Ecuadorian Liga Pro· Kick-off : Sunday, October 18, 2026, 21:00 (UK time)
Aucas vs LDU de Quito prediction: correct score and AI tips
Match analysis
Ecuadorian Liga Pro: the Aucas vs LDU de Quito match is scheduled on Sunday, October 18, 2026 at 21:00 (UK time). Venue: Estadio Gonzalo Pozo Ripalda, Quito. The edge goes to Aucas (53%), ahead of the draw (24%) and a LDU de Quito win (23%). The most likely correct score is 1-1 (11.6%), ahead of 1-0 (11.5%) and 2-1 (9.6%).
Aucas have won just one of their last 5 matches (3 draws, 1 defeat), scoring 4 and conceding 4. LDU de Quito have won just one of their last 5 matches (2 draws, 2 defeats), scoring 5 and conceding 5. On recent form, there is little to separate the two teams. On average Aucas score 0.80 and concede 0.80 goals per game; LDU de Quito score 1.00 and concede 1.00. In the table, Aucas sit 4th with 50 points from 31 games, LDU de Quito 5th with 49 points from 31. The two teams are close in the standings.
In the last 2 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 0 wins for Aucas, 1 for LDU de Quito and 1 draw. The most recent ended Aucas 0-1 LDU de Quito (Aug 17, 2026). In double chance terms, "Aucas or draw" stands at 77%, "LDU de Quito or draw" at 47% and "no draw" at 76%.
In short : Our model backs Aucas to edge LDU de Quito (53% probability). In the table, Aucas (4th, 50 pts) host LDU de Quito (5th, 49 pts). Both teams could find the net (BTTS at 52%).
Outcome probabilities (1X2)
Double chance
Most likely correct scores
Scores shown as Aucas – LDU de Quito. 1-1 is the single most likely scoreline (11.6%); the 5 scores below add up to 49% of all outcomes, which is why an exact score remains hard to call.
| Score | Probability |
|---|---|
| Aucas 1-1 LDU de Quito | 11.6% |
| Aucas 1-0 LDU de Quito | 11.5% |
| Aucas 2-1 LDU de Quito | 9.6% |
| Aucas 2-0 LDU de Quito | 9.5% |
| Aucas 0-1 LDU de Quito | 7.0% |
Goals: both teams to score, over/under
The model expects 2.67 goals in total (1.66 for Aucas, 1.01 for LDU de Quito): over 2.5 goals has a 50% probability and both teams to score 52%. Aucas keep a clean sheet in 36% of scenarios, LDU de Quito in 19%.
| Probability | |
|---|---|
| Aucas expected goals | 1.66 |
| LDU de Quito expected goals | 1.01 |
| Both teams to score | 52% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 75% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 50% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 28% |
| Aucas clean sheet | 36% |
| LDU de Quito clean sheet | 19% |
Recent form
Latest matches in all competitions, at the time of the prediction.
Aucas
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 19, 2026 | Macara · Ecuadorian Liga Pro | 1-2 | L |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Manta FC · Ecuadorian Liga Pro | 0-0 | D |
| Sep 7, 2026 | Barcelona SC · Ecuadorian Liga Pro | 1-1 | D |
| Sep 3, 2026 | Universidad Catolica · Ecuadorian Liga Pro | 1-1 | D |
| Aug 30, 2026 | Libertad · Ecuadorian Liga Pro | 1-0 | W |
LDU de Quito
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 13, 2026 | Deportivo Cuenca · Ecuadorian Liga Pro | 1-1 | D |
| Sep 9, 2026 | Palmeiras · CONMEBOL Libertadores | 0-1 | L |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Tecnico Universitario · Ecuadorian Liga Pro | 3-1 | W |
| Sep 2, 2026 | Mushuc Runa SC · Ecuadorian Liga Pro | 0-0 | D |
| Aug 29, 2026 | Guayaquil City FC · Ecuadorian Liga Pro | 1-2 | L |
Standings before the match
| Pos. | Points | Played | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aucas | 4 | 50 | 31 |
| LDU de Quito | 5 | 49 | 31 |
Head-to-head
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 17, 2026 | Aucas 0-1 LDU de Quito | Ecuadorian Liga Pro |
| Apr 23, 2026 | LDU de Quito 0-0 Aucas | Ecuadorian Liga Pro |
Out and doubtful
Aucas
No absences reported.
LDU de Quito
No absences reported.
Most regular starters
Aucas
Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).
- L. Gustavino5/5
- P. Guzman5/5
- R. Quinonez5/5
- A. L. Spina4/5
- A. Mena4/5
- A. Zova4/5
- H. Piedra4/5
- M. Burdisso4/5
- S. Tapiero4/5
- S. Morales3/5
- C. Zambrano2/5
LDU de Quito
Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).
- G. F. Allala Menendez4/5
- J. Pretell4/5
- M. Weigandt4/5
- Y. Quinonez4/5
- F. Cornejo3/5
- G. Valle3/5
- M. Estrada3/5
- R. Ade3/5
- Deyverson2/5
- I. Zambrano2/5
- J. Carabali2/5
First detailed prediction free, no card required.
See the full prediction (scenario, scorers, half-time)Other matches in this competition
- Barcelona SC – Universidad CatolicaOct 18, 2026
- Delfin SC – Manta FCOct 18, 2026
- Mushuc Runa SC – Orense SCOct 18, 2026
- Leones del Norte – EmelecOct 18, 2026
- Macara – Independiente del ValleOct 18, 2026
- Deportivo Cuenca – Tecnico UniversitarioOct 18, 2026
- Libertad – Guayaquil City FCOct 18, 2026
Frequently asked questions
What is the Aucas vs LDU de Quito prediction?
Our AI gives Aucas a 53% chance of winning, the draw 24% and LDU de Quito 23%. Aucas are therefore favourites.
What is the most likely correct score for Aucas vs LDU de Quito?
1-1 (11.6%), followed by 1-0 (11.5%), 2-1 (9.6%), 2-0 (9.5%) and 0-1 (7.0%).
Will both teams score in Aucas vs LDU de Quito?
The probability that both Aucas and LDU de Quito score is 52%. Aucas have a 36% chance of keeping a clean sheet, LDU de Quito 19%.
How many goals should we expect in Aucas vs LDU de Quito?
The model expects 2.67 goals (1.66 for Aucas, 1.01 for LDU de Quito). Probabilities: over 1.5 goals 75%, over 2.5 goals 50%, over 3.5 goals 28%.
When and where is Aucas vs LDU de Quito played?
Sunday, October 18, 2026 at 21:00 (UK time), Ecuadorian Liga Pro. Venue: Estadio Gonzalo Pozo Ripalda, Quito.
What form are Aucas and LDU de Quito in?
Aucas: 1 win, 3 draws and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches (4 scored, 4 conceded). LDU de Quito: 1 win, 2 draws and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches (5 scored, 5 conceded).
What is the head-to-head record between Aucas and LDU de Quito?
In the last 2 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 0 wins for Aucas, 1 for LDU de Quito and 1 draw. The most recent ended Aucas 0-1 LDU de Quito (Aug 17, 2026).
How is the Aucas vs LDU de Quito prediction calculated?
The model estimates each team's expected goals (1.66 for Aucas, 1.01 for LDU de Quito) from recent form, xG and standings, then applies a Poisson distribution: every possible score gets a probability, from which the 1X2, correct score, both teams to score and total goals are derived. Every figure is calculated, none is made up.
Go further
- All Aucas predictions
- All LDU de Quito predictions
- Ecuadorian Liga Pro predictions
- Today’s predictions
- Our methodology