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UEFA Europa LeagueUEFA Europa League· Kick-off : Thursday, August 6, 2026, 20:00 (UK time)

Benfica vs Heart Of Midlothian: 6-1 result and AI prediction review

BenficaBenfica6 – 1Heart Of MidlothianHeart Of Midlothian

Review: prediction vs result

1X2 outcome correctExact score missedMost likely score before kick-off : 2-0

Final score: Benfica 6-1 Heart Of Midlothian. The AI called the outcome correctly: it rated victory for Benfica at 69%. The model considered this score unlikely (0.6%). On goals, the model did not expect both teams to score (48%): missed; it pointed to over 2.5 goals (56%): correct.

Match analysis

Benfica and Heart Of Midlothian met on Thursday, August 6, 2026, a UEFA Europa League fixture. Venue: Estádio da Luz, Lisbon. Before kick-off, our model gave Benfica a 69% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Heart Of Midlothian 12%. On the correct score, 2-0 comes out on top (12.3%), followed by 1-0 (11.5%) and 2-1 (9.6%).

Over their last 5 matches, Benfica have 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 defeats, scoring 14 and conceding 5. Heart Of Midlothian have won just one of their last 4 matches (0 draws, 3 defeats), scoring 3 and conceding 9. Benfica therefore arrive in far better shape than Heart Of Midlothian. On average Benfica score 2.80 and concede 1.00 goals per game; Heart Of Midlothian score 0.75 and concede 2.25.

Our data holds no recent head-to-head between Benfica and Heart Of Midlothian: the prediction relies on each team's form and level. In double chance terms, "Benfica or draw" stands at 88%, "Heart Of Midlothian or draw" at 31% and "no draw" at 81%.

Outcome probabilities (1X2)

69%
Benfica (Win)
19%
Draw
12%
Heart Of Midlothian (Win)

Double chance

88%
Benfica or draw
31%
Heart Of Midlothian or draw
81%
No draw

Most likely correct scores

Scores shown as Benfica – Heart Of Midlothian. 2-0 is the single most likely scoreline (12.3%); the 5 scores below add up to 51% of all outcomes, which is why an exact score remains hard to call.

ScoreProbability
Benfica 2-0 Heart Of Midlothian12.3%
Benfica 1-0 Heart Of Midlothian11.5%
Benfica 2-1 Heart Of Midlothian9.6%
Benfica 1-1 Heart Of Midlothian9.0%
Benfica 3-0 Heart Of Midlothian8.8%

Goals: both teams to score, over/under

With 2.14 expected goals for Benfica and 0.78 for Heart Of Midlothian, "over 2.5 goals" is rated at 56% and "both teams to score" at 48%. Benfica keep a clean sheet in 46% of scenarios, Heart Of Midlothian in 12%.

Probability
Benfica expected goals2.14
Heart Of Midlothian expected goals0.78
Both teams to score48%
Over 1.5 goals79%
Over 2.5 goals56%
Over 3.5 goals34%
Benfica clean sheet46%
Heart Of Midlothian clean sheet12%

Recent form

Latest matches played before this game in the competitions Elofoot covers.

Benfica

DateOpponentScore
Jul 30, 2026FC ST. Gallen · UEFA Europa League5-0W
Jul 24, 2026CF Os Belenenses · Club Friendlies5-1W
Jul 23, 2026FC ST. Gallen · UEFA Europa League1-2L
Jul 17, 2026Villarreal · Club Friendlies2-0W
Jul 11, 2026Flamengo · Club Friendlies1-2L

Heart Of Midlothian

DateOpponentScore
Jul 28, 2026Sturm Graz · UEFA Champions League0-2L
Jul 21, 2026Sturm Graz · UEFA Champions League0-4L
Jul 17, 2026Rayo Vallecano · Club Friendlies2-1W
Jul 10, 2026Livingston · Club Friendlies1-2L

Head-to-head

Our data holds no recent head-to-head between Benfica and Heart Of Midlothian: the prediction relies on each team's form and level.

Out and doubtful

Benfica

No absences reported.

Heart Of Midlothian

No absences reported.

Other matches in this competition

Frequently asked questions

What is the Benfica vs Heart Of Midlothian prediction?

Before the match, our AI gave Benfica a 69% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Heart Of Midlothian 12%. Benfica are therefore favourites. Final score: 6-1.

What is the most likely correct score for Benfica vs Heart Of Midlothian?

2-0 (12.3%), followed by 1-0 (11.5%), 2-1 (9.6%), 1-1 (9.0%) and 3-0 (8.8%).

Will both teams score in Benfica vs Heart Of Midlothian?

The probability that both Benfica and Heart Of Midlothian score is 48%. Benfica have a 46% chance of keeping a clean sheet, Heart Of Midlothian 12%.

How many goals should we expect in Benfica vs Heart Of Midlothian?

The model expects 2.92 goals (2.14 for Benfica, 0.78 for Heart Of Midlothian). Probabilities: over 1.5 goals 79%, over 2.5 goals 56%, over 3.5 goals 34%.

When and where is Benfica vs Heart Of Midlothian played?

Thursday, August 6, 2026 at 20:00 (UK time), UEFA Europa League. Venue: Estádio da Luz, Lisbon.

What form are Benfica and Heart Of Midlothian in?

Benfica: 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches (14 scored, 5 conceded). Heart Of Midlothian: 1 win, 0 draws and 3 defeats in their last 4 matches (3 scored, 9 conceded).

What was the Benfica vs Heart Of Midlothian result, and was the prediction right?

Final score: Benfica 6-1 Heart Of Midlothian. The AI called the outcome correctly: it rated victory for Benfica at 69%. The model considered this score unlikely (0.6%). On goals, the model did not expect both teams to score (48%): missed; it pointed to over 2.5 goals (56%): correct.

How is the Benfica vs Heart Of Midlothian prediction calculated?

The model estimates each team's expected goals (2.14 for Benfica, 0.78 for Heart Of Midlothian) from recent form, xG and standings, then applies a Poisson distribution: every possible score gets a probability, from which the 1X2, correct score, both teams to score and total goals are derived. Every figure is calculated, none is made up.

Go further

Key terms explained