La Liga· Kick-off : Sunday, September 6, 2026, 15:15 (UK time)
Valencia vs Barcelona: 0-5 result and AI prediction review
Review: prediction vs result
Final score: Valencia 0-5 Barcelona. The 1X2 prediction came good: victory for Barcelona was the model's favourite outcome (93%). The final score ranked 3rd among the most likely scorelines (8.8%), behind 0-3. On goals, the model did not expect both teams to score (43%): correct; it pointed to over 2.5 goals (83%): correct.
Match analysis
Valencia vs Barcelona was played on Sunday, September 6, 2026 (La Liga, matchday 4). Venue: Estadio de Mestalla, Valencia. Before kick-off, our model gave Valencia a 2% chance of winning, the draw 5% and Barcelona 93%. The most likely correct score is 0-3 (11.0%), ahead of 0-4 (11.0%) and 0-5 (8.8%).
Valencia have not won any of their last 5 matches (1 draw, 4 defeats), scoring 2 and conceding 7. Barcelona are unbeaten in their last 5 matches (5 wins, 0 draws), scoring 19 and conceding 5. Recent momentum is clearly with Barcelona. On average Valencia score 0.40 and concede 1.40 goals per game; Barcelona score 3.80 and concede 1.00. In the table, Valencia sit 18th with 1 points from 3 games, Barcelona 1st with 9 points from 3. 17 places separate the two sides. Over their recent games, Valencia have averaged 1.03 xG (expected goals) per match, against 3.81 for Barcelona.
In the last 2 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 1 win for Valencia, 1 for Barcelona and 0 draws. The most recent ended Valencia 3-1 Barcelona (May 23, 2026). Valencia out or doubtful: S. Canos, J. Copete, J. De Haas, D. Lopez and L. Rioja. Barcelona: R. Bardghji, J. Bisiwu, F. de Jong and D. Livakovic. In double chance terms, "Valencia or draw" stands at 7%, "Barcelona or draw" at 98% and "no draw" at 95%.
Outcome probabilities (1X2)
Double chance
Most likely correct scores
Scores shown as Valencia – Barcelona. 0-3 is the single most likely scoreline (11.0%); the 5 scores below add up to 45% of all outcomes, which is why an exact score remains hard to call.
| Score | Probability |
|---|---|
| Valencia 0-3 Barcelona | 11.0% |
| Valencia 0-4 Barcelona | 11.0% |
| Valencia 0-5 Barcelona | 8.8% |
| Valencia 0-2 Barcelona | 8.3% |
| Valencia 1-3 Barcelona | 6.3% |
Goals: both teams to score, over/under
The model expects 4.57 goals in total (0.57 for Valencia, 4.00 for Barcelona): over 2.5 goals has a 83% probability and both teams to score 43%. Everything points to an open game. Valencia keep a clean sheet in 2% of scenarios, Barcelona in 56%.
| Probability | |
|---|---|
| Valencia expected goals | 0.57 |
| Barcelona expected goals | 4.00 |
| Both teams to score | 43% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 94% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 83% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 67% |
| Valencia clean sheet | 2% |
| Barcelona clean sheet | 56% |
Recent form
Latest matches played before this game in the competitions Elofoot covers.
Valencia
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 30, 2026 | Deportivo La Coruna · La Liga | 1-3 | L |
| Aug 25, 2026 | Real Betis · La Liga | 0-1 | L |
| Aug 22, 2026 | Celta Vigo · La Liga | 0-0 | D |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Teruel · Club Friendlies | 0-1 | L |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Newcastle · Club Friendlies | 1-2 | L |
Barcelona
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 31, 2026 | Rayo Vallecano · La Liga | 5-2 | W |
| Aug 27, 2026 | Athletic Club · La Liga | 2-0 | W |
| Aug 23, 2026 | Elche · La Liga | 5-0 | W |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Al Ahly · Club Friendlies | 2-1 | W |
| Aug 16, 2026 | FC Basel 1893 · Club Friendlies | 5-2 | W |
Standings before the match
| Pos. | Points | Played | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Valencia | 18 | 1 | 3 |
| Barcelona | 1 | 9 | 3 |
Head-to-head
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 23, 2026 | Valencia 3-1 Barcelona | La Liga |
| Sep 14, 2025 | Barcelona 6-0 Valencia | La Liga |
Out and doubtful
Valencia
- S. Canos (out)
- J. Copete (out)
- J. De Haas (out)
- D. Lopez (out)
- L. Rioja (out)
Barcelona
- R. Bardghji (out)
- J. Bisiwu (out)
- F. de Jong (out)
- D. Livakovic (out)
Other matches in this competition
- Real Sociedad 0-0 Celta VigoSep 3, 2026
- Real Betis 1-0 Real MadridSep 4, 2026
- Athletic Club 3-0 Atletico MadridSep 5, 2026
- Rayo Vallecano 3-2 Racing SantanderSep 5, 2026
- Villarreal 2-3 Deportivo La CorunaSep 5, 2026
- Alaves 5-2 OsasunaSep 6, 2026
- Malaga 0-0 LevanteSep 6, 2026
- Espanyol 1-1 SevillaSep 6, 2026
- Getafe 1-1 Celta VigoSep 7, 2026
- Elche 2-3 Real SociedadSep 7, 2026
Frequently asked questions
What is the Valencia vs Barcelona prediction?
Before the match, our AI gave Valencia a 2% chance of winning, the draw 5% and Barcelona 93%. Barcelona are therefore favourites. Final score: 0-5.
What is the most likely correct score for Valencia vs Barcelona?
0-3 (11.0%), followed by 0-4 (11.0%), 0-5 (8.8%), 0-2 (8.3%) and 1-3 (6.3%).
Will both teams score in Valencia vs Barcelona?
The probability that both Valencia and Barcelona score is 43%. Valencia have a 2% chance of keeping a clean sheet, Barcelona 56%.
How many goals should we expect in Valencia vs Barcelona?
The model expects 4.57 goals (0.57 for Valencia, 4.00 for Barcelona). Probabilities: over 1.5 goals 94%, over 2.5 goals 83%, over 3.5 goals 67%.
When and where is Valencia vs Barcelona played?
Sunday, September 6, 2026 at 15:15 (UK time), La Liga, matchday 4. Venue: Estadio de Mestalla, Valencia.
What form are Valencia and Barcelona in?
Valencia: 0 wins, 1 draw and 4 defeats in their last 5 matches (2 scored, 7 conceded). Barcelona: 5 wins, 0 draws and 0 defeats in their last 5 matches (19 scored, 5 conceded).
What is the head-to-head record between Valencia and Barcelona?
In the last 2 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 1 win for Valencia, 1 for Barcelona and 0 draws. The most recent ended Valencia 3-1 Barcelona (May 23, 2026).
What was the Valencia vs Barcelona result, and was the prediction right?
Final score: Valencia 0-5 Barcelona. The 1X2 prediction came good: victory for Barcelona was the model's favourite outcome (93%). The final score ranked 3rd among the most likely scorelines (8.8%), behind 0-3. On goals, the model did not expect both teams to score (43%): correct; it pointed to over 2.5 goals (83%): correct.
How is the Valencia vs Barcelona prediction calculated?
The model estimates each team's expected goals (0.57 for Valencia, 4.00 for Barcelona) from recent form, xG and standings, then applies a Poisson distribution: every possible score gets a probability, from which the 1X2, correct score, both teams to score and total goals are derived. Every figure is calculated, none is made up.
Go further
- All Valencia predictions
- All Barcelona predictions
- La Liga predictions
- Today’s predictions
- Our methodology