Skip to content
Elofoot

La LigaLa Liga· Kick-off : Thursday, August 27, 2026, 19:30 (UK time)

Celta Vigo vs Osasuna: 1-2 result and AI prediction review

Celta VigoCelta Vigo1 – 2OsasunaOsasuna

Review: prediction vs result

1X2 outcome missedExact score missedMost likely score before kick-off : 0-0

Final score: Celta Vigo 1-2 Osasuna. The outcome was missed: the model favoured a draw (39%), while victory for Osasuna was rated at only 26%. The final score ranked 8th among the most likely scorelines (3.6%), behind 0-0. On goals, the model did not expect both teams to score (24%): missed; it pointed to under 2.5 goals (16%): missed.

Match analysis

Celta Vigo and Osasuna met on Thursday, August 27, 2026, a La Liga, matchday 1 fixture. Venue: Municipal de Balaídos, Vigo. Before kick-off, our model gave Celta Vigo a 35% chance of winning, the draw 39% and Osasuna 26%. On the correct score, 0-0 comes out on top (25.7%), followed by 1-0 (19.2%) and 0-1 (15.7%).

Celta Vigo are unbeaten in their last 5 matches (2 wins, 3 draws), scoring 8 and conceding 4. Over their last 5 matches, Osasuna have 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats, scoring 5 and conceding 6. Both sides come in with similar form. On average Celta Vigo score 1.60 and concede 0.80 goals per game; Osasuna score 1.00 and concede 1.20. In the table, Celta Vigo sit 12th with 1 points from 1 games, Osasuna 11th with 1 points from 1. The two teams are close in the standings. Over their recent games, Celta Vigo have averaged 0.66 xG (expected goals) per match, against 0.70 for Osasuna.

In the last 2 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 1 win for Celta Vigo, 1 for Osasuna and 0 draws. The most recent ended Celta Vigo 1-2 Osasuna (Feb 6, 2026). Celta Vigo out or doubtful: C. Perez, M. Vecino and B. Iglesias. Osasuna: V. Rosier. In double chance terms, "Celta Vigo or draw" stands at 74%, "Osasuna or draw" at 65% and "no draw" at 61%.

Outcome probabilities (1X2)

35%
Celta Vigo (Win)
39%
Draw
26%
Osasuna (Win)

Double chance

74%
Celta Vigo or draw
65%
Osasuna or draw
61%
No draw

Most likely correct scores

Scores shown as Celta Vigo – Osasuna. 0-0 is the single most likely scoreline (25.7%); the 5 scores below add up to 79% of all outcomes, which is why an exact score remains hard to call.

ScoreProbability
Celta Vigo 0-0 Osasuna25.7%
Celta Vigo 1-0 Osasuna19.2%
Celta Vigo 0-1 Osasuna15.7%
Celta Vigo 1-1 Osasuna11.7%
Celta Vigo 2-0 Osasuna7.2%

Goals: both teams to score, over/under

With 0.75 expected goals for Celta Vigo and 0.61 for Osasuna, "over 2.5 goals" is rated at 16% and "both teams to score" at 24%. Few goals are expected here. Celta Vigo keep a clean sheet in 54% of scenarios, Osasuna in 47%.

Probability
Celta Vigo expected goals0.75
Osasuna expected goals0.61
Both teams to score24%
Over 1.5 goals39%
Over 2.5 goals16%
Over 3.5 goals5%
Celta Vigo clean sheet54%
Osasuna clean sheet47%

Recent form

Latest matches played before this game in the competitions Elofoot covers.

Celta Vigo

DateOpponentScore
Aug 22, 2026Valencia · La Liga0-0D
Aug 8, 2026Napoli · Club Friendlies1-1D
Aug 5, 2026Sassuolo · Club Friendlies4-1W
Jul 29, 2026Academico Viseu · Club Friendlies2-2D
Jul 25, 2026Sporting Gijon · Club Friendlies1-0W

Osasuna

DateOpponentScore
Aug 24, 2026Levante · La Liga0-0D
Aug 8, 2026Al Ain · Club Friendlies0-2L
Aug 5, 2026Napoli · Club Friendlies1-2L
Aug 1, 2026Norwich · Club Friendlies2-1W
Jul 29, 2026Ipswich · Club Friendlies2-1W

Standings before the match

Pos.PointsPlayed
Celta Vigo1211
Osasuna1111

Head-to-head

DateScoreCompetition
Feb 6, 2026Celta Vigo 1-2 OsasunaLa Liga
Oct 26, 2025Osasuna 2-3 Celta VigoLa Liga

Out and doubtful

Celta Vigo

  • C. Perez (out)
  • M. Vecino (out)
  • B. Iglesias (out)

Osasuna

  • V. Rosier (out)

Other matches in this competition

Frequently asked questions

What is the Celta Vigo vs Osasuna prediction?

Before the match, our AI gave Celta Vigo a 35% chance of winning, the draw 39% and Osasuna 26%. A draw is therefore the most likely outcome. Final score: 1-2.

What is the most likely correct score for Celta Vigo vs Osasuna?

0-0 (25.7%), followed by 1-0 (19.2%), 0-1 (15.7%), 1-1 (11.7%) and 2-0 (7.2%).

Will both teams score in Celta Vigo vs Osasuna?

The probability that both Celta Vigo and Osasuna score is 24%. Celta Vigo have a 54% chance of keeping a clean sheet, Osasuna 47%.

How many goals should we expect in Celta Vigo vs Osasuna?

The model expects 1.36 goals (0.75 for Celta Vigo, 0.61 for Osasuna). Probabilities: over 1.5 goals 39%, over 2.5 goals 16%, over 3.5 goals 5%.

When and where is Celta Vigo vs Osasuna played?

Thursday, August 27, 2026 at 19:30 (UK time), La Liga, matchday 1. Venue: Municipal de Balaídos, Vigo.

What form are Celta Vigo and Osasuna in?

Celta Vigo: 2 wins, 3 draws and 0 defeats in their last 5 matches (8 scored, 4 conceded). Osasuna: 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches (5 scored, 6 conceded).

What is the head-to-head record between Celta Vigo and Osasuna?

In the last 2 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 1 win for Celta Vigo, 1 for Osasuna and 0 draws. The most recent ended Celta Vigo 1-2 Osasuna (Feb 6, 2026).

What was the Celta Vigo vs Osasuna result, and was the prediction right?

Final score: Celta Vigo 1-2 Osasuna. The outcome was missed: the model favoured a draw (39%), while victory for Osasuna was rated at only 26%. The final score ranked 8th among the most likely scorelines (3.6%), behind 0-0. On goals, the model did not expect both teams to score (24%): missed; it pointed to under 2.5 goals (16%): missed.

How is the Celta Vigo vs Osasuna prediction calculated?

The model estimates each team's expected goals (0.75 for Celta Vigo, 0.61 for Osasuna) from recent form, xG and standings, then applies a Poisson distribution: every possible score gets a probability, from which the 1X2, correct score, both teams to score and total goals are derived. Every figure is calculated, none is made up.

Go further

Key terms explained