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La LigaLa Liga· Kick-off : Friday, August 28, 2026, 18:00 (UK time)

Racing Santander vs Elche: 3-2 result and AI prediction review

Racing SantanderRacing Santander3 – 2ElcheElche

Review: prediction vs result

1X2 outcome correctExact score missedMost likely score before kick-off : 1-0

Final score: Racing Santander 3-2 Elche. The AI called the outcome correctly: it rated victory for Racing Santander at 60%. The model considered this score unlikely (2.5%). On goals, the model did not expect both teams to score (48%): missed; it pointed to under 2.5 goals (49%): missed.

Match analysis

Racing Santander and Elche met on Friday, August 28, 2026, a La Liga, matchday 3 fixture. Venue: Estadio El Sardinero, Santander. Before kick-off, our model gave Racing Santander a 60% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Elche 17%. On the correct score, 1-0 comes out on top (12.7%), followed by 2-0 (11.4%) and 1-1 (10.8%).

Racing Santander have won just one of their last 5 matches (2 draws, 2 defeats), scoring 7 and conceding 8. Elche have not won any of their last 5 matches (4 draws, 1 defeat), scoring 5 and conceding 10. Both sides come in with similar form. On average Racing Santander score 1.40 and concede 1.60 goals per game; Elche score 1.00 and concede 2.00. In the table, Racing Santander sit 12th with 1 points from 2 games, Elche 18th with 1 points from 2. 6 places separate the two sides. Over their recent games, Racing Santander have averaged 1.59 xG (expected goals) per match, against 0.96 for Elche.

In the last 5 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 2 wins for Racing Santander, 2 for Elche and 1 draw. Racing Santander out or doubtful: G. Guliashvili and Pedro Felipe. Elche: A. Boayar and Y. Santiago. In double chance terms, "Racing Santander or draw" stands at 83%, "Elche or draw" at 40% and "no draw" at 77%.

Outcome probabilities (1X2)

60%
Racing Santander (Win)
23%
Draw
17%
Elche (Win)

Double chance

83%
Racing Santander or draw
40%
Elche or draw
77%
No draw

Most likely correct scores

Scores shown as Racing Santander – Elche. 1-0 is the single most likely scoreline (12.7%); the 5 scores below add up to 52% of all outcomes, which is why an exact score remains hard to call.

ScoreProbability
Racing Santander 1-0 Elche12.7%
Racing Santander 2-0 Elche11.4%
Racing Santander 1-1 Elche10.8%
Racing Santander 2-1 Elche9.7%
Racing Santander 0-0 Elche7.1%

Goals: both teams to score, over/under

With 1.80 expected goals for Racing Santander and 0.85 for Elche, "over 2.5 goals" is rated at 49% and "both teams to score" at 48%. Racing Santander keep a clean sheet in 43% of scenarios, Elche in 17%.

Probability
Racing Santander expected goals1.80
Elche expected goals0.85
Both teams to score48%
Over 1.5 goals74%
Over 2.5 goals49%
Over 3.5 goals28%
Racing Santander clean sheet43%
Elche clean sheet17%

Recent form

Latest matches played before this game in the competitions Elofoot covers.

Racing Santander

DateOpponentScore
Aug 23, 2026Getafe · La Liga0-1L
Aug 16, 2026Villarreal · La Liga2-2D
Aug 7, 2026Alaves · Club Friendlies1-1D
Aug 7, 2026Sporting Gijon · Club Friendlies4-1W
Aug 1, 2026Wolves · Club Friendlies0-3L

Elche

DateOpponentScore
Aug 23, 2026Barcelona · La Liga0-5L
Aug 17, 2026Deportivo La Coruna · La Liga1-1D
Jul 31, 2026Cordoba · Club Friendlies2-2D
Jul 28, 2026Al Ain · Club Friendlies2-2D
Jul 24, 2026Johor Darul Takzim FC · Club Friendlies0-0D

Standings before the match

Pos.PointsPlayed
Racing Santander1212
Elche1812

Head-to-head

In the last 5 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 2 wins for Racing Santander, 2 for Elche and 1 draw.

Out and doubtful

Racing Santander

  • G. Guliashvili (out)
  • Pedro Felipe (out)

Elche

  • A. Boayar (out)
  • Y. Santiago (out)

Other matches in this competition

Frequently asked questions

What is the Racing Santander vs Elche prediction?

Before the match, our AI gave Racing Santander a 60% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Elche 17%. Racing Santander are therefore favourites. Final score: 3-2.

What is the most likely correct score for Racing Santander vs Elche?

1-0 (12.7%), followed by 2-0 (11.4%), 1-1 (10.8%), 2-1 (9.7%) and 0-0 (7.1%).

Will both teams score in Racing Santander vs Elche?

The probability that both Racing Santander and Elche score is 48%. Racing Santander have a 43% chance of keeping a clean sheet, Elche 17%.

How many goals should we expect in Racing Santander vs Elche?

The model expects 2.65 goals (1.80 for Racing Santander, 0.85 for Elche). Probabilities: over 1.5 goals 74%, over 2.5 goals 49%, over 3.5 goals 28%.

When and where is Racing Santander vs Elche played?

Friday, August 28, 2026 at 18:00 (UK time), La Liga, matchday 3. Venue: Estadio El Sardinero, Santander.

What form are Racing Santander and Elche in?

Racing Santander: 1 win, 2 draws and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches (7 scored, 8 conceded). Elche: 0 wins, 4 draws and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches (5 scored, 10 conceded).

What is the head-to-head record between Racing Santander and Elche?

In the last 5 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 2 wins for Racing Santander, 2 for Elche and 1 draw.

What was the Racing Santander vs Elche result, and was the prediction right?

Final score: Racing Santander 3-2 Elche. The AI called the outcome correctly: it rated victory for Racing Santander at 60%. The model considered this score unlikely (2.5%). On goals, the model did not expect both teams to score (48%): missed; it pointed to under 2.5 goals (49%): missed.

How is the Racing Santander vs Elche prediction calculated?

The model estimates each team's expected goals (1.80 for Racing Santander, 0.85 for Elche) from recent form, xG and standings, then applies a Poisson distribution: every possible score gets a probability, from which the 1X2, correct score, both teams to score and total goals are derived. Every figure is calculated, none is made up.

Go further

Key terms explained