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La LigaLa Liga· Kick-off : Saturday, August 22, 2026, 20:30 (UK time)

Espanyol vs Real Madrid: 1-2 result and AI prediction review

EspanyolEspanyol1 – 2Real MadridReal Madrid

Review: prediction vs result

1X2 outcome missedExact score missedMost likely score before kick-off : 2-0

Final score: Espanyol 1-2 Real Madrid. The outcome was missed: the model favoured victory for Espanyol (67%), while victory for Real Madrid was rated at only 14%. The model considered this score unlikely (3.9%). On goals, the model expected both teams to score (50%): correct; it pointed to over 2.5 goals (57%): correct.

Match analysis

Espanyol vs Real Madrid was played on Saturday, August 22, 2026 (La Liga, matchday 2). Venue: RCDE Stadium, Cornella de Llobregat. Before kick-off, our model gave Espanyol a 67% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Real Madrid 14%. The most likely correct score is 2-0 (11.6%), ahead of 1-0 (11.0%) and 2-1 (9.8%).

Espanyol have won just one of their last 5 matches (3 draws, 1 defeat), scoring 10 and conceding 9. Real Madrid are unbeaten in their last 5 matches (4 wins, 1 draw), scoring 12 and conceding 4. Recent momentum is clearly with Real Madrid. On average Espanyol score 2.00 and concede 1.80 goals per game; Real Madrid score 2.40 and concede 0.80.

In the last 2 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 0 wins for Espanyol, 2 for Real Madrid and 0 draws. The most recent ended Espanyol 0-2 Real Madrid (May 3, 2026). Espanyol out or doubtful: L. Cabrera, K. Garcia and J. Puado. Real Madrid: R. Asencio, Eder Militao, Endrick, F. Mendy and T. Pitarch. In double chance terms, "Espanyol or draw" stands at 86%, "Real Madrid or draw" at 33% and "no draw" at 81%.

Outcome probabilities (1X2)

67%
Espanyol (Win)
19%
Draw
14%
Real Madrid (Win)

Double chance

86%
Espanyol or draw
33%
Real Madrid or draw
81%
No draw

Most likely correct scores

Scores shown as Espanyol – Real Madrid. 2-0 is the single most likely scoreline (11.6%); the 5 scores below add up to 50% of all outcomes, which is why an exact score remains hard to call.

ScoreProbability
Espanyol 2-0 Real Madrid11.6%
Espanyol 1-0 Real Madrid11.0%
Espanyol 2-1 Real Madrid9.8%
Espanyol 1-1 Real Madrid9.2%
Espanyol 3-0 Real Madrid8.2%

Goals: both teams to score, over/under

The model expects 2.96 goals in total (2.12 for Espanyol, 0.84 for Real Madrid): over 2.5 goals has a 57% probability and both teams to score 50%. Espanyol keep a clean sheet in 43% of scenarios, Real Madrid in 12%.

Probability
Espanyol expected goals2.12
Real Madrid expected goals0.84
Both teams to score50%
Over 1.5 goals80%
Over 2.5 goals57%
Over 3.5 goals34%
Espanyol clean sheet43%
Real Madrid clean sheet12%

Recent form

Latest matches played before this game in the competitions Elofoot covers.

Espanyol

DateOpponentScore
Aug 16, 2026Levante · La Liga3-0W
Aug 8, 2026Coventry · Club Friendlies1-3L
Aug 1, 2026Middlesbrough · Club Friendlies3-3D
Jul 29, 2026Burnley · Club Friendlies2-2D
Jul 25, 2026Sabadell · Club Friendlies1-1D

Real Madrid

DateOpponentScore
Aug 16, 2026FC Schalke 04 · Club Friendlies3-0W
Aug 12, 2026Deportivo La Coruna · Club Friendlies1-0W
Aug 8, 2026Ferencvarosi TC · Club Friendlies2-1W
Aug 1, 2026Fiorentina · Club Friendlies2-2D
Jul 28, 2026Leganes · Club Friendlies4-1W

Standings before the match

Pos.PointsPlayed
Espanyol231
Real Madrid1300

Head-to-head

DateScoreCompetition
May 3, 2026Espanyol 0-2 Real MadridLa Liga
Sep 20, 2025Real Madrid 2-0 EspanyolLa Liga

Out and doubtful

Espanyol

  • L. Cabrera (out)
  • K. Garcia (out)
  • J. Puado (out)

Real Madrid

  • R. Asencio (out)
  • Eder Militao (out)
  • Endrick (out)
  • F. Mendy (out)
  • T. Pitarch (out)

Other matches in this competition

Frequently asked questions

What is the Espanyol vs Real Madrid prediction?

Before the match, our AI gave Espanyol a 67% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Real Madrid 14%. Espanyol are therefore favourites. Final score: 1-2.

What is the most likely correct score for Espanyol vs Real Madrid?

2-0 (11.6%), followed by 1-0 (11.0%), 2-1 (9.8%), 1-1 (9.2%) and 3-0 (8.2%).

Will both teams score in Espanyol vs Real Madrid?

The probability that both Espanyol and Real Madrid score is 50%. Espanyol have a 43% chance of keeping a clean sheet, Real Madrid 12%.

How many goals should we expect in Espanyol vs Real Madrid?

The model expects 2.96 goals (2.12 for Espanyol, 0.84 for Real Madrid). Probabilities: over 1.5 goals 80%, over 2.5 goals 57%, over 3.5 goals 34%.

When and where is Espanyol vs Real Madrid played?

Saturday, August 22, 2026 at 20:30 (UK time), La Liga, matchday 2. Venue: RCDE Stadium, Cornella de Llobregat.

What form are Espanyol and Real Madrid in?

Espanyol: 1 win, 3 draws and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches (10 scored, 9 conceded). Real Madrid: 4 wins, 1 draw and 0 defeats in their last 5 matches (12 scored, 4 conceded).

What is the head-to-head record between Espanyol and Real Madrid?

In the last 2 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 0 wins for Espanyol, 2 for Real Madrid and 0 draws. The most recent ended Espanyol 0-2 Real Madrid (May 3, 2026).

What was the Espanyol vs Real Madrid result, and was the prediction right?

Final score: Espanyol 1-2 Real Madrid. The outcome was missed: the model favoured victory for Espanyol (67%), while victory for Real Madrid was rated at only 14%. The model considered this score unlikely (3.9%). On goals, the model expected both teams to score (50%): correct; it pointed to over 2.5 goals (57%): correct.

How is the Espanyol vs Real Madrid prediction calculated?

The model estimates each team's expected goals (2.12 for Espanyol, 0.84 for Real Madrid) from recent form, xG and standings, then applies a Poisson distribution: every possible score gets a probability, from which the 1X2, correct score, both teams to score and total goals are derived. Every figure is calculated, none is made up.

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Key terms explained