UEFA Europa League· Kick-off : Thursday, August 6, 2026, 18:45 (UK time)
PAOK vs Anderlecht: 0-1 result and AI prediction review
Review: prediction vs result
Final score: PAOK 0-1 Anderlecht. The outcome was missed: the model favoured victory for PAOK (56%), while victory for Anderlecht was rated at only 18%. The final score ranked 6th among the most likely scorelines (7.8%), behind 1-0. On goals, the model did not expect both teams to score (40%): correct; it pointed to under 2.5 goals (39%): correct.
Match analysis
PAOK vs Anderlecht was played on Thursday, August 6, 2026 (UEFA Europa League). Venue: Toumba Stadium, Thessaloniki. Before kick-off, our model gave PAOK a 56% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Anderlecht 18%. The most likely correct score is 1-0 (16.1%), ahead of 2-0 (12.1%) and 1-1 (11.7%).
Over their last 5 matches, PAOK have 4 wins, 0 draws and 1 defeat, scoring 14 and conceding 7. Anderlecht are unbeaten in their last 5 matches (4 wins, 1 draw), scoring 10 and conceding 5. On recent form, there is little to separate the two teams. On average PAOK score 2.80 and concede 1.40 goals per game; Anderlecht score 2.00 and concede 1.00.
Our data holds no recent head-to-head between PAOK and Anderlecht: the prediction relies on each team's form and level. In double chance terms, "PAOK or draw" stands at 82%, "Anderlecht or draw" at 44% and "no draw" at 74%.
Outcome probabilities (1X2)
Double chance
Most likely correct scores
Scores shown as PAOK – Anderlecht. 1-0 is the single most likely scoreline (16.1%); the 5 scores below add up to 59% of all outcomes, which is why an exact score remains hard to call.
| Score | Probability |
|---|---|
| PAOK 1-0 Anderlecht | 16.1% |
| PAOK 2-0 Anderlecht | 12.1% |
| PAOK 1-1 Anderlecht | 11.7% |
| PAOK 0-0 Anderlecht | 10.6% |
| PAOK 2-1 Anderlecht | 8.9% |
Goals: both teams to score, over/under
The model expects 2.24 goals in total (1.51 for PAOK, 0.73 for Anderlecht): over 2.5 goals has a 39% probability and both teams to score 40%. A tight, low-scoring game is on the cards. PAOK keep a clean sheet in 48% of scenarios, Anderlecht in 22%.
| Probability | |
|---|---|
| PAOK expected goals | 1.51 |
| Anderlecht expected goals | 0.73 |
| Both teams to score | 40% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 66% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 39% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 19% |
| PAOK clean sheet | 48% |
| Anderlecht clean sheet | 22% |
Recent form
Latest matches played before this game in the competitions Elofoot covers.
PAOK
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 30, 2026 | Dynamo Kyiv · UEFA Europa League | 2-0 | W |
| Jul 23, 2026 | Dynamo Kyiv · UEFA Europa League | 3-2 | W |
| Jul 11, 2026 | Twente · Club Friendlies | 2-3 | L |
| Jul 7, 2026 | AEK Larnaca · Club Friendlies | 3-2 | W |
| Jul 4, 2026 | KVC Westerlo · Club Friendlies | 4-0 | W |
Anderlecht
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 30, 2026 | Hammarby FF · UEFA Europa League | 3-1 | W |
| Jul 23, 2026 | Hammarby FF · UEFA Europa League | 1-1 | D |
| Jul 15, 2026 | AZ Alkmaar · Club Friendlies | 1-0 | W |
| Jul 11, 2026 | NEC Nijmegen · Club Friendlies | 3-2 | W |
| Jul 10, 2026 | Dunkerque · Club Friendlies | 2-1 | W |
Head-to-head
Our data holds no recent head-to-head between PAOK and Anderlecht: the prediction relies on each team's form and level.
Out and doubtful
PAOK
No absences reported.
Anderlecht
No absences reported.
Other matches in this competition
- Ferencvarosi TC 1-0 Gornik ZabrzeAug 5, 2026
- KuPS 1-1 Universitatea CraiovaAug 6, 2026
- Jagiellonia 2-1 RangersAug 6, 2026
- Maccabi Tel Aviv 0-3 CSKA SofiaAug 6, 2026
- Red Bull Salzburg 1-0 PafosAug 6, 2026
- Lech Poznan 1-0 KI KlaksvikAug 6, 2026
- Hradec Králové 0-1 BeşiktaşAug 6, 2026
- Lincoln Red Imps FC 1-1 Omonia NicosiaAug 6, 2026
- FC Thun 3-0 Vikingur ReykjavikAug 6, 2026
- Benfica 6-1 Heart Of MidlothianAug 6, 2026
Frequently asked questions
What is the PAOK vs Anderlecht prediction?
Before the match, our AI gave PAOK a 56% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Anderlecht 18%. PAOK are therefore favourites. Final score: 0-1.
What is the most likely correct score for PAOK vs Anderlecht?
1-0 (16.1%), followed by 2-0 (12.1%), 1-1 (11.7%), 0-0 (10.6%) and 2-1 (8.9%).
Will both teams score in PAOK vs Anderlecht?
The probability that both PAOK and Anderlecht score is 40%. PAOK have a 48% chance of keeping a clean sheet, Anderlecht 22%.
How many goals should we expect in PAOK vs Anderlecht?
The model expects 2.24 goals (1.51 for PAOK, 0.73 for Anderlecht). Probabilities: over 1.5 goals 66%, over 2.5 goals 39%, over 3.5 goals 19%.
When and where is PAOK vs Anderlecht played?
Thursday, August 6, 2026 at 18:45 (UK time), UEFA Europa League. Venue: Toumba Stadium, Thessaloniki.
What form are PAOK and Anderlecht in?
PAOK: 4 wins, 0 draws and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches (14 scored, 7 conceded). Anderlecht: 4 wins, 1 draw and 0 defeats in their last 5 matches (10 scored, 5 conceded).
What was the PAOK vs Anderlecht result, and was the prediction right?
Final score: PAOK 0-1 Anderlecht. The outcome was missed: the model favoured victory for PAOK (56%), while victory for Anderlecht was rated at only 18%. The final score ranked 6th among the most likely scorelines (7.8%), behind 1-0. On goals, the model did not expect both teams to score (40%): correct; it pointed to under 2.5 goals (39%): correct.
How is the PAOK vs Anderlecht prediction calculated?
The model estimates each team's expected goals (1.51 for PAOK, 0.73 for Anderlecht) from recent form, xG and standings, then applies a Poisson distribution: every possible score gets a probability, from which the 1X2, correct score, both teams to score and total goals are derived. Every figure is calculated, none is made up.
Go further
- All PAOK predictions
- All Anderlecht predictions
- UEFA Europa League predictions
- Today’s predictions
- Our methodology