La Liga· Kick-off : Sunday, August 30, 2026, 18:30 (UK time)
Deportivo La Coruna vs Valencia: 3-1 result and AI prediction review
Review: prediction vs result
Final score: Deportivo La Coruna 3-1 Valencia. The 1X2 prediction came good: victory for Deportivo La Coruna was the model's favourite outcome (42%). The final score ranked 10th among the most likely scorelines (1.9%), behind 0-0. On goals, the model did not expect both teams to score (29%): missed; it pointed to under 2.5 goals (22%): missed.
Match analysis
Deportivo La Coruna vs Valencia was played on Sunday, August 30, 2026 (La Liga, matchday 3). Venue: Estadio Municipal de Riazor, La Coruna. Before kick-off, our model gave Deportivo La Coruna a 42% chance of winning, the draw 35% and Valencia 23%. The most likely correct score is 0-0 (20.0%), ahead of 1-0 (19.4%) and 0-1 (12.8%).
Deportivo La Coruna have won just one of their last 5 matches (3 draws, 1 defeat), scoring 4 and conceding 4. Valencia have not won any of their last 5 matches (2 draws, 3 defeats), scoring 2 and conceding 5. Recent momentum is clearly with Deportivo La Coruna. On average Deportivo La Coruna score 0.80 and concede 0.80 goals per game; Valencia score 0.40 and concede 1.00. In the table, Deportivo La Coruna sit 13th with 2 points from 2 games, Valencia 17th with 1 points from 2. The two teams are close in the standings. Over their recent games, Deportivo La Coruna have averaged 0.73 xG (expected goals) per match, against 0.85 for Valencia.
In the last 5 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 0 wins for Deportivo La Coruna, 3 for Valencia and 2 draws. Deportivo La Coruna out or doubtful: N. Carrillo and A. Traore. Valencia: S. Canos, J. Copete, J. De Haas, D. Foulquier and D. Lopez. In double chance terms, "Deportivo La Coruna or draw" stands at 77%, "Valencia or draw" at 58% and "no draw" at 65%.
Outcome probabilities (1X2)
Double chance
Most likely correct scores
Scores shown as Deportivo La Coruna – Valencia. 0-0 is the single most likely scoreline (20.0%); the 5 scores below add up to 74% of all outcomes, which is why an exact score remains hard to call.
| Score | Probability |
|---|---|
| Deportivo La Coruna 0-0 Valencia | 20.0% |
| Deportivo La Coruna 1-0 Valencia | 19.4% |
| Deportivo La Coruna 0-1 Valencia | 12.8% |
| Deportivo La Coruna 1-1 Valencia | 12.4% |
| Deportivo La Coruna 2-0 Valencia | 9.4% |
Goals: both teams to score, over/under
The model expects 1.61 goals in total (0.97 for Deportivo La Coruna, 0.64 for Valencia): over 2.5 goals has a 22% probability and both teams to score 29%. A tight, low-scoring game is on the cards. Deportivo La Coruna keep a clean sheet in 53% of scenarios, Valencia in 38%.
| Probability | |
|---|---|
| Deportivo La Coruna expected goals | 0.97 |
| Valencia expected goals | 0.64 |
| Both teams to score | 29% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 48% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 22% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 8% |
| Deportivo La Coruna clean sheet | 53% |
| Valencia clean sheet | 38% |
Recent form
Latest matches played before this game in the competitions Elofoot covers.
Deportivo La Coruna
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 24, 2026 | Malaga · La Liga | 1-1 | D |
| Aug 17, 2026 | Elche · La Liga | 1-1 | D |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Real Madrid · Club Friendlies | 0-1 | L |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Genoa · Club Friendlies | 1-0 | W |
| Aug 6, 2026 | Fiorentina · Club Friendlies | 1-1 | D |
Valencia
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 25, 2026 | Real Betis · La Liga | 0-1 | L |
| Aug 22, 2026 | Celta Vigo · La Liga | 0-0 | D |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Teruel · Club Friendlies | 0-1 | L |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Newcastle · Club Friendlies | 1-2 | L |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Stoke City · Club Friendlies | 1-1 | D |
Standings before the match
| Pos. | Points | Played | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Deportivo La Coruna | 13 | 2 | 2 |
| Valencia | 17 | 1 | 2 |
Head-to-head
In the last 5 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 0 wins for Deportivo La Coruna, 3 for Valencia and 2 draws.
