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La LigaLa Liga· Kick-off : Saturday, August 22, 2026, 18:30 (UK time)

Valencia vs Celta Vigo: 0-0 result and AI prediction review

ValenciaValencia0 – 0Celta VigoCelta Vigo

Review: prediction vs result

1X2 outcome missedExact score missedMost likely score before kick-off : 1-1

Final score: Valencia 0-0 Celta Vigo. The outcome was missed: the model favoured victory for Valencia (50%), while a draw was rated at only 25%. The final score ranked 6th among the most likely scorelines (7.1%), behind 1-1. On goals, the model expected both teams to score (52%): missed; it pointed to under 2.5 goals (49%): correct.

Match analysis

Valencia and Celta Vigo met on Saturday, August 22, 2026, a La Liga, matchday 2 fixture. Venue: Estadio de Mestalla, Valencia. Before kick-off, our model gave Valencia a 50% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Celta Vigo 25%. On the correct score, 1-1 comes out on top (11.9%), followed by 1-0 (11.3%) and 2-1 (9.5%).

Valencia have won just one of their last 5 matches (1 draw, 3 defeats), scoring 5 and conceding 7. Celta Vigo are unbeaten in their last 5 matches (2 wins, 3 draws), scoring 10 and conceding 6. Celta Vigo therefore arrive in far better shape than Valencia. On average Valencia score 1.00 and concede 1.40 goals per game; Celta Vigo score 2.00 and concede 1.20.

In the last 2 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 0 wins for Valencia, 2 for Celta Vigo and 0 draws. The most recent ended Valencia 2-3 Celta Vigo (Apr 5, 2026). Valencia out or doubtful: S. Canos, J. Copete, D. Lopez, A. Mari and D. Foulquier. Celta Vigo: M. Vecino. In double chance terms, "Valencia or draw" stands at 75%, "Celta Vigo or draw" at 50% and "no draw" at 75%.

Outcome probabilities (1X2)

50%
Valencia (Win)
25%
Draw
25%
Celta Vigo (Win)

Double chance

75%
Valencia or draw
50%
Celta Vigo or draw
75%
No draw

Most likely correct scores

Scores shown as Valencia – Celta Vigo. 1-1 is the single most likely scoreline (11.9%); the 5 scores below add up to 49% of all outcomes, which is why an exact score remains hard to call.

ScoreProbability
Valencia 1-1 Celta Vigo11.9%
Valencia 1-0 Celta Vigo11.3%
Valencia 2-1 Celta Vigo9.5%
Valencia 2-0 Celta Vigo9.0%
Valencia 0-1 Celta Vigo7.5%

Goals: both teams to score, over/under

With 1.59 expected goals for Valencia and 1.05 for Celta Vigo, "over 2.5 goals" is rated at 49% and "both teams to score" at 52%. Valencia keep a clean sheet in 35% of scenarios, Celta Vigo in 20%.

Probability
Valencia expected goals1.59
Celta Vigo expected goals1.05
Both teams to score52%
Over 1.5 goals74%
Over 2.5 goals49%
Over 3.5 goals27%
Valencia clean sheet35%
Celta Vigo clean sheet20%

Recent form

Latest matches played before this game in the competitions Elofoot covers.

Valencia

DateOpponentScore
Aug 12, 2026Teruel · Club Friendlies0-1L
Aug 8, 2026Newcastle · Club Friendlies1-2L
Aug 1, 2026Stoke City · Club Friendlies1-1D
Jul 28, 2026Derby · Club Friendlies2-1W
Jul 25, 2026Castellón · Club Friendlies1-2L

Celta Vigo

DateOpponentScore
Aug 8, 2026Napoli · Club Friendlies1-1D
Aug 5, 2026Sassuolo · Club Friendlies4-1W
Jul 29, 2026Academico Viseu · Club Friendlies2-2D
Jul 25, 2026Sporting Gijon · Club Friendlies1-0W
Jul 18, 2026SC Braga · Club Friendlies2-2D

Standings before the match

Pos.PointsPlayed
Valencia1400
Celta Vigo1600

Head-to-head

DateScoreCompetition
Apr 5, 2026Valencia 2-3 Celta VigoLa Liga
Jan 3, 2026Celta Vigo 4-1 ValenciaLa Liga

Out and doubtful

Valencia

  • S. Canos (out)
  • J. Copete (out)
  • D. Lopez (out)
  • A. Mari (out)
  • D. Foulquier (out)

Celta Vigo

  • M. Vecino (out)

Other matches in this competition

Frequently asked questions

What is the Valencia vs Celta Vigo prediction?

Before the match, our AI gave Valencia a 50% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Celta Vigo 25%. Valencia are therefore favourites. Final score: 0-0.

What is the most likely correct score for Valencia vs Celta Vigo?

1-1 (11.9%), followed by 1-0 (11.3%), 2-1 (9.5%), 2-0 (9.0%) and 0-1 (7.5%).

Will both teams score in Valencia vs Celta Vigo?

The probability that both Valencia and Celta Vigo score is 52%. Valencia have a 35% chance of keeping a clean sheet, Celta Vigo 20%.

How many goals should we expect in Valencia vs Celta Vigo?

The model expects 2.64 goals (1.59 for Valencia, 1.05 for Celta Vigo). Probabilities: over 1.5 goals 74%, over 2.5 goals 49%, over 3.5 goals 27%.

When and where is Valencia vs Celta Vigo played?

Saturday, August 22, 2026 at 18:30 (UK time), La Liga, matchday 2. Venue: Estadio de Mestalla, Valencia.

What form are Valencia and Celta Vigo in?

Valencia: 1 win, 1 draw and 3 defeats in their last 5 matches (5 scored, 7 conceded). Celta Vigo: 2 wins, 3 draws and 0 defeats in their last 5 matches (10 scored, 6 conceded).

What is the head-to-head record between Valencia and Celta Vigo?

In the last 2 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 0 wins for Valencia, 2 for Celta Vigo and 0 draws. The most recent ended Valencia 2-3 Celta Vigo (Apr 5, 2026).

What was the Valencia vs Celta Vigo result, and was the prediction right?

Final score: Valencia 0-0 Celta Vigo. The outcome was missed: the model favoured victory for Valencia (50%), while a draw was rated at only 25%. The final score ranked 6th among the most likely scorelines (7.1%), behind 1-1. On goals, the model expected both teams to score (52%): missed; it pointed to under 2.5 goals (49%): correct.

How is the Valencia vs Celta Vigo prediction calculated?

The model estimates each team's expected goals (1.59 for Valencia, 1.05 for Celta Vigo) from recent form, xG and standings, then applies a Poisson distribution: every possible score gets a probability, from which the 1X2, correct score, both teams to score and total goals are derived. Every figure is calculated, none is made up.

Go further

Key terms explained