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Ecuadorian Liga ProEcuadorian Liga Pro· Kick-off : Sunday, October 18, 2026, 21:00 (UK time)

Barcelona SC vs Universidad Catolica prediction: correct score and AI tips

Barcelona SCBarcelona SC–Universidad CatolicaUniversidad Catolica

Match analysis

Barcelona SC take on Universidad Catolica on Sunday, October 18, 2026 at 21:00 (UK time), a Ecuadorian Liga Pro fixture. Venue: Estadio Monumental Banco Pichincha, Guayaquil. The edge goes to Universidad Catolica (58%), ahead of the draw (34%) and a Barcelona SC win (8%). The most likely correct score is 0-1 (28.5%), ahead of 0-0 (25.9%) and 0-2 (15.7%).

Over their last 5 matches, Barcelona SC have 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 defeats, scoring 9 and conceding 6. Over their last 5 matches, Universidad Catolica have 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat, scoring 6 and conceding 4. On recent form, there is little to separate the two teams. On average Barcelona SC score 1.80 and concede 1.20 goals per game; Universidad Catolica score 1.20 and concede 0.80. In the table, Barcelona SC sit 6th with 44 points from 30 games, Universidad Catolica 3rd with 51 points from 31. The two teams are close in the standings.

In the last 2 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 0 wins for Barcelona SC, 1 for Universidad Catolica and 1 draw. The most recent ended Universidad Catolica 2-1 Barcelona SC (Jul 22, 2026). In double chance terms, "Barcelona SC or draw" stands at 42%, "Universidad Catolica or draw" at 92% and "no draw" at 66%.

In short : Universidad Catolica are tipped by our AI model in this Barcelona SC v Universidad Catolica (58%). In the table, Barcelona SC (6th, 44 pts) host Universidad Catolica (3rd, 51 pts). Our model's most likely scoreline: 0-1.

Outcome probabilities (1X2)

8%
Barcelona SC (Win)
34%
Draw
58%
Universidad Catolica (Win)

Double chance

42%
Barcelona SC or draw
92%
Universidad Catolica or draw
66%
No draw

Most likely correct scores

Scores shown as Barcelona SC – Universidad Catolica. 0-1 is the single most likely scoreline (28.5%); the 5 scores below add up to 84% of all outcomes, which is why an exact score remains hard to call.

ScoreProbability
Barcelona SC 0-1 Universidad Catolica28.5%
Barcelona SC 0-0 Universidad Catolica25.9%
Barcelona SC 0-2 Universidad Catolica15.7%
Barcelona SC 1-1 Universidad Catolica7.1%
Barcelona SC 1-0 Universidad Catolica6.5%

Goals: both teams to score, over/under

The model expects 1.35 goals in total (0.25 for Barcelona SC, 1.10 for Universidad Catolica): over 2.5 goals has a 16% probability and both teams to score 15%. A tight, low-scoring game is on the cards. Barcelona SC keep a clean sheet in 33% of scenarios, Universidad Catolica in 78%.

Probability
Barcelona SC expected goals0.25
Universidad Catolica expected goals1.10
Both teams to score15%
Over 1.5 goals39%
Over 2.5 goals16%
Over 3.5 goals5%
Barcelona SC clean sheet33%
Universidad Catolica clean sheet78%

Recent form

Latest matches in all competitions, at the time of the prediction.

Barcelona SC

DateOpponentScore
May 25, 2026Delfin SC · Liga Pro2-1W
May 22, 2026U. Catolica · CONMEBOL Libertadores0-2L
May 17, 2026Aucas · Liga Pro3-0W
May 12, 2026Insutec · Copa Ecuador4-2W
May 10, 2026Independiente del Valle · Liga Pro0-1L

Universidad Catolica

DateOpponentScore
Sep 21, 2026LDU de Quito · Ecuadorian Liga Pro1-2L
Sep 15, 2026Orense SC · Ecuadorian Liga Pro2-1W
Sep 10, 2026Astillero FC (Ecu) · Copa Ecuador1-0W
Sep 6, 2026Delfin SC · Ecuadorian Liga Pro1-0W
Sep 3, 2026Aucas · Ecuadorian Liga Pro1-1D

Standings before the match

Pos.PointsPlayed
Barcelona SC64430
Universidad Catolica35131

Head-to-head

DateScoreCompetition
Jul 22, 2026Universidad Catolica 2-1 Barcelona SCEcuadorian Liga Pro
Mar 22, 2026Barcelona SC 1-1 Universidad CatolicaEcuadorian Liga Pro

Out and doubtful

Barcelona SC

No absences reported.

Universidad Catolica

No absences reported.

Most regular starters

Universidad Catolica

Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).

  • E. Clavijo5/5
  • L. Canga5/5
  • M. Alonso5/5
  • C. Medina4/5
  • J. Fajardo4/5
  • J. Lara4/5
  • M. Diaz4/5
  • A. Londono3/5
  • D. Nazareno3/5
  • F. Martinez3/5
  • E. Mejia2/5

First detailed prediction free, no card required.

See the full prediction (scenario, scorers, half-time)

Other matches in this competition

Frequently asked questions

What is the Barcelona SC vs Universidad Catolica prediction?

Our AI gives Barcelona SC a 8% chance of winning, the draw 34% and Universidad Catolica 58%. Universidad Catolica are therefore favourites.

What is the most likely correct score for Barcelona SC vs Universidad Catolica?

0-1 (28.5%), followed by 0-0 (25.9%), 0-2 (15.7%), 1-1 (7.1%) and 1-0 (6.5%).

Will both teams score in Barcelona SC vs Universidad Catolica?

The probability that both Barcelona SC and Universidad Catolica score is 15%. Barcelona SC have a 33% chance of keeping a clean sheet, Universidad Catolica 78%.

How many goals should we expect in Barcelona SC vs Universidad Catolica?

The model expects 1.35 goals (0.25 for Barcelona SC, 1.10 for Universidad Catolica). Probabilities: over 1.5 goals 39%, over 2.5 goals 16%, over 3.5 goals 5%.

When and where is Barcelona SC vs Universidad Catolica played?

Sunday, October 18, 2026 at 21:00 (UK time), Ecuadorian Liga Pro. Venue: Estadio Monumental Banco Pichincha, Guayaquil.

What form are Barcelona SC and Universidad Catolica in?

Barcelona SC: 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches (9 scored, 6 conceded). Universidad Catolica: 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches (6 scored, 4 conceded).

What is the head-to-head record between Barcelona SC and Universidad Catolica?

In the last 2 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 0 wins for Barcelona SC, 1 for Universidad Catolica and 1 draw. The most recent ended Universidad Catolica 2-1 Barcelona SC (Jul 22, 2026).

How is the Barcelona SC vs Universidad Catolica prediction calculated?

The model estimates each team's expected goals (0.25 for Barcelona SC, 1.10 for Universidad Catolica) from recent form, xG and standings, then applies a Poisson distribution: every possible score gets a probability, from which the 1X2, correct score, both teams to score and total goals are derived. Every figure is calculated, none is made up.

Go further

Key terms explained