La Liga· Kick-off : Monday, August 24, 2026, 20:30 (UK time)
Malaga vs Deportivo La Coruna: 1-1 result and AI prediction review
Review: prediction vs result
Final score: Malaga 1-1 Deportivo La Coruna. The AI called the outcome correctly: it rated a draw at 60%. The final score ranked 4th among the most likely scorelines (4.8%), behind 0-0. On goals, the model did not expect both teams to score (7%): missed; it pointed to under 2.5 goals (2%): correct.
Match analysis
Malaga and Deportivo La Coruna met on Monday, August 24, 2026, a La Liga, matchday 2 fixture. Venue: Estadio La Rosaleda, Malaga. Before kick-off, our model gave Malaga a 16% chance of winning, the draw 60% and Deportivo La Coruna 24%. On the correct score, 0-0 comes out on top (54.9%), followed by 0-1 (19.2%) and 1-0 (13.7%).
Malaga have won just one of their last 5 matches (2 draws, 2 defeats), scoring 9 and conceding 10. Deportivo La Coruna have won just one of their last 5 matches (3 draws, 1 defeat), scoring 5 and conceding 5. Both sides come in with similar form. On average Malaga score 1.80 and concede 2.00 goals per game; Deportivo La Coruna score 1.00 and concede 1.00. In the table, Malaga sit 19th with 0 points from 1 games, Deportivo La Coruna 10th with 1 points from 1. 9 places separate the two sides. Over their recent games, Malaga have averaged 0.15 xG (expected goals) per match, against 0.34 for Deportivo La Coruna.
In the last 5 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 2 wins for Malaga, 0 for Deportivo La Coruna and 3 draws. Malaga out or doubtful: F. Calero, M. Diarra, Juanpe, D. Murillo and A. Nino. Deportivo La Coruna: N. Carrillo, D. Mella and D. Villares. In double chance terms, "Malaga or draw" stands at 76%, "Deportivo La Coruna or draw" at 84% and "no draw" at 40%.
Outcome probabilities (1X2)
Double chance
Most likely correct scores
Scores shown as Malaga – Deportivo La Coruna. 0-0 is the single most likely scoreline (54.9%); the 5 scores below add up to 96% of all outcomes, which is why an exact score remains hard to call.
| Score | Probability |
|---|---|
| Malaga 0-0 Deportivo La Coruna | 54.9% |
| Malaga 0-1 Deportivo La Coruna | 19.2% |
| Malaga 1-0 Deportivo La Coruna | 13.7% |
| Malaga 1-1 Deportivo La Coruna | 4.8% |
| Malaga 0-2 Deportivo La Coruna | 3.4% |
Goals: both teams to score, over/under
With 0.25 expected goals for Malaga and 0.35 for Deportivo La Coruna, "over 2.5 goals" is rated at 2% and "both teams to score" at 7%. Few goals are expected here. Malaga keep a clean sheet in 71% of scenarios, Deportivo La Coruna in 78%.
| Probability | |
|---|---|
| Malaga expected goals | 0.25 |
| Deportivo La Coruna expected goals | 0.35 |
| Both teams to score | 7% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 12% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 2% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 0% |
| Malaga clean sheet | 71% |
| Deportivo La Coruna clean sheet | 78% |
Recent form
Latest matches played before this game in the competitions Elofoot covers.
Malaga
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 19, 2026 | Atletico Madrid · La Liga | 0-2 | L |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Fulham · Club Friendlies | 2-2 | D |
| Aug 7, 2026 | AD Ceuta FC · Club Friendlies | 1-2 | L |
| Aug 6, 2026 | Al-Arabi SC · Club Friendlies | 4-2 | W |
| Jul 30, 2026 | Al-Ittihad FC · Club Friendlies | 2-2 | D |
Deportivo La Coruna
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 17, 2026 | Elche · La Liga | 1-1 | D |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Real Madrid · Club Friendlies | 0-1 | L |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Genoa · Club Friendlies | 1-0 | W |
| Aug 6, 2026 | Fiorentina · Club Friendlies | 1-1 | D |
| Aug 1, 2026 | FC St. Pauli · Club Friendlies | 2-2 | D |
Standings before the match
| Pos. | Points | Played | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Malaga | 19 | 0 | 1 |
| Deportivo La Coruna | 10 | 1 | 1 |
Head-to-head
In the last 5 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 2 wins for Malaga, 0 for Deportivo La Coruna and 3 draws.
