Skip to content
Elofoot

La LigaLa Liga· Kick-off : Sunday, September 6, 2026, 20:00 (UK time)

Espanyol vs Sevilla: 1-1 result and AI prediction review

EspanyolEspanyol1 – 1SevillaSevilla

Review: prediction vs result

1X2 outcome missedExact score missedMost likely score before kick-off : 0-1

Final score: Espanyol 1-1 Sevilla. The outcome was missed: the model favoured victory for Sevilla (54%), while a draw was rated at only 26%. The final score ranked 2nd among the most likely scorelines (11.9%), behind 0-1. On goals, the model did not expect both teams to score (45%): missed; it pointed to under 2.5 goals (43%): correct.

Match analysis

Espanyol and Sevilla met on Sunday, September 6, 2026, a La Liga, matchday 4 fixture. Venue: RCDE Stadium, Cornella de Llobregat. Before kick-off, our model gave Espanyol a 20% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Sevilla 54%. On the correct score, 0-1 comes out on top (14.2%), followed by 1-1 (11.9%) and 0-2 (11.0%).

Espanyol have won just one of their last 5 matches (1 draw, 3 defeats), scoring 9 and conceding 10. Over their last 5 matches, Sevilla have 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 defeats, scoring 8 and conceding 7. Sevilla therefore arrive in far better shape than Espanyol. On average Espanyol score 1.80 and concede 2.00 goals per game; Sevilla score 1.60 and concede 1.40. In the table, Espanyol sit 14th with 3 points from 3 games, Sevilla 8th with 6 points from 3. 6 places separate the two sides. Over their recent games, Espanyol have averaged 1.12 xG (expected goals) per match, against 1.17 for Sevilla.

In the last 2 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 1 win for Espanyol, 1 for Sevilla and 0 draws. The most recent ended Sevilla 2-1 Espanyol (May 9, 2026). Espanyol out or doubtful: K. Garcia, J. Puado and B. Zaragoza. Sevilla: Marcao and R. Vargas. In double chance terms, "Espanyol or draw" stands at 46%, "Sevilla or draw" at 80% and "no draw" at 74%.

Outcome probabilities (1X2)

20%
Espanyol (Win)
26%
Draw
54%
Sevilla (Win)

Double chance

46%
Espanyol or draw
80%
Sevilla or draw
74%
No draw

Most likely correct scores

Scores shown as Espanyol – Sevilla. 0-1 is the single most likely scoreline (14.2%); the 5 scores below add up to 55% of all outcomes, which is why an exact score remains hard to call.

ScoreProbability
Espanyol 0-1 Sevilla14.2%
Espanyol 1-1 Sevilla11.9%
Espanyol 0-2 Sevilla11.0%
Espanyol 1-2 Sevilla9.2%
Espanyol 0-0 Sevilla9.2%

Goals: both teams to score, over/under

With 0.84 expected goals for Espanyol and 1.55 for Sevilla, "over 2.5 goals" is rated at 43% and "both teams to score" at 45%. Espanyol keep a clean sheet in 21% of scenarios, Sevilla in 43%.

Probability
Espanyol expected goals0.84
Sevilla expected goals1.55
Both teams to score45%
Over 1.5 goals69%
Over 2.5 goals43%
Over 3.5 goals22%
Espanyol clean sheet21%
Sevilla clean sheet43%

Recent form

Latest matches played before this game in the competitions Elofoot covers.

Espanyol

DateOpponentScore
Aug 29, 2026Real Sociedad · La Liga1-2L
Aug 22, 2026Real Madrid · La Liga1-2L
Aug 16, 2026Levante · La Liga3-0W
Aug 8, 2026Coventry · Club Friendlies1-3L
Aug 1, 2026Middlesbrough · Club Friendlies3-3D

Sevilla

DateOpponentScore
Aug 29, 2026Atletico Madrid · La Liga1-3L
Aug 22, 2026Athletic Club · La Liga3-1W
Aug 15, 2026Rayo Vallecano · La Liga2-1W
Aug 8, 2026Bayer Leverkusen · Club Friendlies1-2L
Aug 2, 2026Utrecht · Club Friendlies1-0W

Standings before the match

Pos.PointsPlayed
Espanyol1433
Sevilla863

Head-to-head

DateScoreCompetition
May 9, 2026Sevilla 2-1 EspanyolLa Liga
Nov 24, 2025Espanyol 2-1 SevillaLa Liga

Out and doubtful

Espanyol

  • K. Garcia (out)
  • J. Puado (out)
  • B. Zaragoza (out)

Sevilla

  • Marcao (out)
  • R. Vargas (out)

Other matches in this competition

Frequently asked questions

What is the Espanyol vs Sevilla prediction?

Before the match, our AI gave Espanyol a 20% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Sevilla 54%. Sevilla are therefore favourites. Final score: 1-1.

What is the most likely correct score for Espanyol vs Sevilla?

0-1 (14.2%), followed by 1-1 (11.9%), 0-2 (11.0%), 1-2 (9.2%) and 0-0 (9.2%).

Will both teams score in Espanyol vs Sevilla?

The probability that both Espanyol and Sevilla score is 45%. Espanyol have a 21% chance of keeping a clean sheet, Sevilla 43%.

How many goals should we expect in Espanyol vs Sevilla?

The model expects 2.39 goals (0.84 for Espanyol, 1.55 for Sevilla). Probabilities: over 1.5 goals 69%, over 2.5 goals 43%, over 3.5 goals 22%.

When and where is Espanyol vs Sevilla played?

Sunday, September 6, 2026 at 20:00 (UK time), La Liga, matchday 4. Venue: RCDE Stadium, Cornella de Llobregat.

What form are Espanyol and Sevilla in?

Espanyol: 1 win, 1 draw and 3 defeats in their last 5 matches (9 scored, 10 conceded). Sevilla: 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches (8 scored, 7 conceded).

What is the head-to-head record between Espanyol and Sevilla?

In the last 2 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 1 win for Espanyol, 1 for Sevilla and 0 draws. The most recent ended Sevilla 2-1 Espanyol (May 9, 2026).

What was the Espanyol vs Sevilla result, and was the prediction right?

Final score: Espanyol 1-1 Sevilla. The outcome was missed: the model favoured victory for Sevilla (54%), while a draw was rated at only 26%. The final score ranked 2nd among the most likely scorelines (11.9%), behind 0-1. On goals, the model did not expect both teams to score (45%): missed; it pointed to under 2.5 goals (43%): correct.

How is the Espanyol vs Sevilla prediction calculated?

The model estimates each team's expected goals (0.84 for Espanyol, 1.55 for Sevilla) from recent form, xG and standings, then applies a Poisson distribution: every possible score gets a probability, from which the 1X2, correct score, both teams to score and total goals are derived. Every figure is calculated, none is made up.

Go further

Key terms explained