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UEFA Europa LeagueUEFA Europa League· Kick-off : Thursday, August 6, 2026, 19:00 (UK time)

FC Thun vs Vikingur Reykjavik: 3-0 result and AI prediction review

FC ThunFC Thun3 – 0Vikingur ReykjavikVikingur Reykjavik

Review: prediction vs result

1X2 outcome correctExact score missedMost likely score before kick-off : 1-1

Final score: FC Thun 3-0 Vikingur Reykjavik. The 1X2 prediction came good: victory for FC Thun was the model's favourite outcome (49%). The final score ranked 10th among the most likely scorelines (4.6%), behind 1-1. On goals, the model expected both teams to score (52%): missed; it pointed to under 2.5 goals (49%): missed.

Match analysis

FC Thun vs Vikingur Reykjavik was played on Thursday, August 6, 2026 (UEFA Europa League). Venue: Stockhorn Arena, Thun. Before kick-off, our model gave FC Thun a 49% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Vikingur Reykjavik 26%. The most likely correct score is 1-1 (12.0%), ahead of 1-0 (11.3%) and 2-1 (9.4%).

Over their last 5 matches, FC Thun have 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat, scoring 17 and conceding 8. Over their last 5 matches, Vikingur Reykjavik have 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats, scoring 5 and conceding 9. On recent form, there is little to separate the two teams. On average FC Thun score 3.40 and concede 1.60 goals per game; Vikingur Reykjavik score 1.00 and concede 1.80.

Our data holds no recent head-to-head between FC Thun and Vikingur Reykjavik: the prediction relies on each team's form and level. In double chance terms, "FC Thun or draw" stands at 74%, "Vikingur Reykjavik or draw" at 51% and "no draw" at 75%.

Outcome probabilities (1X2)

49%
FC Thun (Win)
25%
Draw
26%
Vikingur Reykjavik (Win)

Double chance

74%
FC Thun or draw
51%
Vikingur Reykjavik or draw
75%
No draw

Most likely correct scores

Scores shown as FC Thun – Vikingur Reykjavik. 1-1 is the single most likely scoreline (12.0%); the 5 scores below add up to 49% of all outcomes, which is why an exact score remains hard to call.

ScoreProbability
FC Thun 1-1 Vikingur Reykjavik12.0%
FC Thun 1-0 Vikingur Reykjavik11.3%
FC Thun 2-1 Vikingur Reykjavik9.4%
FC Thun 2-0 Vikingur Reykjavik8.9%
FC Thun 0-1 Vikingur Reykjavik7.6%

Goals: both teams to score, over/under

The model expects 2.63 goals in total (1.57 for FC Thun, 1.06 for Vikingur Reykjavik): over 2.5 goals has a 49% probability and both teams to score 52%. FC Thun keep a clean sheet in 35% of scenarios, Vikingur Reykjavik in 21%.

Probability
FC Thun expected goals1.57
Vikingur Reykjavik expected goals1.06
Both teams to score52%
Over 1.5 goals74%
Over 2.5 goals49%
Over 3.5 goals27%
FC Thun clean sheet35%
Vikingur Reykjavik clean sheet21%

Recent form

Latest matches played before this game in the competitions Elofoot covers.

FC Thun

DateOpponentScore
Jul 28, 2026Dinamo Zagreb · UEFA Champions League2-3L
Jul 21, 2026Dinamo Zagreb · UEFA Champions League1-1D
Jul 11, 2026SV Elversberg · Club Friendlies1-1D
Jul 4, 2026Neuchatel Xamax FC · Club Friendlies6-2W
Jan 14, 2026FC WIL 1900 · Club Friendlies7-1W

Vikingur Reykjavik

DateOpponentScore
Jul 29, 2026Hapoel Beer Sheva · UEFA Champions League0-2L
Jul 21, 2026Hapoel Beer Sheva · UEFA Champions League2-1W
Jul 14, 2026Gyori ETO FC · UEFA Champions League2-2D
Jul 7, 2026Gyori ETO FC · UEFA Champions League1-0W
Aug 14, 2025Brondby · UEFA Conference League0-4L

Head-to-head

Our data holds no recent head-to-head between FC Thun and Vikingur Reykjavik: the prediction relies on each team's form and level.

Out and doubtful

FC Thun

No absences reported.

Vikingur Reykjavik

No absences reported.

Other matches in this competition

Frequently asked questions

What is the FC Thun vs Vikingur Reykjavik prediction?

Before the match, our AI gave FC Thun a 49% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Vikingur Reykjavik 26%. FC Thun are therefore favourites. Final score: 3-0.

What is the most likely correct score for FC Thun vs Vikingur Reykjavik?

1-1 (12.0%), followed by 1-0 (11.3%), 2-1 (9.4%), 2-0 (8.9%) and 0-1 (7.6%).

Will both teams score in FC Thun vs Vikingur Reykjavik?

The probability that both FC Thun and Vikingur Reykjavik score is 52%. FC Thun have a 35% chance of keeping a clean sheet, Vikingur Reykjavik 21%.

How many goals should we expect in FC Thun vs Vikingur Reykjavik?

The model expects 2.63 goals (1.57 for FC Thun, 1.06 for Vikingur Reykjavik). Probabilities: over 1.5 goals 74%, over 2.5 goals 49%, over 3.5 goals 27%.

When and where is FC Thun vs Vikingur Reykjavik played?

Thursday, August 6, 2026 at 19:00 (UK time), UEFA Europa League. Venue: Stockhorn Arena, Thun.

What form are FC Thun and Vikingur Reykjavik in?

FC Thun: 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches (17 scored, 8 conceded). Vikingur Reykjavik: 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches (5 scored, 9 conceded).

What was the FC Thun vs Vikingur Reykjavik result, and was the prediction right?

Final score: FC Thun 3-0 Vikingur Reykjavik. The 1X2 prediction came good: victory for FC Thun was the model's favourite outcome (49%). The final score ranked 10th among the most likely scorelines (4.6%), behind 1-1. On goals, the model expected both teams to score (52%): missed; it pointed to under 2.5 goals (49%): missed.

How is the FC Thun vs Vikingur Reykjavik prediction calculated?

The model estimates each team's expected goals (1.57 for FC Thun, 1.06 for Vikingur Reykjavik) from recent form, xG and standings, then applies a Poisson distribution: every possible score gets a probability, from which the 1X2, correct score, both teams to score and total goals are derived. Every figure is calculated, none is made up.

Go further

Key terms explained