La Liga· Kick-off : Saturday, August 29, 2026, 18:00 (UK time)
Real Sociedad vs Espanyol: 2-1 result and AI prediction review
Review: prediction vs result
Final score: Real Sociedad 2-1 Espanyol. The outcome was missed: the model favoured victory for Espanyol (61%), while victory for Real Sociedad was rated at only 16%. The final score ranked 9th among the most likely scorelines (4.0%), behind 0-1. On goals, the model did not expect both teams to score (43%): missed; it pointed to under 2.5 goals (44%): missed.
Match analysis
Real Sociedad vs Espanyol was played on Saturday, August 29, 2026 (La Liga, matchday 3). Venue: Anoeta, San Sebastian. Before kick-off, our model gave Real Sociedad a 16% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Espanyol 61%. The most likely correct score is 0-1 (14.8%), ahead of 0-2 (12.6%) and 1-1 (10.9%).
Real Sociedad have not won any of their last 5 matches (0 draws, 5 defeats), scoring 4 and conceding 12. Espanyol have won just one of their last 5 matches (2 draws, 2 defeats), scoring 10 and conceding 10. Recent momentum is clearly with Espanyol. On average Real Sociedad score 0.80 and concede 2.40 goals per game; Espanyol score 2.00 and concede 2.00. In the table, Real Sociedad sit 20th with 0 points from 2 games, Espanyol 8th with 3 points from 2. 12 places separate the two sides. Over their recent games, Real Sociedad have averaged 0.97 xG (expected goals) per match, against 1.30 for Espanyol.
In the last 2 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 0 wins for Real Sociedad, 0 for Espanyol and 2 draws. The most recent ended Espanyol 1-1 Real Sociedad (May 23, 2026). Real Sociedad out or doubtful: J. Gorrotxategi, P. Marin and A. Odriozola. Espanyol: L. Cabrera, K. Garcia, J. Puado and B. Zaragoza. In double chance terms, "Real Sociedad or draw" stands at 39%, "Espanyol or draw" at 84% and "no draw" at 77%.
Outcome probabilities (1X2)
Double chance
Most likely correct scores
Scores shown as Real Sociedad – Espanyol. 0-1 is the single most likely scoreline (14.8%); the 5 scores below add up to 56% of all outcomes, which is why an exact score remains hard to call.
| Score | Probability |
|---|---|
| Real Sociedad 0-1 Espanyol | 14.8% |
| Real Sociedad 0-2 Espanyol | 12.6% |
| Real Sociedad 1-1 Espanyol | 10.9% |
| Real Sociedad 1-2 Espanyol | 9.3% |
| Real Sociedad 0-0 Espanyol | 8.6% |
Goals: both teams to score, over/under
The model expects 2.45 goals in total (0.74 for Real Sociedad, 1.71 for Espanyol): over 2.5 goals has a 44% probability and both teams to score 43%. Real Sociedad keep a clean sheet in 18% of scenarios, Espanyol in 48%.
| Probability | |
|---|---|
| Real Sociedad expected goals | 0.74 |
| Espanyol expected goals | 1.71 |
| Both teams to score | 43% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 70% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 44% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 23% |
| Real Sociedad clean sheet | 18% |
| Espanyol clean sheet | 48% |
Recent form
Latest matches played before this game in the competitions Elofoot covers.
