20 and concede 1.40.

Our data holds no recent head-to-head between KuPS and Universitatea Craiova: the prediction relies on each team's form and level. In double chance terms, "KuPS or draw" stands at 77%, "Universitatea Craiova or draw" at 47% and "no draw" at 76%.

Outcome probabilities (1X2)

53%
KuPS (Win)
24%
Draw
23%
Universitatea Craiova (Win)

Double chance

77%
KuPS or draw
47%
Universitatea Craiova or draw
76%
No draw

Most likely correct scores

Scores shown as KuPS – Universitatea Craiova. 1-1 is the single most likely scoreline (11.6%); the 5 scores below add up to 49% of all outcomes, which is why an exact score remains hard to call.

ScoreProbability
KuPS 1-1 Universitatea Craiova11.6%
KuPS 1-0 Universitatea Craiova11.5%
KuPS 2-1 Universitatea Craiova9.6%
KuPS 2-0 Universitatea Craiova9.5%
KuPS 0-1 Universitatea Craiova7.0%

Goals: both teams to score, over/under

The model expects 2.67 goals in total (1.66 for KuPS, 1.01 for Universitatea Craiova): over 2.5 goals has a 50% probability and both teams to score 52%. KuPS keep a clean sheet in 36% of scenarios, Universitatea Craiova in 19%.

Probability
KuPS expected goals1.66
Universitatea Craiova expected goals1.01
Both teams to score52%
Over 1.5 goals75%
Over 2.5 goals50%
Over 3.5 goals28%
KuPS clean sheet36%
Universitatea Craiova clean sheet19%

Recent form

Latest matches played before this game in the competitions Elofoot covers.

KuPS

DateOpponentScore
Jul 28, 2026Sabah FA · UEFA Champions League0-2L
Jul 21, 2026Sabah FA · UEFA Champions League0-1L
Jul 14, 2026Vardar Skopje · UEFA Champions League2-3L
Jul 7, 2026Vardar Skopje · UEFA Champions League2-0W
Mar 27, 2026SJK · Club Friendlies0-0D

Universitatea Craiova

DateOpponentScore
Jul 29, 2026Levski Sofia · UEFA Champions League2-2D
Jul 22, 2026Levski Sofia · UEFA Champions League0-1L
Jul 15, 2026ML Vitebsk · UEFA Champions League1-0W
Jul 8, 2026ML Vitebsk · UEFA Champions League4-1W
Jun 29, 2026Polessya · Club Friendlies4-3W

Head-to-head

Our data holds no recent head-to-head between KuPS and Universitatea Craiova: the prediction relies on each team's form and level.

Out and doubtful

KuPS

No absences reported.

Universitatea Craiova

No absences reported.

Other matches in this competition

Frequently asked questions

What is the KuPS vs Universitatea Craiova prediction?

Before the match, our AI gave KuPS a 53% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Universitatea Craiova 23%. KuPS are therefore favourites. Final score: 1-1.

What is the most likely correct score for KuPS vs Universitatea Craiova?

1-1 (11.6%), followed by 1-0 (11.5%), 2-1 (9.6%), 2-0 (9.5%) and 0-1 (7.0%).

Will both teams score in KuPS vs Universitatea Craiova?

The probability that both KuPS and Universitatea Craiova score is 52%. KuPS have a 36% chance of keeping a clean sheet, Universitatea Craiova 19%.

How many goals should we expect in KuPS vs Universitatea Craiova?

The model expects 2.67 goals (1.66 for KuPS, 1.01 for Universitatea Craiova). Probabilities: over 1.5 goals 75%, over 2.5 goals 50%, over 3.5 goals 28%.

When and where is KuPS vs Universitatea Craiova played?

Thursday, August 6, 2026 at 16:00 (UK time), UEFA Europa League. Venue: Savon Sanomat Areena, Kuopio.

What form are KuPS and Universitatea Craiova in?

KuPS: 1 win, 1 draw and 3 defeats in their last 5 matches (4 scored, 6 conceded). Universitatea Craiova: 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches (11 scored, 7 conceded).

What was the KuPS vs Universitatea Craiova result, and was the prediction right?

Final score: KuPS 1-1 Universitatea Craiova. The outcome was missed: the model favoured victory for KuPS (53%), while a draw was rated at only 24%. The exact score 1-1 was the most likely scoreline in our grid (11.6%). On goals, the model expected both teams to score (52%): correct; it pointed to under 2.5 goals (50%): correct.

How is the KuPS vs Universitatea Craiova prediction calculated?

The model estimates each team's expected goals (1.66 for KuPS, 1.01 for Universitatea Craiova) from recent form, xG and standings, then applies a Poisson distribution: every possible score gets a probability, from which the 1X2, correct score, both teams to score and total goals are derived. Every figure is calculated, none is made up.

Go further

Key terms explained