La Liga· Kick-off : Friday, September 4, 2026, 20:00 (UK time)
Real Betis vs Real Madrid: 1-0 result and AI prediction review
Review: prediction vs result
Final score: Real Betis 1-0 Real Madrid. The outcome was missed: the model favoured victory for Real Madrid (69%), while victory for Real Betis was rated at only 13%. The model considered this score unlikely (1.9%). On goals, the model expected both teams to score (67%): missed; it pointed to over 2.5 goals (79%): missed.
Match analysis
Real Betis vs Real Madrid was played on Friday, September 4, 2026 (La Liga, matchday 4). Venue: Estadio de La Cartuja, Sevilla. Before kick-off, our model gave Real Betis a 13% chance of winning, the draw 18% and Real Madrid 69%. The most likely correct score is 1-2 (8.2%), ahead of 1-3 (8.1%) and 0-2 (6.6%).
Over their last 5 matches, Real Betis have 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats, scoring 6 and conceding 8. Real Madrid are unbeaten in their last 5 matches (5 wins, 0 draws), scoring 14 and conceding 2. Recent momentum is clearly with Real Madrid. On average Real Betis score 1.20 and concede 1.60 goals per game; Real Madrid score 2.80 and concede 0.40. In the table, Real Betis sit 7th with 6 points from 3 games, Real Madrid 2nd with 9 points from 3. The two teams are close in the standings. Over their recent games, Real Betis have averaged 1.29 xG (expected goals) per match, against 2.82 for Real Madrid.
In the last 2 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 0 wins for Real Betis, 1 for Real Madrid and 1 draw. The most recent ended Real Betis 1-1 Real Madrid (Apr 24, 2026). Real Betis out or doubtful: D. Ceballos, D. Conde, A. Ezzalzouli, G. Lo Celso and A. Ruibal. Real Madrid: R. Asencio, Eder Militao, Endrick, F. Mendy and T. Pitarch. In double chance terms, "Real Betis or draw" stands at 31%, "Real Madrid or draw" at 87% and "no draw" at 82%.
Outcome probabilities (1X2)
Double chance
Most likely correct scores
Scores shown as Real Betis – Real Madrid. 1-2 is the single most likely scoreline (8.2%); the 5 scores below add up to 35% of all outcomes, which is why an exact score remains hard to call.
| Score | Probability |
|---|---|
| Real Betis 1-2 Real Madrid | 8.2% |
| Real Betis 1-3 Real Madrid | 8.1% |
| Real Betis 0-2 Real Madrid | 6.6% |
| Real Betis 0-3 Real Madrid | 6.5% |
| Real Betis 1-4 Real Madrid | 6.0% |
Goals: both teams to score, over/under
The model expects 4.19 goals in total (1.23 for Real Betis, 2.96 for Real Madrid): over 2.5 goals has a 79% probability and both teams to score 67%. Everything points to an open game. Real Betis keep a clean sheet in 5% of scenarios, Real Madrid in 29%.
| Probability | |
|---|---|
| Real Betis expected goals | 1.23 |
| Real Madrid expected goals | 2.96 |
| Both teams to score | 67% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 92% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 79% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 60% |
| Real Betis clean sheet | 5% |
| Real Madrid clean sheet | 29% |
Recent form
Latest matches played before this game in the competitions Elofoot covers.
