La Liga· Kick-off : Thursday, September 3, 2026, 20:00 (UK time)
Real Sociedad vs Celta Vigo: 0-0 result and AI prediction review
Review: prediction vs result
Final score: Real Sociedad 0-0 Celta Vigo. The outcome was missed: the model favoured victory for Real Sociedad (66%), while a draw was rated at only 24%. The final score ranked 3rd among the most likely scorelines (13.8%), behind 1-0. On goals, the model did not expect both teams to score (27%): correct; it pointed to under 2.5 goals (32%): correct.
Match analysis
Real Sociedad and Celta Vigo met on Thursday, September 3, 2026, a La Liga, matchday 6 fixture. Venue: Anoeta, San Sebastian. Before kick-off, our model gave Real Sociedad a 66% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Celta Vigo 10%. On the correct score, 1-0 comes out on top (21.5%), followed by 2-0 (16.8%) and 0-0 (13.8%).
Real Sociedad have won just one of their last 5 matches (0 draws, 4 defeats), scoring 5 and conceding 11. Celta Vigo have won just one of their last 5 matches (2 draws, 2 defeats), scoring 6 and conceding 6. Both sides come in with similar form. On average Real Sociedad score 1.00 and concede 2.20 goals per game; Celta Vigo score 1.20 and concede 1.20. In the table, Real Sociedad sit 13th with 3 points from 3 games, Celta Vigo 17th with 1 points from 3. The two teams are close in the standings. Over their recent games, Real Sociedad have averaged 1.25 xG (expected goals) per match, against 0.52 for Celta Vigo.
In the last 2 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 1 win for Real Sociedad, 0 for Celta Vigo and 1 draw. The most recent ended Real Sociedad 3-1 Celta Vigo (Jan 25, 2026). Real Sociedad out or doubtful: H. Fort, P. Marin, A. Odriozola and J. Pacheco. Celta Vigo: M. Alonso, B. Iglesias and A. Febas. In double chance terms, "Real Sociedad or draw" stands at 90%, "Celta Vigo or draw" at 34% and "no draw" at 76%.
Outcome probabilities (1X2)
Double chance
Most likely correct scores
Scores shown as Real Sociedad – Celta Vigo. 1-0 is the single most likely scoreline (21.5%); the 5 scores below add up to 70% of all outcomes, which is why an exact score remains hard to call.
| Score | Probability |
|---|---|
| Real Sociedad 1-0 Celta Vigo | 21.5% |
| Real Sociedad 2-0 Celta Vigo | 16.8% |
| Real Sociedad 0-0 Celta Vigo | 13.8% |
| Real Sociedad 1-1 Celta Vigo | 9.0% |
| Real Sociedad 3-0 Celta Vigo | 8.7% |
Goals: both teams to score, over/under
With 1.56 expected goals for Real Sociedad and 0.42 for Celta Vigo, "over 2.5 goals" is rated at 32% and "both teams to score" at 27%. Few goals are expected here. Real Sociedad keep a clean sheet in 66% of scenarios, Celta Vigo in 21%.
| Probability | |
|---|---|
| Real Sociedad expected goals | 1.56 |
| Celta Vigo expected goals | 0.42 |
| Both teams to score | 27% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 59% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 32% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 14% |
| Real Sociedad clean sheet | 66% |
| Celta Vigo clean sheet | 21% |
Recent form
Latest matches played before this game in the competitions Elofoot covers.
