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La LigaLa Liga· Kick-off : Saturday, August 22, 2026, 16:00 (UK time)

Athletic Club vs Sevilla: 1-3 result and AI prediction review

Athletic ClubAthletic Club1 – 3SevillaSevilla

Review: prediction vs result

1X2 outcome correctExact score missedMost likely score before kick-off : 1-2

Final score: Athletic Club 1-3 Sevilla. The 1X2 prediction came good: victory for Sevilla was the model's favourite outcome (70%). The final score ranked 2nd among the most likely scorelines (8.0%), behind 1-2. On goals, the model expected both teams to score (64%): correct; it pointed to over 2.5 goals (74%): correct.

Match analysis

Athletic Club vs Sevilla was played on Saturday, August 22, 2026 (La Liga, matchday 2). Venue: San Mamés Stadium, Bilbao. Before kick-off, our model gave Athletic Club a 14% chance of winning, the draw 16% and Sevilla 70%. The most likely correct score is 1-2 (8.9%), ahead of 1-3 (8.0%) and 0-2 (7.6%).

Over their last 5 matches, Athletic Club have 2 wins, 0 draws and 3 defeats, scoring 8 and conceding 7. Over their last 5 matches, Sevilla have 4 wins, 0 draws and 1 defeat, scoring 8 and conceding 5. Recent momentum is clearly with Sevilla. On average Athletic Club score 1.60 and concede 1.40 goals per game; Sevilla score 1.60 and concede 1.00.

In the last 2 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 1 win for Athletic Club, 1 for Sevilla and 0 draws. The most recent ended Sevilla 2-1 Athletic Club (Jan 24, 2026). Athletic Club out or doubtful: U. Egiluz, U. Vencedor and D. Vivian. Sevilla: A. Gonzalez, Marcao, K. Salas and R. Vargas. In double chance terms, "Athletic Club or draw" stands at 30%, "Sevilla or draw" at 86% and "no draw" at 84%.

Outcome probabilities (1X2)

14%
Athletic Club (Win)
16%
Draw
70%
Sevilla (Win)

Double chance

30%
Athletic Club or draw
86%
Sevilla or draw
84%
No draw

Most likely correct scores

Scores shown as Athletic Club – Sevilla. 1-2 is the single most likely scoreline (8.9%); the 5 scores below add up to 38% of all outcomes, which is why an exact score remains hard to call.

ScoreProbability
Athletic Club 1-2 Sevilla8.9%
Athletic Club 1-3 Sevilla8.0%
Athletic Club 0-2 Sevilla7.6%
Athletic Club 0-3 Sevilla6.8%
Athletic Club 1-1 Sevilla6.6%

Goals: both teams to score, over/under

The model expects 3.87 goals in total (1.17 for Athletic Club, 2.70 for Sevilla): over 2.5 goals has a 74% probability and both teams to score 64%. Everything points to an open game. Athletic Club keep a clean sheet in 7% of scenarios, Sevilla in 31%.

Probability
Athletic Club expected goals1.17
Sevilla expected goals2.70
Both teams to score64%
Over 1.5 goals90%
Over 2.5 goals74%
Over 3.5 goals54%
Athletic Club clean sheet7%
Sevilla clean sheet31%

Recent form

Latest matches played before this game in the competitions Elofoot covers.

Athletic Club

DateOpponentScore
Aug 21, 2026Zaragoza · Club Friendlies1-3L
Aug 14, 2026Atalanta · Club Friendlies0-1L
Aug 9, 2026Marseille · Club Friendlies1-3L
Aug 1, 2026Burgos · Club Friendlies3-0W
Jul 29, 2026Racing Santander · Club Friendlies3-0W

Sevilla

DateOpponentScore
Aug 15, 2026Rayo Vallecano · La Liga2-1W
Aug 8, 2026Bayer Leverkusen · Club Friendlies1-2L
Aug 2, 2026Utrecht · Club Friendlies1-0W
Jul 31, 2026NEC Nijmegen · Club Friendlies2-1W
Jul 26, 2026AD Ceuta FC · Club Friendlies2-1W

Standings before the match

Pos.PointsPlayed
Athletic Club1100
Sevilla431

Head-to-head

DateScoreCompetition
Jan 24, 2026Sevilla 2-1 Athletic ClubLa Liga
Aug 17, 2025Athletic Club 3-2 SevillaLa Liga

Out and doubtful

Athletic Club

  • U. Egiluz (out)
  • U. Vencedor (out)
  • D. Vivian (out)

Sevilla

  • A. Gonzalez (out)
  • Marcao (out)
  • K. Salas (out)
  • R. Vargas (out)

Other matches in this competition

Frequently asked questions

What is the Athletic Club vs Sevilla prediction?

Before the match, our AI gave Athletic Club a 14% chance of winning, the draw 16% and Sevilla 70%. Sevilla are therefore favourites. Final score: 1-3.

What is the most likely correct score for Athletic Club vs Sevilla?

1-2 (8.9%), followed by 1-3 (8.0%), 0-2 (7.6%), 0-3 (6.8%) and 1-1 (6.6%).

Will both teams score in Athletic Club vs Sevilla?

The probability that both Athletic Club and Sevilla score is 64%. Athletic Club have a 7% chance of keeping a clean sheet, Sevilla 31%.

How many goals should we expect in Athletic Club vs Sevilla?

The model expects 3.87 goals (1.17 for Athletic Club, 2.70 for Sevilla). Probabilities: over 1.5 goals 90%, over 2.5 goals 74%, over 3.5 goals 54%.

When and where is Athletic Club vs Sevilla played?

Saturday, August 22, 2026 at 16:00 (UK time), La Liga, matchday 2. Venue: San Mamés Stadium, Bilbao.

What form are Athletic Club and Sevilla in?

Athletic Club: 2 wins, 0 draws and 3 defeats in their last 5 matches (8 scored, 7 conceded). Sevilla: 4 wins, 0 draws and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches (8 scored, 5 conceded).

What is the head-to-head record between Athletic Club and Sevilla?

In the last 2 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 1 win for Athletic Club, 1 for Sevilla and 0 draws. The most recent ended Sevilla 2-1 Athletic Club (Jan 24, 2026).

What was the Athletic Club vs Sevilla result, and was the prediction right?

Final score: Athletic Club 1-3 Sevilla. The 1X2 prediction came good: victory for Sevilla was the model's favourite outcome (70%). The final score ranked 2nd among the most likely scorelines (8.0%), behind 1-2. On goals, the model expected both teams to score (64%): correct; it pointed to over 2.5 goals (74%): correct.

How is the Athletic Club vs Sevilla prediction calculated?

The model estimates each team's expected goals (1.17 for Athletic Club, 2.70 for Sevilla) from recent form, xG and standings, then applies a Poisson distribution: every possible score gets a probability, from which the 1X2, correct score, both teams to score and total goals are derived. Every figure is calculated, none is made up.

Go further

Key terms explained