La Liga· Kick-off : Sunday, August 23, 2026, 18:30 (UK time)
Getafe vs Racing Santander: 1-0 result and AI prediction review
Review: prediction vs result
Final score: Getafe 1-0 Racing Santander. The outcome was missed: the model favoured victory for Racing Santander (78%), while victory for Getafe was rated at only 4%. The final score ranked 9th among the most likely scorelines (2.9%), behind 0-1. On goals, the model did not expect both teams to score (19%): correct; it pointed to under 2.5 goals (37%): correct.
Match analysis
Getafe and Racing Santander met on Sunday, August 23, 2026, a La Liga, matchday 2 fixture. Venue: Coliseum Alfonso Pérez, Getafe. Before kick-off, our model gave Getafe a 4% chance of winning, the draw 18% and Racing Santander 78%. On the correct score, 0-1 comes out on top (21.9%), followed by 0-2 (21.0%) and 0-3 (13.5%).
Getafe have won just one of their last 5 matches (1 draw, 3 defeats), scoring 5 and conceding 10. Racing Santander have won just one of their last 5 matches (2 draws, 2 defeats), scoring 7 and conceding 10. Both sides come in with similar form. On average Getafe score 1.00 and concede 2.00 goals per game; Racing Santander score 1.40 and concede 2.00. In the table, Getafe sit 20th with 0 points from 1 games, Racing Santander 7th with 1 points from 1. 13 places separate the two sides. Over their recent games, Getafe have averaged 0.24 xG (expected goals) per match, against 1.87 for Racing Santander.
In the last 4 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 2 wins for Getafe, 1 for Racing Santander and 1 draw. Getafe out or doubtful: Juanmi, Kiko Femenia and C. Uche. Racing Santander: Pedro Felipe. In double chance terms, "Getafe or draw" stands at 22%, "Racing Santander or draw" at 96% and "no draw" at 82%.
Outcome probabilities (1X2)
Double chance
Most likely correct scores
Scores shown as Getafe – Racing Santander. 0-1 is the single most likely scoreline (21.9%); the 5 scores below add up to 74% of all outcomes, which is why an exact score remains hard to call.
| Score | Probability |
|---|---|
| Getafe 0-1 Racing Santander | 21.9% |
| Getafe 0-2 Racing Santander | 21.0% |
| Getafe 0-3 Racing Santander | 13.5% |
| Getafe 0-0 Racing Santander | 11.4% |
| Getafe 0-4 Racing Santander | 6.5% |
Goals: both teams to score, over/under
With 0.25 expected goals for Getafe and 1.92 for Racing Santander, "over 2.5 goals" is rated at 37% and "both teams to score" at 19%. Few goals are expected here. Getafe keep a clean sheet in 15% of scenarios, Racing Santander in 78%.
| Probability | |
|---|---|
| Getafe expected goals | 0.25 |
| Racing Santander expected goals | 1.92 |
| Both teams to score | 19% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 64% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 37% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 18% |
| Getafe clean sheet | 15% |
| Racing Santander clean sheet | 78% |
Recent form
Latest matches played before this game in the competitions Elofoot covers.
Getafe
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 20, 2026 | FK Partizan · UEFA Conference League | 3-1 | W |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Alaves · La Liga | 0-3 | L |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Tottenham · Club Friendlies | 1-1 | D |
| Aug 6, 2026 | Monaco · Club Friendlies | 0-1 | L |
| Jul 29, 2026 | Atletico Madrid · Club Friendlies | 1-4 | L |
Racing Santander
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 16, 2026 | Villarreal · La Liga | 2-2 | D |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Alaves · Club Friendlies | 1-1 | D |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Sporting Gijon · Club Friendlies | 4-1 | W |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Wolves · Club Friendlies | 0-3 | L |
| Jul 29, 2026 | Athletic Club · Club Friendlies | 0-3 | L |
Standings before the match
| Pos. | Points | Played | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Getafe | 20 | 0 | 1 |
| Racing Santander | 7 | 1 | 1 |
Head-to-head
In the last 4 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 2 wins for Getafe, 1 for Racing Santander and 1 draw.
Out and doubtful
Getafe
- Juanmi (out)
- Kiko Femenia (out)
- C. Uche (out)
Racing Santander
- Pedro Felipe (out)
Other matches in this competition
- Rayo Vallecano 1-1 AlavesAug 20, 2026
- Real Betis 1-0 Real SociedadAug 21, 2026
- Athletic Club 1-3 SevillaAug 22, 2026
- Valencia 0-0 Celta VigoAug 22, 2026
- Espanyol 1-2 Real MadridAug 22, 2026
- Atletico Madrid 2-2 VillarrealAug 23, 2026
- Elche 0-5 BarcelonaAug 23, 2026
- Osasuna 0-0 LevanteAug 24, 2026
- Malaga 1-1 Deportivo La CorunaAug 24, 2026
- Valencia 0-1 Real BetisAug 25, 2026
Frequently asked questions
What is the Getafe vs Racing Santander prediction?
Before the match, our AI gave Getafe a 4% chance of winning, the draw 18% and Racing Santander 78%. Racing Santander are therefore favourites. Final score: 1-0.
What is the most likely correct score for Getafe vs Racing Santander?
0-1 (21.9%), followed by 0-2 (21.0%), 0-3 (13.5%), 0-0 (11.4%) and 0-4 (6.5%).
Will both teams score in Getafe vs Racing Santander?
The probability that both Getafe and Racing Santander score is 19%. Getafe have a 15% chance of keeping a clean sheet, Racing Santander 78%.
How many goals should we expect in Getafe vs Racing Santander?
The model expects 2.17 goals (0.25 for Getafe, 1.92 for Racing Santander). Probabilities: over 1.5 goals 64%, over 2.5 goals 37%, over 3.5 goals 18%.
When and where is Getafe vs Racing Santander played?
Sunday, August 23, 2026 at 18:30 (UK time), La Liga, matchday 2. Venue: Coliseum Alfonso Pérez, Getafe.
What form are Getafe and Racing Santander in?
Getafe: 1 win, 1 draw and 3 defeats in their last 5 matches (5 scored, 10 conceded). Racing Santander: 1 win, 2 draws and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches (7 scored, 10 conceded).
What is the head-to-head record between Getafe and Racing Santander?
In the last 4 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 2 wins for Getafe, 1 for Racing Santander and 1 draw.
What was the Getafe vs Racing Santander result, and was the prediction right?
Final score: Getafe 1-0 Racing Santander. The outcome was missed: the model favoured victory for Racing Santander (78%), while victory for Getafe was rated at only 4%. The final score ranked 9th among the most likely scorelines (2.9%), behind 0-1. On goals, the model did not expect both teams to score (19%): correct; it pointed to under 2.5 goals (37%): correct.
How is the Getafe vs Racing Santander prediction calculated?
The model estimates each team's expected goals (0.25 for Getafe, 1.92 for Racing Santander) from recent form, xG and standings, then applies a Poisson distribution: every possible score gets a probability, from which the 1X2, correct score, both teams to score and total goals are derived. Every figure is calculated, none is made up.
Go further
- All Getafe predictions
- All Racing Santander predictions
- La Liga predictions
- Today’s predictions
- Our methodology