Real Sociedad
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 29, 2026 | Espanyol · La Liga | 2-1 | W |
| Aug 26, 2026 | Real Madrid · La Liga | 1-4 | L |
| Aug 21, 2026 | Real Betis · La Liga | 0-1 | L |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Chelsea · Club Friendlies | 1-3 | L |
| Aug 8, 2026 | 1. FC Köln · Club Friendlies | 1-2 | L |
Celta Vigo
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 30, 2026 | Athletic Club · La Liga | 0-2 | L |
| Aug 27, 2026 | Osasuna · La Liga | 1-2 | L |
| Aug 22, 2026 | Valencia · La Liga | 0-0 | D |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Napoli · Club Friendlies | 1-1 | D |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Sassuolo · Club Friendlies | 4-1 | W |
Standings before the match
| Pos. | Points | Played | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Real Sociedad | 13 | 3 | 3 |
| Celta Vigo | 17 | 1 | 3 |
Head-to-head
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 25, 2026 | Real Sociedad 3-1 Celta Vigo | La Liga |
| Oct 19, 2025 | Celta Vigo 1-1 Real Sociedad | La Liga |
Out and doubtful
Real Sociedad
- H. Fort (out)
- P. Marin (out)
- A. Odriozola (out)
- J. Pacheco (out)
Celta Vigo
- M. Alonso (out)
- B. Iglesias (out)
- A. Febas (out)
Other matches in this competition
- Osasuna 1-0 GetafeAug 31, 2026
- Barcelona 5-2 Rayo VallecanoAug 31, 2026
- Real Betis 1-0 Real MadridSep 4, 2026
- Athletic Club 3-0 Atletico MadridSep 5, 2026
- Rayo Vallecano 3-2 Racing SantanderSep 5, 2026
- Villarreal 2-3 Deportivo La CorunaSep 5, 2026
- Valencia 0-5 BarcelonaSep 6, 2026
- Alaves 5-2 OsasunaSep 6, 2026
- Malaga 0-0 LevanteSep 6, 2026
- Espanyol 1-1 SevillaSep 6, 2026
Frequently asked questions
What is the Real Sociedad vs Celta Vigo prediction?
Before the match, our AI gave Real Sociedad a 66% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Celta Vigo 10%. Real Sociedad are therefore favourites. Final score: 0-0.
What is the most likely correct score for Real Sociedad vs Celta Vigo?
1-0 (21.5%), followed by 2-0 (16.8%), 0-0 (13.8%), 1-1 (9.0%) and 3-0 (8.7%).
Will both teams score in Real Sociedad vs Celta Vigo?
The probability that both Real Sociedad and Celta Vigo score is 27%. Real Sociedad have a 66% chance of keeping a clean sheet, Celta Vigo 21%.
How many goals should we expect in Real Sociedad vs Celta Vigo?
The model expects 1.98 goals (1.56 for Real Sociedad, 0.42 for Celta Vigo). Probabilities: over 1.5 goals 59%, over 2.5 goals 32%, over 3.5 goals 14%.
When and where is Real Sociedad vs Celta Vigo played?
Thursday, September 3, 2026 at 20:00 (UK time), La Liga, matchday 6. Venue: Anoeta, San Sebastian.
What form are Real Sociedad and Celta Vigo in?
Real Sociedad: 1 win, 0 draws and 4 defeats in their last 5 matches (5 scored, 11 conceded). Celta Vigo: 1 win, 2 draws and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches (6 scored, 6 conceded).
What is the head-to-head record between Real Sociedad and Celta Vigo?
In the last 2 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 1 win for Real Sociedad, 0 for Celta Vigo and 1 draw. The most recent ended Real Sociedad 3-1 Celta Vigo (Jan 25, 2026).
What was the Real Sociedad vs Celta Vigo result, and was the prediction right?
Final score: Real Sociedad 0-0 Celta Vigo. The outcome was missed: the model favoured victory for Real Sociedad (66%), while a draw was rated at only 24%. The final score ranked 3rd among the most likely scorelines (13.8%), behind 1-0. On goals, the model did not expect both teams to score (27%): correct; it pointed to under 2.5 goals (32%): correct.
How is the Real Sociedad vs Celta Vigo prediction calculated?
The model estimates each team's expected goals (1.56 for Real Sociedad, 0.42 for Celta Vigo) from recent form, xG and standings, then applies a Poisson distribution: every possible score gets a probability, from which the 1X2, correct score, both teams to score and total goals are derived. Every figure is calculated, none is made up.
Go further
- All Real Sociedad predictions
- All Celta Vigo predictions
- La Liga predictions
- Today’s predictions
- Our methodology