La Liga· Kick-off : Sunday, August 30, 2026, 20:30 (UK time)
Celta Vigo vs Athletic Club: 0-2 result and AI prediction review
Review: prediction vs result
Final score: Celta Vigo 0-2 Athletic Club. The outcome was missed: the model favoured a draw (44%), while victory for Athletic Club was rated at only 32%. The final score ranked 5th among the most likely scorelines (6.3%), behind 0-0. On goals, the model did not expect both teams to score (17%): correct; it pointed to under 2.5 goals (10%): correct.
Match analysis
Celta Vigo vs Athletic Club was played on Sunday, August 30, 2026 (La Liga, matchday 3). Venue: Municipal de Balaídos, Vigo. Before kick-off, our model gave Celta Vigo a 24% chance of winning, the draw 44% and Athletic Club 32%. The most likely correct score is 0-0 (33.6%), ahead of 0-1 (20.5%) and 1-0 (16.1%).
Celta Vigo have won just one of their last 5 matches (3 draws, 1 defeat), scoring 8 and conceding 6. Athletic Club have not won any of their last 5 matches (0 draws, 5 defeats), scoring 3 and conceding 12. Recent momentum is clearly with Celta Vigo. On average Celta Vigo score 1.60 and concede 1.20 goals per game; Athletic Club score 0.60 and concede 2.40. In the table, Celta Vigo sit 16th with 1 points from 2 games, Athletic Club 20th with 0 points from 2. The two teams are close in the standings. Over their recent games, Celta Vigo have averaged 0.40 xG (expected goals) per match, against 0.73 for Athletic Club.
In the last 2 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 1 win for Celta Vigo, 0 for Athletic Club and 1 draw. The most recent ended Athletic Club 1-1 Celta Vigo (May 17, 2026). Celta Vigo out or doubtful: B. Iglesias and M. Alonso. Athletic Club: U. Egiluz, A. Gorosabel, B. Prados Diaz, N. Serrano and D. Vivian. In double chance terms, "Celta Vigo or draw" stands at 68%, "Athletic Club or draw" at 76% and "no draw" at 56%.
Outcome probabilities (1X2)
Double chance
Most likely correct scores
Scores shown as Celta Vigo – Athletic Club. 0-0 is the single most likely scoreline (33.6%); the 5 scores below add up to 86% of all outcomes, which is why an exact score remains hard to call.
| Score | Probability |
|---|---|
| Celta Vigo 0-0 Athletic Club | 33.6% |
| Celta Vigo 0-1 Athletic Club | 20.5% |
| Celta Vigo 1-0 Athletic Club | 16.1% |
| Celta Vigo 1-1 Athletic Club | 9.8% |
| Celta Vigo 0-2 Athletic Club | 6.3% |
Goals: both teams to score, over/under
The model expects 1.09 goals in total (0.48 for Celta Vigo, 0.61 for Athletic Club): over 2.5 goals has a 10% probability and both teams to score 17%. A tight, low-scoring game is on the cards. Celta Vigo keep a clean sheet in 54% of scenarios, Athletic Club in 62%.
| Probability | |
|---|---|
| Celta Vigo expected goals | 0.48 |
| Athletic Club expected goals | 0.61 |
| Both teams to score | 17% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 30% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 10% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 3% |
| Celta Vigo clean sheet | 54% |
| Athletic Club clean sheet | 62% |
Recent form
Latest matches played before this game in the competitions Elofoot covers.