Out and doubtful
Deportivo La Coruna
- N. Carrillo (out)
- A. Traore (out)
Valencia
- S. Canos (out)
- J. Copete (out)
- J. De Haas (out)
- D. Foulquier (out)
- D. Lopez (out)
Other matches in this competition
- Barcelona 2-0 Athletic ClubAug 27, 2026
- Racing Santander 3-2 ElcheAug 28, 2026
- Alaves 1-0 VillarrealAug 28, 2026
- Levante 5-2 Real BetisAug 29, 2026
- Real Sociedad 2-1 EspanyolAug 29, 2026
- Sevilla 1-3 Atletico MadridAug 29, 2026
- Real Madrid 4-0 MalagaAug 30, 2026
- Celta Vigo 0-2 Athletic ClubAug 30, 2026
- Osasuna 1-0 GetafeAug 31, 2026
- Barcelona 5-2 Rayo VallecanoAug 31, 2026
Frequently asked questions
What is the Deportivo La Coruna vs Valencia prediction?
Before the match, our AI gave Deportivo La Coruna a 42% chance of winning, the draw 35% and Valencia 23%. Deportivo La Coruna are therefore slight favourites. Final score: 3-1.
What is the most likely correct score for Deportivo La Coruna vs Valencia?
0-0 (20.0%), followed by 1-0 (19.4%), 0-1 (12.8%), 1-1 (12.4%) and 2-0 (9.4%).
Will both teams score in Deportivo La Coruna vs Valencia?
The probability that both Deportivo La Coruna and Valencia score is 29%. Deportivo La Coruna have a 53% chance of keeping a clean sheet, Valencia 38%.
How many goals should we expect in Deportivo La Coruna vs Valencia?
The model expects 1.61 goals (0.97 for Deportivo La Coruna, 0.64 for Valencia). Probabilities: over 1.5 goals 48%, over 2.5 goals 22%, over 3.5 goals 8%.
When and where is Deportivo La Coruna vs Valencia played?
Sunday, August 30, 2026 at 18:30 (UK time), La Liga, matchday 3. Venue: Estadio Municipal de Riazor, La Coruna.
What form are Deportivo La Coruna and Valencia in?
Deportivo La Coruna: 1 win, 3 draws and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches (4 scored, 4 conceded). Valencia: 0 wins, 2 draws and 3 defeats in their last 5 matches (2 scored, 5 conceded).
What is the head-to-head record between Deportivo La Coruna and Valencia?
In the last 5 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 0 wins for Deportivo La Coruna, 3 for Valencia and 2 draws.
What was the Deportivo La Coruna vs Valencia result, and was the prediction right?
Final score: Deportivo La Coruna 3-1 Valencia. The 1X2 prediction came good: victory for Deportivo La Coruna was the model's favourite outcome (42%). The final score ranked 10th among the most likely scorelines (1.9%), behind 0-0. On goals, the model did not expect both teams to score (29%): missed; it pointed to under 2.5 goals (22%): missed.
How is the Deportivo La Coruna vs Valencia prediction calculated?
The model estimates each team's expected goals (0.97 for Deportivo La Coruna, 0.64 for Valencia) from recent form, xG and standings, then applies a Poisson distribution: every possible score gets a probability, from which the 1X2, correct score, both teams to score and total goals are derived. Every figure is calculated, none is made up.
Go further
- All Deportivo La Coruna predictions
- All Valencia predictions
- La Liga predictions
- Today’s predictions
- Our methodology