UEFA Europa League· Kick-off : Thursday, August 6, 2026, 18:00 (UK time)
Red Bull Salzburg vs Pafos: 1-0 result and AI prediction review
Review: prediction vs result
Final score: Red Bull Salzburg 1-0 Pafos. The 1X2 prediction came good: victory for Red Bull Salzburg was the model's favourite outcome (61%). The exact score 1-0 was the most likely scoreline in our grid (11.6%). On goals, the model expected both teams to score (51%): missed; it pointed to over 2.5 goals (50%): missed.
Match analysis
Red Bull Salzburg vs Pafos was played on Thursday, August 6, 2026 (UEFA Europa League). Venue: Red Bull Arena, Salzburg. Before kick-off, our model gave Red Bull Salzburg a 61% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Pafos 16%. The most likely correct score is 1-0 (11.6%), ahead of 1-1 (11.4%) and 2-0 (9.9%).
Over their last 5 matches, Red Bull Salzburg have 4 wins, 0 draws and 1 defeat, scoring 13 and conceding 3. Over their last 5 matches, Pafos have 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat, scoring 8 and conceding 4. On recent form, there is little to separate the two teams. On average Red Bull Salzburg score 2.60 and concede 0.60 goals per game; Pafos score 1.60 and concede 0.80.
Our data holds no recent head-to-head between Red Bull Salzburg and Pafos: the prediction relies on each team's form and level. In double chance terms, "Red Bull Salzburg or draw" stands at 84%, "Pafos or draw" at 39% and "no draw" at 77%.
Outcome probabilities (1X2)
Double chance
Most likely correct scores
Scores shown as Red Bull Salzburg – Pafos. 1-0 is the single most likely scoreline (11.6%); the 5 scores below add up to 49% of all outcomes, which is why an exact score remains hard to call.
| Score | Probability |
|---|---|
| Red Bull Salzburg 1-0 Pafos | 11.6% |
| Red Bull Salzburg 1-1 Pafos | 11.4% |
| Red Bull Salzburg 2-0 Pafos | 9.9% |
| Red Bull Salzburg 2-1 Pafos | 9.7% |
| Red Bull Salzburg 0-0 Pafos | 6.8% |
Goals: both teams to score, over/under
The model expects 2.69 goals in total (1.71 for Red Bull Salzburg, 0.98 for Pafos): over 2.5 goals has a 50% probability and both teams to score 51%. Red Bull Salzburg keep a clean sheet in 38% of scenarios, Pafos in 18%.
| Probability | |
|---|---|
| Red Bull Salzburg expected goals | 1.71 |
| Pafos expected goals | 0.98 |
| Both teams to score | 51% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 75% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 50% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 28% |
| Red Bull Salzburg clean sheet | 38% |
| Pafos clean sheet | 18% |
Recent form
Latest matches played before this game in the competitions Elofoot covers.
Red Bull Salzburg
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 15, 2026 | Başakşehir · Club Friendlies | 1-2 | L |
| Jul 9, 2026 | Metalist 1925 Kharkiv · Club Friendlies | 4-0 | W |
| Jul 4, 2026 | Gornik Zabrze · Club Friendlies | 2-1 | W |
| Jun 26, 2026 | Seekirchen · Club Friendlies | 5-0 | W |
| Mar 26, 2026 | SpVgg Greuther Fürth · Club Friendlies | 1-0 | W |
Pafos
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 30, 2026 | HNK Hajduk Split · UEFA Europa League | 2-0 | W |
| Jul 23, 2026 | HNK Hajduk Split · UEFA Europa League | 0-2 | L |
| Jul 8, 2026 | FK Jablonec · Club Friendlies | 0-0 | D |
| Jul 3, 2026 | Cracovia Krakow · Club Friendlies | 2-1 | W |
| Jan 28, 2026 | Slavia Praha · UEFA Champions League | 4-1 | W |
Head-to-head
Our data holds no recent head-to-head between Red Bull Salzburg and Pafos: the prediction relies on each team's form and level.
Out and doubtful
Red Bull Salzburg
No absences reported.
Pafos
No absences reported.
Other matches in this competition
- Ferencvarosi TC 1-0 Gornik ZabrzeAug 5, 2026
- KuPS 1-1 Universitatea CraiovaAug 6, 2026
- Jagiellonia 2-1 RangersAug 6, 2026
- Maccabi Tel Aviv 0-3 CSKA SofiaAug 6, 2026
- Lech Poznan 1-0 KI KlaksvikAug 6, 2026
- Hradec Králové 0-1 BeşiktaşAug 6, 2026
- Lincoln Red Imps FC 1-1 Omonia NicosiaAug 6, 2026
- PAOK 0-1 AnderlechtAug 6, 2026
- FC Thun 3-0 Vikingur ReykjavikAug 6, 2026
- Benfica 6-1 Heart Of MidlothianAug 6, 2026
Frequently asked questions
What is the Red Bull Salzburg vs Pafos prediction?
Before the match, our AI gave Red Bull Salzburg a 61% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Pafos 16%. Red Bull Salzburg are therefore favourites. Final score: 1-0.
What is the most likely correct score for Red Bull Salzburg vs Pafos?
1-0 (11.6%), followed by 1-1 (11.4%), 2-0 (9.9%), 2-1 (9.7%) and 0-0 (6.8%).
Will both teams score in Red Bull Salzburg vs Pafos?
The probability that both Red Bull Salzburg and Pafos score is 51%. Red Bull Salzburg have a 38% chance of keeping a clean sheet, Pafos 18%.
How many goals should we expect in Red Bull Salzburg vs Pafos?
The model expects 2.69 goals (1.71 for Red Bull Salzburg, 0.98 for Pafos). Probabilities: over 1.5 goals 75%, over 2.5 goals 50%, over 3.5 goals 28%.
When and where is Red Bull Salzburg vs Pafos played?
Thursday, August 6, 2026 at 18:00 (UK time), UEFA Europa League. Venue: Red Bull Arena, Salzburg.
What form are Red Bull Salzburg and Pafos in?
Red Bull Salzburg: 4 wins, 0 draws and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches (13 scored, 3 conceded). Pafos: 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches (8 scored, 4 conceded).
What was the Red Bull Salzburg vs Pafos result, and was the prediction right?
Final score: Red Bull Salzburg 1-0 Pafos. The 1X2 prediction came good: victory for Red Bull Salzburg was the model's favourite outcome (61%). The exact score 1-0 was the most likely scoreline in our grid (11.6%). On goals, the model expected both teams to score (51%): missed; it pointed to over 2.5 goals (50%): missed.
How is the Red Bull Salzburg vs Pafos prediction calculated?
The model estimates each team's expected goals (1.71 for Red Bull Salzburg, 0.98 for Pafos) from recent form, xG and standings, then applies a Poisson distribution: every possible score gets a probability, from which the 1X2, correct score, both teams to score and total goals are derived. Every figure is calculated, none is made up.
Go further
- All Red Bull Salzburg predictions
- All Pafos predictions
- UEFA Europa League predictions
- Today’s predictions
- Our methodology