Celta Vigo
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 27, 2026 | Osasuna · La Liga | 1-2 | L |
| Aug 22, 2026 | Valencia · La Liga | 0-0 | D |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Napoli · Club Friendlies | 1-1 | D |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Sassuolo · Club Friendlies | 4-1 | W |
| Jul 29, 2026 | Academico Viseu · Club Friendlies | 2-2 | D |
Athletic Club
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 27, 2026 | Barcelona · La Liga | 0-2 | L |
| Aug 22, 2026 | Sevilla · La Liga | 1-3 | L |
| Aug 21, 2026 | Zaragoza · Club Friendlies | 1-3 | L |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Atalanta · Club Friendlies | 0-1 | L |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Marseille · Club Friendlies | 1-3 | L |
Standings before the match
| Pos. | Points | Played | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Celta Vigo | 16 | 1 | 2 |
| Athletic Club | 20 | 0 | 2 |
Head-to-head
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 17, 2026 | Athletic Club 1-1 Celta Vigo | La Liga |
| Dec 14, 2025 | Celta Vigo 2-0 Athletic Club | La Liga |
Out and doubtful
Celta Vigo
- B. Iglesias (out)
- M. Alonso (out)
Athletic Club
- U. Egiluz (out)
- A. Gorosabel (out)
- B. Prados Diaz (out)
- N. Serrano (out)
- D. Vivian (out)
Other matches in this competition
- Barcelona 2-0 Athletic ClubAug 27, 2026
- Racing Santander 3-2 ElcheAug 28, 2026
- Alaves 1-0 VillarrealAug 28, 2026
- Levante 5-2 Real BetisAug 29, 2026
- Real Sociedad 2-1 EspanyolAug 29, 2026
- Sevilla 1-3 Atletico MadridAug 29, 2026
- Real Madrid 4-0 MalagaAug 30, 2026
- Deportivo La Coruna 3-1 ValenciaAug 30, 2026
- Osasuna 1-0 GetafeAug 31, 2026
- Barcelona 5-2 Rayo VallecanoAug 31, 2026
Frequently asked questions
What is the Celta Vigo vs Athletic Club prediction?
Before the match, our AI gave Celta Vigo a 24% chance of winning, the draw 44% and Athletic Club 32%. A draw is therefore the most likely outcome. Final score: 0-2.
What is the most likely correct score for Celta Vigo vs Athletic Club?
0-0 (33.6%), followed by 0-1 (20.5%), 1-0 (16.1%), 1-1 (9.8%) and 0-2 (6.3%).
Will both teams score in Celta Vigo vs Athletic Club?
The probability that both Celta Vigo and Athletic Club score is 17%. Celta Vigo have a 54% chance of keeping a clean sheet, Athletic Club 62%.
How many goals should we expect in Celta Vigo vs Athletic Club?
The model expects 1.09 goals (0.48 for Celta Vigo, 0.61 for Athletic Club). Probabilities: over 1.5 goals 30%, over 2.5 goals 10%, over 3.5 goals 3%.
When and where is Celta Vigo vs Athletic Club played?
Sunday, August 30, 2026 at 20:30 (UK time), La Liga, matchday 3. Venue: Municipal de Balaídos, Vigo.
What form are Celta Vigo and Athletic Club in?
Celta Vigo: 1 win, 3 draws and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches (8 scored, 6 conceded). Athletic Club: 0 wins, 0 draws and 5 defeats in their last 5 matches (3 scored, 12 conceded).
What is the head-to-head record between Celta Vigo and Athletic Club?
In the last 2 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 1 win for Celta Vigo, 0 for Athletic Club and 1 draw. The most recent ended Athletic Club 1-1 Celta Vigo (May 17, 2026).
What was the Celta Vigo vs Athletic Club result, and was the prediction right?
Final score: Celta Vigo 0-2 Athletic Club. The outcome was missed: the model favoured a draw (44%), while victory for Athletic Club was rated at only 32%. The final score ranked 5th among the most likely scorelines (6.3%), behind 0-0. On goals, the model did not expect both teams to score (17%): correct; it pointed to under 2.5 goals (10%): correct.
How is the Celta Vigo vs Athletic Club prediction calculated?
The model estimates each team's expected goals (0.48 for Celta Vigo, 0.61 for Athletic Club) from recent form, xG and standings, then applies a Poisson distribution: every possible score gets a probability, from which the 1X2, correct score, both teams to score and total goals are derived. Every figure is calculated, none is made up.
Go further
- All Celta Vigo predictions
- All Athletic Club predictions
- La Liga predictions
- Today’s predictions
- Our methodology