La Liga· Kick-off : Monday, August 31, 2026, 18:30 (UK time)
Osasuna vs Getafe: 1-0 result and AI prediction review
Review: prediction vs result
Final score: Osasuna 1-0 Getafe. The AI called the outcome correctly: it rated victory for Osasuna at 43%. The final score ranked 2nd among the most likely scorelines (14.3%), behind 2-0. On goals, the model did not expect both teams to score (38%): correct; it pointed to over 2.5 goals (51%): missed.
Match analysis
Osasuna and Getafe met on Monday, August 31, 2026, a La Liga, matchday 3 fixture. Venue: Estadio El Sadar, Pamplona. Before kick-off, our model gave Osasuna a 43% chance of winning, the draw 33% and Getafe 23%. On the correct score, 2-0 comes out on top (15.2%), followed by 1-0 (14.3%) and 3-0 (10.8%).
Over their last 5 matches, Osasuna have 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats, scoring 5 and conceding 6. Over their last 5 matches, Getafe have 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats, scoring 6 and conceding 7. Both sides come in with similar form. On average Osasuna score 1.00 and concede 1.20 goals per game; Getafe score 1.20 and concede 1.40. In the table, Osasuna sit 8th with 4 points from 2 games, Getafe 13th with 3 points from 2. The two teams are close in the standings. Over their recent games, Osasuna have averaged 1.65 xG (expected goals) per match, against 0.74 for Getafe.
In the last 2 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 1 win for Osasuna, 1 for Getafe and 0 draws. The most recent ended Getafe 1-0 Osasuna (May 23, 2026). Osasuna out or doubtful: V. Rosier. Getafe: Juanmi and C. Uche. In double chance terms, "Osasuna or draw" stands at 77%, "Getafe or draw" at 57% and "no draw" at 67%.
Outcome probabilities (1X2)
Double chance
Most likely correct scores
Scores shown as Osasuna – Getafe. 2-0 is the single most likely scoreline (15.2%); the 5 scores below add up to 57% of all outcomes, which is why an exact score remains hard to call.
| Score | Probability |
|---|---|
| Osasuna 2-0 Getafe | 15.2% |
| Osasuna 1-0 Getafe | 14.3% |
| Osasuna 3-0 Getafe | 10.8% |
| Osasuna 2-1 Getafe | 8.7% |
| Osasuna 1-1 Getafe | 8.2% |
Goals: both teams to score, over/under
With 2.13 expected goals for Osasuna and 0.57 for Getafe, "over 2.5 goals" is rated at 51% and "both teams to score" at 38%. Osasuna keep a clean sheet in 57% of scenarios, Getafe in 12%.
| Probability | |
|---|---|
| Osasuna expected goals | 2.13 |
| Getafe expected goals | 0.57 |
| Both teams to score | 38% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 75% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 51% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 29% |
| Osasuna clean sheet | 57% |
| Getafe clean sheet | 12% |
Recent form
Latest matches played before this game in the competitions Elofoot covers.
Osasuna
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 27, 2026 | Celta Vigo · La Liga | 2-1 | W |
| Aug 24, 2026 | Levante · La Liga | 0-0 | D |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Al Ain · Club Friendlies | 0-2 | L |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Napoli · Club Friendlies | 1-2 | L |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Norwich · Club Friendlies | 2-1 | W |
Getafe
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 27, 2026 | FK Partizan · UEFA Conference League | 1-2 | L |
| Aug 23, 2026 | Racing Santander · La Liga | 1-0 | W |
| Aug 20, 2026 | FK Partizan · UEFA Conference League | 3-1 | W |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Alaves · La Liga | 0-3 | L |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Tottenham · Club Friendlies | 1-1 | D |
Standings before the match
| Pos. | Points | Played | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Osasuna | 8 | 4 | 2 |
| Getafe | 13 | 3 | 2 |
Head-to-head
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 23, 2026 | Getafe 1-0 Osasuna | La Liga |
| Oct 3, 2025 | Osasuna 2-1 Getafe | La Liga |
Out and doubtful
Osasuna
- V. Rosier (out)
Getafe
- Juanmi (out)
- C. Uche (out)
Other matches in this competition
- Racing Santander 3-2 ElcheAug 28, 2026
- Alaves 1-0 VillarrealAug 28, 2026
- Levante 5-2 Real BetisAug 29, 2026
- Real Sociedad 2-1 EspanyolAug 29, 2026
- Sevilla 1-3 Atletico MadridAug 29, 2026
- Real Madrid 4-0 MalagaAug 30, 2026
- Deportivo La Coruna 3-1 ValenciaAug 30, 2026
- Celta Vigo 0-2 Athletic ClubAug 30, 2026
- Barcelona 5-2 Rayo VallecanoAug 31, 2026
- Real Sociedad 0-0 Celta VigoSep 3, 2026
Frequently asked questions
What is the Osasuna vs Getafe prediction?
Before the match, our AI gave Osasuna a 43% chance of winning, the draw 33% and Getafe 23%. Osasuna are therefore slight favourites. Final score: 1-0.
What is the most likely correct score for Osasuna vs Getafe?
2-0 (15.2%), followed by 1-0 (14.3%), 3-0 (10.8%), 2-1 (8.7%) and 1-1 (8.2%).
Will both teams score in Osasuna vs Getafe?
The probability that both Osasuna and Getafe score is 38%. Osasuna have a 57% chance of keeping a clean sheet, Getafe 12%.
How many goals should we expect in Osasuna vs Getafe?
The model expects 2.70 goals (2.13 for Osasuna, 0.57 for Getafe). Probabilities: over 1.5 goals 75%, over 2.5 goals 51%, over 3.5 goals 29%.
When and where is Osasuna vs Getafe played?
Monday, August 31, 2026 at 18:30 (UK time), La Liga, matchday 3. Venue: Estadio El Sadar, Pamplona.
What form are Osasuna and Getafe in?
Osasuna: 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches (5 scored, 6 conceded). Getafe: 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches (6 scored, 7 conceded).
What is the head-to-head record between Osasuna and Getafe?
In the last 2 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 1 win for Osasuna, 1 for Getafe and 0 draws. The most recent ended Getafe 1-0 Osasuna (May 23, 2026).
What was the Osasuna vs Getafe result, and was the prediction right?
Final score: Osasuna 1-0 Getafe. The AI called the outcome correctly: it rated victory for Osasuna at 43%. The final score ranked 2nd among the most likely scorelines (14.3%), behind 2-0. On goals, the model did not expect both teams to score (38%): correct; it pointed to over 2.5 goals (51%): missed.
How is the Osasuna vs Getafe prediction calculated?
The model estimates each team's expected goals (2.13 for Osasuna, 0.57 for Getafe) from recent form, xG and standings, then applies a Poisson distribution: every possible score gets a probability, from which the 1X2, correct score, both teams to score and total goals are derived. Every figure is calculated, none is made up.