Real Sociedad
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 26, 2026 | Real Madrid · La Liga | 1-4 | L |
| Aug 21, 2026 | Real Betis · La Liga | 0-1 | L |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Chelsea · Club Friendlies | 1-3 | L |
| Aug 8, 2026 | 1. FC Köln · Club Friendlies | 1-2 | L |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Toulouse · Club Friendlies | 1-2 | L |
Espanyol
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Real Madrid · La Liga | 1-2 | L |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Levante · La Liga | 3-0 | W |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Coventry · Club Friendlies | 1-3 | L |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Middlesbrough · Club Friendlies | 3-3 | D |
| Jul 29, 2026 | Burnley · Club Friendlies | 2-2 | D |
Standings before the match
| Pos. | Points | Played | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Real Sociedad | 20 | 0 | 2 |
| Espanyol | 8 | 3 | 2 |
Head-to-head
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 23, 2026 | Espanyol 1-1 Real Sociedad | La Liga |
| Aug 24, 2025 | Real Sociedad 2-2 Espanyol | La Liga |
Out and doubtful
Real Sociedad
- J. Gorrotxategi (out)
- P. Marin (out)
- A. Odriozola (out)
Espanyol
- L. Cabrera (out)
- K. Garcia (out)
- J. Puado (out)
- B. Zaragoza (out)
Other matches in this competition
- Celta Vigo 1-2 OsasunaAug 27, 2026
- Barcelona 2-0 Athletic ClubAug 27, 2026
- Racing Santander 3-2 ElcheAug 28, 2026
- Alaves 1-0 VillarrealAug 28, 2026
- Levante 5-2 Real BetisAug 29, 2026
- Sevilla 1-3 Atletico MadridAug 29, 2026
- Real Madrid 4-0 MalagaAug 30, 2026
- Deportivo La Coruna 3-1 ValenciaAug 30, 2026
- Celta Vigo 0-2 Athletic ClubAug 30, 2026
- Osasuna 1-0 GetafeAug 31, 2026
Frequently asked questions
What is the Real Sociedad vs Espanyol prediction?
Before the match, our AI gave Real Sociedad a 16% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Espanyol 61%. Espanyol are therefore favourites. Final score: 2-1.
What is the most likely correct score for Real Sociedad vs Espanyol?
0-1 (14.8%), followed by 0-2 (12.6%), 1-1 (10.9%), 1-2 (9.3%) and 0-0 (8.6%).
Will both teams score in Real Sociedad vs Espanyol?
The probability that both Real Sociedad and Espanyol score is 43%. Real Sociedad have a 18% chance of keeping a clean sheet, Espanyol 48%.
How many goals should we expect in Real Sociedad vs Espanyol?
The model expects 2.45 goals (0.74 for Real Sociedad, 1.71 for Espanyol). Probabilities: over 1.5 goals 70%, over 2.5 goals 44%, over 3.5 goals 23%.
When and where is Real Sociedad vs Espanyol played?
Saturday, August 29, 2026 at 18:00 (UK time), La Liga, matchday 3. Venue: Anoeta, San Sebastian.
What form are Real Sociedad and Espanyol in?
Real Sociedad: 0 wins, 0 draws and 5 defeats in their last 5 matches (4 scored, 12 conceded). Espanyol: 1 win, 2 draws and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches (10 scored, 10 conceded).
What is the head-to-head record between Real Sociedad and Espanyol?
In the last 2 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 0 wins for Real Sociedad, 0 for Espanyol and 2 draws. The most recent ended Espanyol 1-1 Real Sociedad (May 23, 2026).
What was the Real Sociedad vs Espanyol result, and was the prediction right?
Final score: Real Sociedad 2-1 Espanyol. The outcome was missed: the model favoured victory for Espanyol (61%), while victory for Real Sociedad was rated at only 16%. The final score ranked 9th among the most likely scorelines (4.0%), behind 0-1. On goals, the model did not expect both teams to score (43%): missed; it pointed to under 2.5 goals (44%): missed.
How is the Real Sociedad vs Espanyol prediction calculated?
The model estimates each team's expected goals (0.74 for Real Sociedad, 1.71 for Espanyol) from recent form, xG and standings, then applies a Poisson distribution: every possible score gets a probability, from which the 1X2, correct score, both teams to score and total goals are derived. Every figure is calculated, none is made up.
Go further
- All Real Sociedad predictions
- All Espanyol predictions
- La Liga predictions
- Today’s predictions
- Our methodology