La Liga· Kick-off : Sunday, September 6, 2026, 17:30 (UK time)
Malaga vs Levante: 0-0 result and AI prediction review
Review: prediction vs result
Final score: Malaga 0-0 Levante. The outcome was missed: the model favoured victory for Levante (62%), while a draw was rated at only 23%. The final score ranked 5th among the most likely scorelines (7.9%), behind 0-1. On goals, the model did not expect both teams to score (44%): correct; it pointed to under 2.5 goals (47%): correct.
Match analysis
Malaga vs Levante was played on Sunday, September 6, 2026 (La Liga, matchday 4). Venue: Estadio La Rosaleda, Malaga. Before kick-off, our model gave Malaga a 15% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Levante 62%. The most likely correct score is 0-1 (14.0%), ahead of 0-2 (12.5%) and 1-1 (10.7%).
Malaga have not won any of their last 5 matches (2 draws, 3 defeats), scoring 4 and conceding 11. Over their last 5 matches, Levante have 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats, scoring 8 and conceding 7. Recent momentum is clearly with Levante. On average Malaga score 0.80 and concede 2.20 goals per game; Levante score 1.60 and concede 1.40. In the table, Malaga sit 20th with 1 points from 3 games, Levante 10th with 4 points from 3. 10 places separate the two sides. Over their recent games, Malaga have averaged 0.94 xG (expected goals) per match, against 1.44 for Levante.
In the last 5 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 0 wins for Malaga, 3 for Levante and 2 draws. Malaga out or doubtful: F. Calero, M. Diarra, J. Lobete, D. Murillo and A. Ochoa. Levante: K. Etta Eyong and A. Primo. In double chance terms, "Malaga or draw" stands at 38%, "Levante or draw" at 85% and "no draw" at 77%.
Outcome probabilities (1X2)
Double chance
Most likely correct scores
Scores shown as Malaga – Levante. 0-1 is the single most likely scoreline (14.0%); the 5 scores below add up to 55% of all outcomes, which is why an exact score remains hard to call.
| Score | Probability |
|---|---|
| Malaga 0-1 Levante | 14.0% |
| Malaga 0-2 Levante | 12.5% |
| Malaga 1-1 Levante | 10.7% |
| Malaga 1-2 Levante | 9.5% |
| Malaga 0-0 Levante | 7.9% |
Goals: both teams to score, over/under
The model expects 2.54 goals in total (0.76 for Malaga, 1.78 for Levante): over 2.5 goals has a 47% probability and both teams to score 44%. Malaga keep a clean sheet in 17% of scenarios, Levante in 47%.
| Probability | |
|---|---|
| Malaga expected goals | 0.76 |
| Levante expected goals | 1.78 |
| Both teams to score | 44% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 72% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 47% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 25% |
| Malaga clean sheet | 17% |
| Levante clean sheet | 47% |
Recent form
Latest matches played before this game in the competitions Elofoot covers.
Malaga
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 30, 2026 | Real Madrid · La Liga | 0-4 | L |
| Aug 24, 2026 | Deportivo La Coruna · La Liga | 1-1 | D |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Atletico Madrid · La Liga | 0-2 | L |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Fulham · Club Friendlies | 2-2 | D |
| Aug 7, 2026 | AD Ceuta FC · Club Friendlies | 1-2 | L |
Levante
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 29, 2026 | Real Betis · La Liga | 5-2 | W |
| Aug 24, 2026 | Osasuna · La Liga | 0-0 | D |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Espanyol · La Liga | 0-3 | L |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Castellón · Club Friendlies | 3-1 | W |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Villarreal · Club Friendlies | 0-1 | L |
Standings before the match
| Pos. | Points | Played | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Malaga | 20 | 1 | 3 |
| Levante | 10 | 4 | 3 |
Head-to-head
In the last 5 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 0 wins for Malaga, 3 for Levante and 2 draws.
Out and doubtful
Malaga
- F. Calero (out)
- M. Diarra (out)
- J. Lobete (out)
- D. Murillo (out)
- A. Ochoa (out)
Levante
- K. Etta Eyong (out)
- A. Primo (out)
Other matches in this competition
- Real Sociedad 0-0 Celta VigoSep 3, 2026
- Real Betis 1-0 Real MadridSep 4, 2026
- Athletic Club 3-0 Atletico MadridSep 5, 2026
- Rayo Vallecano 3-2 Racing SantanderSep 5, 2026
- Villarreal 2-3 Deportivo La CorunaSep 5, 2026
- Valencia 0-5 BarcelonaSep 6, 2026
- Alaves 5-2 OsasunaSep 6, 2026
- Espanyol 1-1 SevillaSep 6, 2026
- Getafe 1-1 Celta VigoSep 7, 2026
- Elche 2-3 Real SociedadSep 7, 2026
Frequently asked questions
What is the Malaga vs Levante prediction?
Before the match, our AI gave Malaga a 15% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Levante 62%. Levante are therefore favourites. Final score: 0-0.
What is the most likely correct score for Malaga vs Levante?
0-1 (14.0%), followed by 0-2 (12.5%), 1-1 (10.7%), 1-2 (9.5%) and 0-0 (7.9%).
Will both teams score in Malaga vs Levante?
The probability that both Malaga and Levante score is 44%. Malaga have a 17% chance of keeping a clean sheet, Levante 47%.
How many goals should we expect in Malaga vs Levante?
The model expects 2.54 goals (0.76 for Malaga, 1.78 for Levante). Probabilities: over 1.5 goals 72%, over 2.5 goals 47%, over 3.5 goals 25%.
When and where is Malaga vs Levante played?
Sunday, September 6, 2026 at 17:30 (UK time), La Liga, matchday 4. Venue: Estadio La Rosaleda, Malaga.
What form are Malaga and Levante in?
Malaga: 0 wins, 2 draws and 3 defeats in their last 5 matches (4 scored, 11 conceded). Levante: 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches (8 scored, 7 conceded).
What is the head-to-head record between Malaga and Levante?
In the last 5 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 0 wins for Malaga, 3 for Levante and 2 draws.
What was the Malaga vs Levante result, and was the prediction right?
Final score: Malaga 0-0 Levante. The outcome was missed: the model favoured victory for Levante (62%), while a draw was rated at only 23%. The final score ranked 5th among the most likely scorelines (7.9%), behind 0-1. On goals, the model did not expect both teams to score (44%): correct; it pointed to under 2.5 goals (47%): correct.
How is the Malaga vs Levante prediction calculated?
The model estimates each team's expected goals (0.76 for Malaga, 1.78 for Levante) from recent form, xG and standings, then applies a Poisson distribution: every possible score gets a probability, from which the 1X2, correct score, both teams to score and total goals are derived. Every figure is calculated, none is made up.