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La LigaLa Liga· Kick-off : Monday, September 7, 2026, 18:00 (UK time)

Getafe vs Celta Vigo: 1-1 result and AI prediction review

GetafeGetafe1 – 1Celta VigoCelta Vigo

Review: prediction vs result

1X2 outcome missedExact score missedMost likely score before kick-off : 0-0

Final score: Getafe 1-1 Celta Vigo. The outcome was missed: the model favoured victory for Getafe (48%), while a draw was rated at only 37%. The final score ranked 5th among the most likely scorelines (9.7%), behind 0-0. On goals, the model did not expect both teams to score (20%): missed; it pointed to under 2.5 goals (15%): correct.

Match analysis

Getafe vs Celta Vigo was played on Monday, September 7, 2026 (La Liga, matchday 4). Venue: Coliseum, Getafe. Before kick-off, our model gave Getafe a 48% chance of winning, the draw 37% and Celta Vigo 15%. The most likely correct score is 0-0 (26.2%), ahead of 1-0 (24.9%) and 2-0 (11.8%).

Over their last 5 matches, Getafe have 2 wins, 0 draws and 3 defeats, scoring 5 and conceding 7. Celta Vigo have not won any of their last 5 matches (3 draws, 2 defeats), scoring 2 and conceding 5. On recent form, there is little to separate the two teams. On average Getafe score 1.00 and concede 1.40 goals per game; Celta Vigo score 0.40 and concede 1.00. In the table, Getafe sit 15th with 3 points from 3 games, Celta Vigo 17th with 2 points from 4. The two teams are close in the standings. Over their recent games, Getafe have averaged 0.72 xG (expected goals) per match, against 0.52 for Celta Vigo.

In the last 2 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 1 win for Getafe, 0 for Celta Vigo and 1 draw. The most recent ended Getafe 0-0 Celta Vigo (Feb 1, 2026). Getafe out or doubtful: Juanmi, C. Uche, A. Abqar, A. Garcia and M. Martin. Celta Vigo: A. Febas and B. Iglesias. In double chance terms, "Getafe or draw" stands at 85%, "Celta Vigo or draw" at 52% and "no draw" at 63%.

Outcome probabilities (1X2)

48%
Getafe (Win)
37%
Draw
15%
Celta Vigo (Win)

Double chance

85%
Getafe or draw
52%
Celta Vigo or draw
63%
No draw

Most likely correct scores

Scores shown as Getafe – Celta Vigo. 0-0 is the single most likely scoreline (26.2%); the 5 scores below add up to 83% of all outcomes, which is why an exact score remains hard to call.

ScoreProbability
Getafe 0-0 Celta Vigo26.2%
Getafe 1-0 Celta Vigo24.9%
Getafe 2-0 Celta Vigo11.8%
Getafe 0-1 Celta Vigo10.2%
Getafe 1-1 Celta Vigo9.7%

Goals: both teams to score, over/under

The model expects 1.34 goals in total (0.95 for Getafe, 0.39 for Celta Vigo): over 2.5 goals has a 15% probability and both teams to score 20%. A tight, low-scoring game is on the cards. Getafe keep a clean sheet in 68% of scenarios, Celta Vigo in 39%.

Probability
Getafe expected goals0.95
Celta Vigo expected goals0.39
Both teams to score20%
Over 1.5 goals39%
Over 2.5 goals15%
Over 3.5 goals5%
Getafe clean sheet68%
Celta Vigo clean sheet39%

Recent form

Latest matches played before this game in the competitions Elofoot covers.

Getafe

DateOpponentScore
Aug 31, 2026Osasuna · La Liga0-1L
Aug 27, 2026FK Partizan · UEFA Conference League1-2L
Aug 23, 2026Racing Santander · La Liga1-0W
Aug 20, 2026FK Partizan · UEFA Conference League3-1W
Aug 15, 2026Alaves · La Liga0-3L

Celta Vigo

DateOpponentScore
Sep 3, 2026Real Sociedad · La Liga0-0D
Aug 30, 2026Athletic Club · La Liga0-2L
Aug 27, 2026Osasuna · La Liga1-2L
Aug 22, 2026Valencia · La Liga0-0D
Aug 8, 2026Napoli · Club Friendlies1-1D

Standings before the match

Pos.PointsPlayed
Getafe1533
Celta Vigo1724

Head-to-head

DateScoreCompetition
Feb 1, 2026Getafe 0-0 Celta VigoLa Liga
Aug 17, 2025Celta Vigo 0-2 GetafeLa Liga

Out and doubtful

Getafe

  • Juanmi (out)
  • C. Uche (out)
  • A. Abqar (out)
  • A. Garcia (out)
  • M. Martin (out)

Celta Vigo

  • A. Febas (out)
  • B. Iglesias (out)

Other matches in this competition

Frequently asked questions

What is the Getafe vs Celta Vigo prediction?

Before the match, our AI gave Getafe a 48% chance of winning, the draw 37% and Celta Vigo 15%. Getafe are therefore favourites. Final score: 1-1.

What is the most likely correct score for Getafe vs Celta Vigo?

0-0 (26.2%), followed by 1-0 (24.9%), 2-0 (11.8%), 0-1 (10.2%) and 1-1 (9.7%).

Will both teams score in Getafe vs Celta Vigo?

The probability that both Getafe and Celta Vigo score is 20%. Getafe have a 68% chance of keeping a clean sheet, Celta Vigo 39%.

How many goals should we expect in Getafe vs Celta Vigo?

The model expects 1.34 goals (0.95 for Getafe, 0.39 for Celta Vigo). Probabilities: over 1.5 goals 39%, over 2.5 goals 15%, over 3.5 goals 5%.

When and where is Getafe vs Celta Vigo played?

Monday, September 7, 2026 at 18:00 (UK time), La Liga, matchday 4. Venue: Coliseum, Getafe.

What form are Getafe and Celta Vigo in?

Getafe: 2 wins, 0 draws and 3 defeats in their last 5 matches (5 scored, 7 conceded). Celta Vigo: 0 wins, 3 draws and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches (2 scored, 5 conceded).

What is the head-to-head record between Getafe and Celta Vigo?

In the last 2 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 1 win for Getafe, 0 for Celta Vigo and 1 draw. The most recent ended Getafe 0-0 Celta Vigo (Feb 1, 2026).

What was the Getafe vs Celta Vigo result, and was the prediction right?

Final score: Getafe 1-1 Celta Vigo. The outcome was missed: the model favoured victory for Getafe (48%), while a draw was rated at only 37%. The final score ranked 5th among the most likely scorelines (9.7%), behind 0-0. On goals, the model did not expect both teams to score (20%): missed; it pointed to under 2.5 goals (15%): correct.

How is the Getafe vs Celta Vigo prediction calculated?

The model estimates each team's expected goals (0.95 for Getafe, 0.39 for Celta Vigo) from recent form, xG and standings, then applies a Poisson distribution: every possible score gets a probability, from which the 1X2, correct score, both teams to score and total goals are derived. Every figure is calculated, none is made up.

Go further

Key terms explained