UEFA Europa League· Kick-off : Thursday, August 6, 2026, 17:00 (UK time)
Jagiellonia vs Rangers: 2-1 result and AI prediction review
Review: prediction vs result
Final score: Jagiellonia 2-1 Rangers. The 1X2 prediction came good: victory for Jagiellonia was the model's favourite outcome (55%). The final score ranked 4th among the most likely scorelines (9.8%), behind 1-0. On goals, the model expected both teams to score (51%): correct; it pointed to over 2.5 goals (50%): correct.
Match analysis
Jagiellonia vs Rangers was played on Thursday, August 6, 2026 (UEFA Europa League). Venue: Chorten Arena, Bialystok. Before kick-off, our model gave Jagiellonia a 55% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Rangers 21%. The most likely correct score is 1-0 (11.7%), ahead of 1-1 (11.3%) and 2-0 (10.2%).
Over their last 5 matches, Jagiellonia have 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat, scoring 11 and conceding 6. Over their last 5 matches, Rangers have 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats, scoring 5 and conceding 6. Recent momentum is clearly with Jagiellonia. On average Jagiellonia score 2.20 and concede 1.20 goals per game; Rangers score 1.00 and concede 1.20.
Our data holds no recent head-to-head between Jagiellonia and Rangers: the prediction relies on each team's form and level. In double chance terms, "Jagiellonia or draw" stands at 79%, "Rangers or draw" at 45% and "no draw" at 76%.
Outcome probabilities (1X2)
Double chance
Most likely correct scores
Scores shown as Jagiellonia – Rangers. 1-0 is the single most likely scoreline (11.7%); the 5 scores below add up to 50% of all outcomes, which is why an exact score remains hard to call.
| Score | Probability |
|---|---|
| Jagiellonia 1-0 Rangers | 11.7% |
| Jagiellonia 1-1 Rangers | 11.3% |
| Jagiellonia 2-0 Rangers | 10.2% |
| Jagiellonia 2-1 Rangers | 9.8% |
| Jagiellonia 0-0 Rangers | 6.8% |
Goals: both teams to score, over/under
The model expects 2.69 goals in total (1.73 for Jagiellonia, 0.96 for Rangers): over 2.5 goals has a 50% probability and both teams to score 51%. Jagiellonia keep a clean sheet in 38% of scenarios, Rangers in 18%.
| Probability | |
|---|---|
| Jagiellonia expected goals | 1.73 |
| Rangers expected goals | 0.96 |
| Both teams to score | 51% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 75% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 50% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 28% |
| Jagiellonia clean sheet | 38% |
| Rangers clean sheet | 18% |
Recent form
Latest matches played before this game in the competitions Elofoot covers.
Jagiellonia
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 9, 2026 | Polessya · Club Friendlies | 0-0 | D |
| Jul 4, 2026 | Pogoń Siedlce · Club Friendlies | 4-1 | W |
| Feb 26, 2026 | Fiorentina · UEFA Conference League | 4-2 | W |
| Feb 19, 2026 | Fiorentina · UEFA Conference League | 0-3 | L |
| Jan 23, 2026 | Cukaricki · Club Friendlies | 3-0 | W |
Rangers
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 26, 2026 | West Ham · Club Friendlies | 0-0 | D |
| Jul 22, 2026 | Saint Etienne · Club Friendlies | 2-1 | W |
| Jan 29, 2026 | FC Porto · UEFA Europa League | 1-3 | L |
| Jan 22, 2026 | Ludogorets · UEFA Europa League | 1-0 | W |
| Dec 11, 2025 | Ferencvarosi TC · UEFA Europa League | 1-2 | L |
Head-to-head
Our data holds no recent head-to-head between Jagiellonia and Rangers: the prediction relies on each team's form and level.
Out and doubtful
Jagiellonia
No absences reported.
Rangers
No absences reported.
Other matches in this competition
- Ferencvarosi TC 1-0 Gornik ZabrzeAug 5, 2026
- KuPS 1-1 Universitatea CraiovaAug 6, 2026
- Maccabi Tel Aviv 0-3 CSKA SofiaAug 6, 2026
- Red Bull Salzburg 1-0 PafosAug 6, 2026
- Lech Poznan 1-0 KI KlaksvikAug 6, 2026
- Hradec Králové 0-1 BeşiktaşAug 6, 2026
- Lincoln Red Imps FC 1-1 Omonia NicosiaAug 6, 2026
- PAOK 0-1 AnderlechtAug 6, 2026
- FC Thun 3-0 Vikingur ReykjavikAug 6, 2026
- Benfica 6-1 Heart Of MidlothianAug 6, 2026
Frequently asked questions
What is the Jagiellonia vs Rangers prediction?
Before the match, our AI gave Jagiellonia a 55% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Rangers 21%. Jagiellonia are therefore favourites. Final score: 2-1.
What is the most likely correct score for Jagiellonia vs Rangers?
1-0 (11.7%), followed by 1-1 (11.3%), 2-0 (10.2%), 2-1 (9.8%) and 0-0 (6.8%).
Will both teams score in Jagiellonia vs Rangers?
The probability that both Jagiellonia and Rangers score is 51%. Jagiellonia have a 38% chance of keeping a clean sheet, Rangers 18%.
How many goals should we expect in Jagiellonia vs Rangers?
The model expects 2.69 goals (1.73 for Jagiellonia, 0.96 for Rangers). Probabilities: over 1.5 goals 75%, over 2.5 goals 50%, over 3.5 goals 28%.
When and where is Jagiellonia vs Rangers played?
Thursday, August 6, 2026 at 17:00 (UK time), UEFA Europa League. Venue: Chorten Arena, Bialystok.
What form are Jagiellonia and Rangers in?
Jagiellonia: 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches (11 scored, 6 conceded). Rangers: 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches (5 scored, 6 conceded).
What was the Jagiellonia vs Rangers result, and was the prediction right?
Final score: Jagiellonia 2-1 Rangers. The 1X2 prediction came good: victory for Jagiellonia was the model's favourite outcome (55%). The final score ranked 4th among the most likely scorelines (9.8%), behind 1-0. On goals, the model expected both teams to score (51%): correct; it pointed to over 2.5 goals (50%): correct.
How is the Jagiellonia vs Rangers prediction calculated?
The model estimates each team's expected goals (1.73 for Jagiellonia, 0.96 for Rangers) from recent form, xG and standings, then applies a Poisson distribution: every possible score gets a probability, from which the 1X2, correct score, both teams to score and total goals are derived. Every figure is calculated, none is made up.
Go further
- All Jagiellonia predictions
- All Rangers predictions
- UEFA Europa League predictions
- Today’s predictions
- Our methodology