La Liga· Kick-off : Sunday, August 23, 2026, 20:30 (UK time)
Elche vs Barcelona: 0-5 result and AI prediction review
Review: prediction vs result
Final score: Elche 0-5 Barcelona. The 1X2 prediction came good: victory for Barcelona was the model's favourite outcome (39%). The model considered this score unlikely (0.2%). On goals, the model did not expect both teams to score (48%): correct; it pointed to under 2.5 goals (43%): missed.
Match analysis
Elche vs Barcelona was played on Sunday, August 23, 2026 (La Liga, matchday 2). Venue: Estadio Martínez Valero, Elche. Before kick-off, our model gave Elche a 33% chance of winning, the draw 28% and Barcelona 39%. The most likely correct score is 1-1 (13.1%), ahead of 0-1 (11.6%) and 1-0 (10.5%).
Elche are unbeaten in their last 5 matches (1 win, 4 draws), scoring 7 and conceding 6. Over their last 5 matches, Barcelona have 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat, scoring 10 and conceding 6. Recent momentum is clearly with Barcelona. On average Elche score 1.40 and concede 1.20 goals per game; Barcelona score 2.00 and concede 1.20.
In the last 2 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 0 wins for Elche, 2 for Barcelona and 0 draws. The most recent ended Elche 1-3 Barcelona (Jan 31, 2026). Elche out or doubtful: A. Boayar, A. Osorio and Y. Santiago. Barcelona: R. Bardghji, J. Bisiwu, M. Casado, Rodri and F. de Jong. In double chance terms, "Elche or draw" stands at 61%, "Barcelona or draw" at 67% and "no draw" at 72%.
Outcome probabilities (1X2)
Double chance
Most likely correct scores
Scores shown as Elche – Barcelona. 1-1 is the single most likely scoreline (13.1%); the 5 scores below add up to 53% of all outcomes, which is why an exact score remains hard to call.
| Score | Probability |
|---|---|
| Elche 1-1 Barcelona | 13.1% |
| Elche 0-1 Barcelona | 11.6% |
| Elche 1-0 Barcelona | 10.5% |
| Elche 0-0 Barcelona | 9.3% |
| Elche 1-2 Barcelona | 8.2% |
Goals: both teams to score, over/under
The model expects 2.38 goals in total (1.13 for Elche, 1.25 for Barcelona): over 2.5 goals has a 43% probability and both teams to score 48%. Elche keep a clean sheet in 29% of scenarios, Barcelona in 32%.
| Probability | |
|---|---|
| Elche expected goals | 1.13 |
| Barcelona expected goals | 1.25 |
| Both teams to score | 48% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 69% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 43% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 22% |
| Elche clean sheet | 29% |
| Barcelona clean sheet | 32% |
Recent form
Latest matches played before this game in the competitions Elofoot covers.
Elche
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 17, 2026 | Deportivo La Coruna · La Liga | 1-1 | D |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Cordoba · Club Friendlies | 2-2 | D |
| Jul 28, 2026 | Al Ain · Club Friendlies | 2-2 | D |
| Jul 24, 2026 | Johor Darul Takzim FC · Club Friendlies | 0-0 | D |
| Jul 18, 2026 | Kaizer Chiefs · Club Friendlies | 2-1 | W |
Barcelona
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 19, 2026 | Al Ahly · Club Friendlies | 2-1 | W |
| Aug 16, 2026 | FC Basel 1893 · Club Friendlies | 5-2 | W |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Udinese · Club Friendlies | 0-1 | L |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Nottingham Forest · Club Friendlies | 1-0 | W |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Birmingham · Club Friendlies | 2-2 | D |
Standings before the match
| Pos. | Points | Played | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Elche | 10 | 1 | 1 |
| Barcelona | 14 | 0 | 0 |
Head-to-head
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 31, 2026 | Elche 1-3 Barcelona | La Liga |
| Nov 2, 2025 | Barcelona 3-1 Elche | La Liga |
Out and doubtful
Elche
- A. Boayar (out)
- A. Osorio (out)
- Y. Santiago (out)
Barcelona
- R. Bardghji (out)
- J. Bisiwu (out)
- M. Casado (out)
- Rodri (out)
- F. de Jong (out)
Other matches in this competition
- Real Betis 1-0 Real SociedadAug 21, 2026
- Athletic Club 1-3 SevillaAug 22, 2026
- Valencia 0-0 Celta VigoAug 22, 2026
- Espanyol 1-2 Real MadridAug 22, 2026
- Atletico Madrid 2-2 VillarrealAug 23, 2026
- Getafe 1-0 Racing SantanderAug 23, 2026
- Osasuna 0-0 LevanteAug 24, 2026
- Malaga 1-1 Deportivo La CorunaAug 24, 2026
- Valencia 0-1 Real BetisAug 25, 2026
- Real Madrid 4-1 Real SociedadAug 26, 2026
Frequently asked questions
What is the Elche vs Barcelona prediction?
Before the match, our AI gave Elche a 33% chance of winning, the draw 28% and Barcelona 39%. Barcelona are therefore slight favourites. Final score: 0-5.
What is the most likely correct score for Elche vs Barcelona?
1-1 (13.1%), followed by 0-1 (11.6%), 1-0 (10.5%), 0-0 (9.3%) and 1-2 (8.2%).
Will both teams score in Elche vs Barcelona?
The probability that both Elche and Barcelona score is 48%. Elche have a 29% chance of keeping a clean sheet, Barcelona 32%.
How many goals should we expect in Elche vs Barcelona?
The model expects 2.38 goals (1.13 for Elche, 1.25 for Barcelona). Probabilities: over 1.5 goals 69%, over 2.5 goals 43%, over 3.5 goals 22%.
When and where is Elche vs Barcelona played?
Sunday, August 23, 2026 at 20:30 (UK time), La Liga, matchday 2. Venue: Estadio Martínez Valero, Elche.
What form are Elche and Barcelona in?
Elche: 1 win, 4 draws and 0 defeats in their last 5 matches (7 scored, 6 conceded). Barcelona: 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches (10 scored, 6 conceded).
What is the head-to-head record between Elche and Barcelona?
In the last 2 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 0 wins for Elche, 2 for Barcelona and 0 draws. The most recent ended Elche 1-3 Barcelona (Jan 31, 2026).
What was the Elche vs Barcelona result, and was the prediction right?
Final score: Elche 0-5 Barcelona. The 1X2 prediction came good: victory for Barcelona was the model's favourite outcome (39%). The model considered this score unlikely (0.2%). On goals, the model did not expect both teams to score (48%): correct; it pointed to under 2.5 goals (43%): missed.
How is the Elche vs Barcelona prediction calculated?
The model estimates each team's expected goals (1.13 for Elche, 1.25 for Barcelona) from recent form, xG and standings, then applies a Poisson distribution: every possible score gets a probability, from which the 1X2, correct score, both teams to score and total goals are derived. Every figure is calculated, none is made up.