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UEFA Europa LeagueUEFA Europa League· Kick-off : Thursday, August 6, 2026, 17:00 (UK time)

Maccabi Tel Aviv vs CSKA Sofia: 0-3 result and AI prediction review

Maccabi Tel AvivMaccabi Tel Aviv0 – 3CSKA SofiaCSKA Sofia

Review: prediction vs result

1X2 outcome missedExact score missedMost likely score before kick-off : 1-0

Final score: Maccabi Tel Aviv 0-3 CSKA Sofia. The outcome was missed: the model favoured victory for Maccabi Tel Aviv (47%), while victory for CSKA Sofia was rated at only 25%. The model considered this score unlikely (1.2%). On goals, the model expected both teams to score (51%): missed; it pointed to under 2.5 goals (50%): missed.

Match analysis

Maccabi Tel Aviv and CSKA Sofia met on Thursday, August 6, 2026, a UEFA Europa League fixture. Venue: Batumi Arena, Batumi. Before kick-off, our model gave Maccabi Tel Aviv a 47% chance of winning, the draw 28% and CSKA Sofia 25%. On the correct score, 1-0 comes out on top (11.6%), followed by 1-1 (11.6%) and 2-0 (9.7%).

Over their last 5 matches, Maccabi Tel Aviv have 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 defeats, scoring 7 and conceding 4. CSKA Sofia are unbeaten in their last 5 matches (3 wins, 2 draws), scoring 8 and conceding 3. Both sides come in with similar form. On average Maccabi Tel Aviv score 1.40 and concede 0.80 goals per game; CSKA Sofia score 1.60 and concede 0.60.

Our data holds no recent head-to-head between Maccabi Tel Aviv and CSKA Sofia: the prediction relies on each team's form and level. In double chance terms, "Maccabi Tel Aviv or draw" stands at 75%, "CSKA Sofia or draw" at 53% and "no draw" at 72%.

Outcome probabilities (1X2)

47%
Maccabi Tel Aviv (Win)
28%
Draw
25%
CSKA Sofia (Win)

Double chance

75%
Maccabi Tel Aviv or draw
53%
CSKA Sofia or draw
72%
No draw

Most likely correct scores

Scores shown as Maccabi Tel Aviv – CSKA Sofia. 1-0 is the single most likely scoreline (11.6%); the 5 scores below add up to 50% of all outcomes, which is why an exact score remains hard to call.

ScoreProbability
Maccabi Tel Aviv 1-0 CSKA Sofia11.6%
Maccabi Tel Aviv 1-1 CSKA Sofia11.6%
Maccabi Tel Aviv 2-0 CSKA Sofia9.7%
Maccabi Tel Aviv 2-1 CSKA Sofia9.7%
Maccabi Tel Aviv 0-0 CSKA Sofia6.9%

Goals: both teams to score, over/under

With 1.67 expected goals for Maccabi Tel Aviv and 1.00 for CSKA Sofia, "over 2.5 goals" is rated at 50% and "both teams to score" at 51%. Maccabi Tel Aviv keep a clean sheet in 37% of scenarios, CSKA Sofia in 19%.

Probability
Maccabi Tel Aviv expected goals1.67
CSKA Sofia expected goals1.00
Both teams to score51%
Over 1.5 goals75%
Over 2.5 goals50%
Over 3.5 goals28%
Maccabi Tel Aviv clean sheet37%
CSKA Sofia clean sheet19%

Recent form

Latest matches played before this game in the competitions Elofoot covers.

Maccabi Tel Aviv

DateOpponentScore
Jul 30, 2026Sheriff Tiraspol · UEFA Europa League1-0W
Jul 23, 2026Sheriff Tiraspol · UEFA Europa League5-0W
Jul 3, 2026IMT Novi Beograd · Club Friendlies0-1L
Jun 30, 2026Alashkert · Club Friendlies1-0W
Jan 29, 2026Bologna · UEFA Europa League0-3L

CSKA Sofia

DateOpponentScore
Jul 30, 2026Qarabag · UEFA Europa League0-0D
Jul 23, 2026Qarabag · UEFA Europa League0-0D
Jul 16, 2026Derry City · UEFA Europa League2-1W
Jul 9, 2026Derry City · UEFA Europa League3-2W
Jul 3, 2026Marek · Club Friendlies3-0W

Head-to-head

Our data holds no recent head-to-head between Maccabi Tel Aviv and CSKA Sofia: the prediction relies on each team's form and level.

Out and doubtful

Maccabi Tel Aviv

No absences reported.

CSKA Sofia

No absences reported.

Other matches in this competition

Frequently asked questions

What is the Maccabi Tel Aviv vs CSKA Sofia prediction?

Before the match, our AI gave Maccabi Tel Aviv a 47% chance of winning, the draw 28% and CSKA Sofia 25%. Maccabi Tel Aviv are therefore favourites. Final score: 0-3.

What is the most likely correct score for Maccabi Tel Aviv vs CSKA Sofia?

1-0 (11.6%), followed by 1-1 (11.6%), 2-0 (9.7%), 2-1 (9.7%) and 0-0 (6.9%).

Will both teams score in Maccabi Tel Aviv vs CSKA Sofia?

The probability that both Maccabi Tel Aviv and CSKA Sofia score is 51%. Maccabi Tel Aviv have a 37% chance of keeping a clean sheet, CSKA Sofia 19%.

How many goals should we expect in Maccabi Tel Aviv vs CSKA Sofia?

The model expects 2.67 goals (1.67 for Maccabi Tel Aviv, 1.00 for CSKA Sofia). Probabilities: over 1.5 goals 75%, over 2.5 goals 50%, over 3.5 goals 28%.

When and where is Maccabi Tel Aviv vs CSKA Sofia played?

Thursday, August 6, 2026 at 17:00 (UK time), UEFA Europa League. Venue: Batumi Arena, Batumi.

What form are Maccabi Tel Aviv and CSKA Sofia in?

Maccabi Tel Aviv: 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches (7 scored, 4 conceded). CSKA Sofia: 3 wins, 2 draws and 0 defeats in their last 5 matches (8 scored, 3 conceded).

What was the Maccabi Tel Aviv vs CSKA Sofia result, and was the prediction right?

Final score: Maccabi Tel Aviv 0-3 CSKA Sofia. The outcome was missed: the model favoured victory for Maccabi Tel Aviv (47%), while victory for CSKA Sofia was rated at only 25%. The model considered this score unlikely (1.2%). On goals, the model expected both teams to score (51%): missed; it pointed to under 2.5 goals (50%): missed.

How is the Maccabi Tel Aviv vs CSKA Sofia prediction calculated?

The model estimates each team's expected goals (1.67 for Maccabi Tel Aviv, 1.00 for CSKA Sofia) from recent form, xG and standings, then applies a Poisson distribution: every possible score gets a probability, from which the 1X2, correct score, both teams to score and total goals are derived. Every figure is calculated, none is made up.

Go further

Key terms explained