Out and doubtful
Malaga
- F. Calero (out)
- M. Diarra (out)
- Juanpe (out)
- D. Murillo (out)
- A. Nino (out)
Deportivo La Coruna
- N. Carrillo (out)
- D. Mella (out)
- D. Villares (out)
Other matches in this competition
- Athletic Club 1-3 SevillaAug 22, 2026
- Valencia 0-0 Celta VigoAug 22, 2026
- Espanyol 1-2 Real MadridAug 22, 2026
- Atletico Madrid 2-2 VillarrealAug 23, 2026
- Getafe 1-0 Racing SantanderAug 23, 2026
- Elche 0-5 BarcelonaAug 23, 2026
- Osasuna 0-0 LevanteAug 24, 2026
- Valencia 0-1 Real BetisAug 25, 2026
- Real Madrid 4-1 Real SociedadAug 26, 2026
- Celta Vigo 1-2 OsasunaAug 27, 2026
Frequently asked questions
What is the Malaga vs Deportivo La Coruna prediction?
Before the match, our AI gave Malaga a 16% chance of winning, the draw 60% and Deportivo La Coruna 24%. A draw is therefore the most likely outcome. Final score: 1-1.
What is the most likely correct score for Malaga vs Deportivo La Coruna?
0-0 (54.9%), followed by 0-1 (19.2%), 1-0 (13.7%), 1-1 (4.8%) and 0-2 (3.4%).
Will both teams score in Malaga vs Deportivo La Coruna?
The probability that both Malaga and Deportivo La Coruna score is 7%. Malaga have a 71% chance of keeping a clean sheet, Deportivo La Coruna 78%.
How many goals should we expect in Malaga vs Deportivo La Coruna?
The model expects 0.60 goals (0.25 for Malaga, 0.35 for Deportivo La Coruna). Probabilities: over 1.5 goals 12%, over 2.5 goals 2%, over 3.5 goals 0%.
When and where is Malaga vs Deportivo La Coruna played?
Monday, August 24, 2026 at 20:30 (UK time), La Liga, matchday 2. Venue: Estadio La Rosaleda, Malaga.
What form are Malaga and Deportivo La Coruna in?
Malaga: 1 win, 2 draws and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches (9 scored, 10 conceded). Deportivo La Coruna: 1 win, 3 draws and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches (5 scored, 5 conceded).
What is the head-to-head record between Malaga and Deportivo La Coruna?
In the last 5 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 2 wins for Malaga, 0 for Deportivo La Coruna and 3 draws.
What was the Malaga vs Deportivo La Coruna result, and was the prediction right?
Final score: Malaga 1-1 Deportivo La Coruna. The AI called the outcome correctly: it rated a draw at 60%. The final score ranked 4th among the most likely scorelines (4.8%), behind 0-0. On goals, the model did not expect both teams to score (7%): missed; it pointed to under 2.5 goals (2%): correct.
How is the Malaga vs Deportivo La Coruna prediction calculated?
The model estimates each team's expected goals (0.25 for Malaga, 0.35 for Deportivo La Coruna) from recent form, xG and standings, then applies a Poisson distribution: every possible score gets a probability, from which the 1X2, correct score, both teams to score and total goals are derived. Every figure is calculated, none is made up.
Go further
- All Malaga predictions
- All Deportivo La Coruna predictions
- La Liga predictions
- Today’s predictions
- Our methodology