Real Betis
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 29, 2026 | Levante · La Liga | 2-5 | L |
| Aug 25, 2026 | Valencia · La Liga | 1-0 | W |
| Aug 21, 2026 | Real Sociedad · La Liga | 1-0 | W |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Inter · Club Friendlies | 0-1 | L |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Bournemouth · Club Friendlies | 2-2 | D |
Real Madrid
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 30, 2026 | Malaga · La Liga | 4-0 | W |
| Aug 26, 2026 | Real Sociedad · La Liga | 4-1 | W |
| Aug 22, 2026 | Espanyol · La Liga | 2-1 | W |
| Aug 16, 2026 | FC Schalke 04 · Club Friendlies | 3-0 | W |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Deportivo La Coruna · Club Friendlies | 1-0 | W |
Standings before the match
| Pos. | Points | Played | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Real Betis | 7 | 6 | 3 |
| Real Madrid | 2 | 9 | 3 |
Head-to-head
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 24, 2026 | Real Betis 1-1 Real Madrid | La Liga |
| Jan 4, 2026 | Real Madrid 5-1 Real Betis | La Liga |
Out and doubtful
Real Betis
- D. Ceballos (out)
- D. Conde (out)
- A. Ezzalzouli (out)
- G. Lo Celso (out)
- A. Ruibal (out)
Real Madrid
- R. Asencio (out)
- Eder Militao (out)
- Endrick (out)
- F. Mendy (out)
- T. Pitarch (out)
Other matches in this competition
- Real Sociedad 0-0 Celta VigoSep 3, 2026
- Athletic Club 3-0 Atletico MadridSep 5, 2026
- Rayo Vallecano 3-2 Racing SantanderSep 5, 2026
- Villarreal 2-3 Deportivo La CorunaSep 5, 2026
- Valencia 0-5 BarcelonaSep 6, 2026
- Alaves 5-2 OsasunaSep 6, 2026
- Malaga 0-0 LevanteSep 6, 2026
- Espanyol 1-1 SevillaSep 6, 2026
- Getafe 1-1 Celta VigoSep 7, 2026
- Elche 2-3 Real SociedadSep 7, 2026
Frequently asked questions
What is the Real Betis vs Real Madrid prediction?
Before the match, our AI gave Real Betis a 13% chance of winning, the draw 18% and Real Madrid 69%. Real Madrid are therefore favourites. Final score: 1-0.
What is the most likely correct score for Real Betis vs Real Madrid?
1-2 (8.2%), followed by 1-3 (8.1%), 0-2 (6.6%), 0-3 (6.5%) and 1-4 (6.0%).
Will both teams score in Real Betis vs Real Madrid?
The probability that both Real Betis and Real Madrid score is 67%. Real Betis have a 5% chance of keeping a clean sheet, Real Madrid 29%.
How many goals should we expect in Real Betis vs Real Madrid?
The model expects 4.19 goals (1.23 for Real Betis, 2.96 for Real Madrid). Probabilities: over 1.5 goals 92%, over 2.5 goals 79%, over 3.5 goals 60%.
When and where is Real Betis vs Real Madrid played?
Friday, September 4, 2026 at 20:00 (UK time), La Liga, matchday 4. Venue: Estadio de La Cartuja, Sevilla.
What form are Real Betis and Real Madrid in?
Real Betis: 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches (6 scored, 8 conceded). Real Madrid: 5 wins, 0 draws and 0 defeats in their last 5 matches (14 scored, 2 conceded).
What is the head-to-head record between Real Betis and Real Madrid?
In the last 2 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 0 wins for Real Betis, 1 for Real Madrid and 1 draw. The most recent ended Real Betis 1-1 Real Madrid (Apr 24, 2026).
What was the Real Betis vs Real Madrid result, and was the prediction right?
Final score: Real Betis 1-0 Real Madrid. The outcome was missed: the model favoured victory for Real Madrid (69%), while victory for Real Betis was rated at only 13%. The model considered this score unlikely (1.9%). On goals, the model expected both teams to score (67%): missed; it pointed to over 2.5 goals (79%): missed.
How is the Real Betis vs Real Madrid prediction calculated?
The model estimates each team's expected goals (1.23 for Real Betis, 2.96 for Real Madrid) from recent form, xG and standings, then applies a Poisson distribution: every possible score gets a probability, from which the 1X2, correct score, both teams to score and total goals are derived. Every figure is calculated, none is made up.
Go further
- All Real Betis predictions
- All Real Madrid predictions
- La Liga predictions
- Today’s predictions
- Our methodology