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UEFA Europa LeagueUEFA Europa League· Kick-off : Thursday, August 20, 2026, 16:00 (UK time)

Kairat Almaty vs Anderlecht: 0-3 result and AI prediction review

Kairat AlmatyKairat Almaty0 – 3AnderlechtAnderlecht

Review: prediction vs result

1X2 outcome correctExact score missedMost likely score before kick-off : 1-2

Final score: Kairat Almaty 0-3 Anderlecht. The 1X2 prediction came good: victory for Anderlecht was the model's favourite outcome (66%). The final score ranked 5th among the most likely scorelines (6.3%), behind 1-2. On goals, the model expected both teams to score (65%): missed; it pointed to over 2.5 goals (73%): correct.

Match analysis

Kairat Almaty vs Anderlecht was played on Thursday, August 20, 2026 (UEFA Europa League). Venue: Central Stadium, Almaty. Before kick-off, our model gave Kairat Almaty a 17% chance of winning, the draw 17% and Anderlecht 66%. The most likely correct score is 1-2 (9.1%), ahead of 1-3 (7.7%) and 0-2 (7.4%).

Over their last 5 matches, Kairat Almaty have 2 wins, 0 draws and 3 defeats, scoring 3 and conceding 3. Over their last 5 matches, Anderlecht have 4 wins, 0 draws and 1 defeat, scoring 9 and conceding 5. Recent momentum is clearly with Anderlecht. On average Kairat Almaty score 0.60 and concede 0.60 goals per game; Anderlecht score 1.80 and concede 1.00.

Our data holds no recent head-to-head between Kairat Almaty and Anderlecht: the prediction relies on each team's form and level. In double chance terms, "Kairat Almaty or draw" stands at 34%, "Anderlecht or draw" at 83% and "no draw" at 83%.

Outcome probabilities (1X2)

17%
Kairat Almaty (Win)
17%
Draw
66%
Anderlecht (Win)

Double chance

34%
Kairat Almaty or draw
83%
Anderlecht or draw
83%
No draw

Most likely correct scores

Scores shown as Kairat Almaty – Anderlecht. 1-2 is the single most likely scoreline (9.1%); the 5 scores below add up to 38% of all outcomes, which is why an exact score remains hard to call.

ScoreProbability
Kairat Almaty 1-2 Anderlecht9.1%
Kairat Almaty 1-3 Anderlecht7.7%
Kairat Almaty 0-2 Anderlecht7.4%
Kairat Almaty 1-1 Anderlecht7.2%
Kairat Almaty 0-3 Anderlecht6.3%

Goals: both teams to score, over/under

The model expects 3.77 goals in total (1.23 for Kairat Almaty, 2.54 for Anderlecht): over 2.5 goals has a 73% probability and both teams to score 65%. Everything points to an open game. Kairat Almaty keep a clean sheet in 8% of scenarios, Anderlecht in 29%.

Probability
Kairat Almaty expected goals1.23
Anderlecht expected goals2.54
Both teams to score65%
Over 1.5 goals89%
Over 2.5 goals73%
Over 3.5 goals52%
Kairat Almaty clean sheet8%
Anderlecht clean sheet29%

Recent form

Latest matches played before this game in the competitions Elofoot covers.

Kairat Almaty

DateOpponentScore
Aug 11, 2026Levski Sofia · UEFA Champions League0-1L
Aug 4, 2026Levski Sofia · UEFA Champions League0-1L
Jul 29, 2026Omonia Nicosia · UEFA Champions League1-0W
Jul 22, 2026Omonia Nicosia · UEFA Champions League0-1L
Jul 15, 2026Sutjeska · UEFA Champions League2-0W

Anderlecht

DateOpponentScore
Aug 16, 2026SK Beveren · Jupiler Pro League0-1L
Aug 13, 2026PAOK · UEFA Europa League3-2W
Aug 9, 2026RAAL La Louvière · Jupiler Pro League2-1W
Aug 6, 2026PAOK · UEFA Europa League1-0W
Jul 30, 2026Hammarby FF · UEFA Europa League3-1W

Head-to-head

Our data holds no recent head-to-head between Kairat Almaty and Anderlecht: the prediction relies on each team's form and level.

Out and doubtful

Kairat Almaty

No absences reported.

Anderlecht

No absences reported.

Other matches in this competition

Frequently asked questions

What is the Kairat Almaty vs Anderlecht prediction?

Before the match, our AI gave Kairat Almaty a 17% chance of winning, the draw 17% and Anderlecht 66%. Anderlecht are therefore favourites. Final score: 0-3.

What is the most likely correct score for Kairat Almaty vs Anderlecht?

1-2 (9.1%), followed by 1-3 (7.7%), 0-2 (7.4%), 1-1 (7.2%) and 0-3 (6.3%).

Will both teams score in Kairat Almaty vs Anderlecht?

The probability that both Kairat Almaty and Anderlecht score is 65%. Kairat Almaty have a 8% chance of keeping a clean sheet, Anderlecht 29%.

How many goals should we expect in Kairat Almaty vs Anderlecht?

The model expects 3.77 goals (1.23 for Kairat Almaty, 2.54 for Anderlecht). Probabilities: over 1.5 goals 89%, over 2.5 goals 73%, over 3.5 goals 52%.

When and where is Kairat Almaty vs Anderlecht played?

Thursday, August 20, 2026 at 16:00 (UK time), UEFA Europa League. Venue: Central Stadium, Almaty.

What form are Kairat Almaty and Anderlecht in?

Kairat Almaty: 2 wins, 0 draws and 3 defeats in their last 5 matches (3 scored, 3 conceded). Anderlecht: 4 wins, 0 draws and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches (9 scored, 5 conceded).

What was the Kairat Almaty vs Anderlecht result, and was the prediction right?

Final score: Kairat Almaty 0-3 Anderlecht. The 1X2 prediction came good: victory for Anderlecht was the model's favourite outcome (66%). The final score ranked 5th among the most likely scorelines (6.3%), behind 1-2. On goals, the model expected both teams to score (65%): missed; it pointed to over 2.5 goals (73%): correct.

How is the Kairat Almaty vs Anderlecht prediction calculated?

The model estimates each team's expected goals (1.23 for Kairat Almaty, 2.54 for Anderlecht) from recent form, xG and standings, then applies a Poisson distribution: every possible score gets a probability, from which the 1X2, correct score, both teams to score and total goals are derived. Every figure is calculated, none is made up.

Go further

Key terms explained