Peruvian Liga 1· Kick-off : Sunday, October 18, 2026, 19:15 (UK time)
FC Cajamarca vs UCV Moquegua: 0-1 result and AI prediction review
Review: prediction vs result
Final score: FC Cajamarca 0-1 UCV Moquegua. The AI called the outcome correctly: it rated victory for UCV Moquegua at 39%. The final score ranked 2nd among the most likely scorelines (20.1%), behind 0-0. On goals, the model did not expect both teams to score (25%): correct; it pointed to under 2.5 goals (17%): correct.
Match analysis
FC Cajamarca and UCV Moquegua met on Sunday, October 18, 2026, a Peruvian Liga 1 fixture. Venue: Estadio Heroes de San Ramon, Cajamarca. Before kick-off, our model gave FC Cajamarca a 24% chance of winning, the draw 37% and UCV Moquegua 39%. On the correct score, 0-0 comes out on top (24.2%), followed by 0-1 (20.1%) and 1-0 (14.3%).
Over their last 5 matches, FC Cajamarca have 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats, scoring 8 and conceding 10. UCV Moquegua have not won any of their last 5 matches (0 draws, 5 defeats), scoring 2 and conceding 14. FC Cajamarca therefore arrive in far better shape than UCV Moquegua. On average FC Cajamarca score 1.60 and concede 2.00 goals per game; UCV Moquegua score 0.40 and concede 2.80. In the table, FC Cajamarca sit 14th with 11 points from 11 games, UCV Moquegua 16th with 7 points from 11. The two teams are close in the standings.
In the last 1 meeting between the two sides, the record reads 0 wins for FC Cajamarca, 1 for UCV Moquegua and 0 draws. The most recent ended UCV Moquegua 2-1 FC Cajamarca (Apr 25, 2026). In double chance terms, "FC Cajamarca or draw" stands at 61%, "UCV Moquegua or draw" at 76% and "no draw" at 63%.
In short : UCV Moquegua are tipped by our AI model in this FC Cajamarca v UCV Moquegua (39%). In the table, FC Cajamarca (14th, 11 pts) host UCV Moquegua (16th, 7 pts). Our model's most likely scoreline: 0-0.
Outcome probabilities (1X2)
Double chance
Most likely correct scores
Scores shown as FC Cajamarca – UCV Moquegua. 0-0 is the single most likely scoreline (24.2%); the 5 scores below add up to 79% of all outcomes, which is why an exact score remains hard to call.
| Score | Probability |
|---|---|
| FC Cajamarca 0-0 UCV Moquegua | 24.2% |
| FC Cajamarca 0-1 UCV Moquegua | 20.1% |
| FC Cajamarca 1-0 UCV Moquegua | 14.3% |
| FC Cajamarca 1-1 UCV Moquegua | 11.8% |
| FC Cajamarca 0-2 UCV Moquegua | 8.3% |
Goals: both teams to score, over/under
With 0.59 expected goals for FC Cajamarca and 0.83 for UCV Moquegua, "over 2.5 goals" is rated at 17% and "both teams to score" at 25%. Few goals are expected here. FC Cajamarca keep a clean sheet in 44% of scenarios, UCV Moquegua in 55%.
| Probability | |
|---|---|
| FC Cajamarca expected goals | 0.59 |
| UCV Moquegua expected goals | 0.83 |
| Both teams to score | 25% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 42% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 17% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 6% |
| FC Cajamarca clean sheet | 44% |
| UCV Moquegua clean sheet | 55% |
Recent form
Latest matches in all competitions, at the time of the prediction.
FC Cajamarca
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | ADT · Peruvian Liga 1 | 0-0 | D |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Cusco · Peruvian Liga 1 | 1-2 | L |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Club Deportivo Los Chankas · Peruvian Liga 1 | 2-1 | W |
| Sep 4, 2026 | Cienciano · Peruvian Liga 1 | 2-5 | L |
| Aug 28, 2026 | Comerciantes Unidos · Peruvian Liga 1 | 3-2 | W |
UCV Moquegua
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 8, 2026 | Cienciano · Peruvian Liga 1 | 0-2 | L |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Juan Pablo II College · Peruvian Liga 1 | 0-4 | L |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Sporting Cristal · Peruvian Liga 1 | 1-2 | L |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Cusco · Peruvian Liga 1 | 0-2 | L |
| Aug 30, 2026 | Alianza Atletico · Peruvian Liga 1 | 1-4 | L |
Standings before the match
| Pos. | Points | Played | |
|---|---|---|---|
| FC Cajamarca | 14 | 11 | 11 |
| UCV Moquegua | 16 | 7 | 11 |
Head-to-head
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 25, 2026 | UCV Moquegua 2-1 FC Cajamarca | Peruvian Liga 1 |
Out and doubtful
FC Cajamarca
No absences reported.
UCV Moquegua
No absences reported.
Most regular starters
FC Cajamarca
Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).
- B. Palacios4/5
- C. A. Correa Flores4/5
- J. G. Orejuela4/5
- M. Arrasco4/5
- P. Cejas4/5
- S. Enciso4/5
- Y. Vilchez4/5
- A. J. Posito Olazabal3/5
- C. Gomez2/5
- C. Meza2/5
- J. Medina2/5
UCV Moquegua
Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).
- A. Perleche4/5
- Bryan Angulo4/5
- C. Enciso4/5
- C. Grados4/5
- C. Mejia4/5
- E. Lastre4/5
- J. Lojas4/5
- R. Chipao4/5
- Y. Zapata3/5
- E. Montenegro2/5
- N. Amasifuen2/5
Other matches in this competition
- Sport Huancayo 2-1 CuscoOct 16, 2026
- Club Deportivo Los Chankas 2-1 ADTOct 16, 2026
- Juan Pablo II College 2-0 Sport BoysOct 17, 2026
- FBC Melgar 4-2 Deportivo GarcilasoOct 18, 2026
- Alianza Lima 3-1 Atletico GrauOct 18, 2026
- Sporting Cristal 4-2 Comerciantes UnidosOct 18, 2026
- Alianza Atletico 1-4 UniversitarioOct 18, 2026
- Cienciano 1-0 UTC CajamarcaOct 19, 2026
Frequently asked questions
What is the FC Cajamarca vs UCV Moquegua prediction?
Before the match, our AI gave FC Cajamarca a 24% chance of winning, the draw 37% and UCV Moquegua 39%. UCV Moquegua are therefore slight favourites. Final score: 0-1.
What is the most likely correct score for FC Cajamarca vs UCV Moquegua?
0-0 (24.2%), followed by 0-1 (20.1%), 1-0 (14.3%), 1-1 (11.8%) and 0-2 (8.3%).
Will both teams score in FC Cajamarca vs UCV Moquegua?
The probability that both FC Cajamarca and UCV Moquegua score is 25%. FC Cajamarca have a 44% chance of keeping a clean sheet, UCV Moquegua 55%.
How many goals should we expect in FC Cajamarca vs UCV Moquegua?
The model expects 1.42 goals (0.59 for FC Cajamarca, 0.83 for UCV Moquegua). Probabilities: over 1.5 goals 42%, over 2.5 goals 17%, over 3.5 goals 6%.
When and where is FC Cajamarca vs UCV Moquegua played?
Sunday, October 18, 2026 at 19:15 (UK time), Peruvian Liga 1. Venue: Estadio Heroes de San Ramon, Cajamarca.
What form are FC Cajamarca and UCV Moquegua in?
FC Cajamarca: 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches (8 scored, 10 conceded). UCV Moquegua: 0 wins, 0 draws and 5 defeats in their last 5 matches (2 scored, 14 conceded).
What is the head-to-head record between FC Cajamarca and UCV Moquegua?
In the last 1 meeting between the two sides, the record reads 0 wins for FC Cajamarca, 1 for UCV Moquegua and 0 draws. The most recent ended UCV Moquegua 2-1 FC Cajamarca (Apr 25, 2026).
What was the FC Cajamarca vs UCV Moquegua result, and was the prediction right?
Final score: FC Cajamarca 0-1 UCV Moquegua. The AI called the outcome correctly: it rated victory for UCV Moquegua at 39%. The final score ranked 2nd among the most likely scorelines (20.1%), behind 0-0. On goals, the model did not expect both teams to score (25%): correct; it pointed to under 2.5 goals (17%): correct.
How is the FC Cajamarca vs UCV Moquegua prediction calculated?
The model estimates each team's expected goals (0.59 for FC Cajamarca, 0.83 for UCV Moquegua) from recent form, xG and standings, then applies a Poisson distribution: every possible score gets a probability, from which the 1X2, correct score, both teams to score and total goals are derived. Every figure is calculated, none is made up.
Go further
- All FC Cajamarca predictions
- All UCV Moquegua predictions
- Peruvian Liga 1 predictions
- Today’s predictions
- Our methodology