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Ecuadorian Liga ProEcuadorian Liga Pro· Kick-off : Friday, October 16, 2026, 21:30 (UK time)

Deportivo Cuenca vs Tecnico Universitario: 2-1 result and AI prediction review

Deportivo CuencaDeportivo Cuenca2 – 1Tecnico UniversitarioTecnico Universitario

Review: prediction vs result

1X2 outcome missedExact score missedMost likely score before kick-off : 0-1

Final score: Deportivo Cuenca 2-1 Tecnico Universitario. The outcome was missed: the model favoured victory for Tecnico Universitario (54%), while victory for Deportivo Cuenca was rated at only 11%. The final score ranked 9th among the most likely scorelines (1.3%), behind 0-1. On goals, the model did not expect both teams to score (17%): missed; it pointed to under 2.5 goals (16%): missed.

Match analysis

Deportivo Cuenca and Tecnico Universitario met on Friday, October 16, 2026, a Ecuadorian Liga Pro fixture. Venue: Alejandro Serrano Aguilar, Cuenca. Before kick-off, our model gave Deportivo Cuenca a 11% chance of winning, the draw 35% and Tecnico Universitario 54%. On the correct score, 0-1 comes out on top (27.0%), followed by 0-0 (25.9%) and 0-2 (14.0%).

Deportivo Cuenca have won just one of their last 5 matches (3 draws, 1 defeat), scoring 3 and conceding 3. Tecnico Universitario have won just one of their last 5 matches (1 draw, 3 defeats), scoring 3 and conceding 6. Both sides come in with similar form. On average Deportivo Cuenca score 0.60 and concede 0.60 goals per game; Tecnico Universitario score 0.60 and concede 1.20. In the table, Deportivo Cuenca sit 12th with 38 points from 32 games, Tecnico Universitario 14th with 33 points from 32. The two teams are close in the standings. Over their recent games, Deportivo Cuenca have averaged 0.25 xG (expected goals) per match, against 1.28 for Tecnico Universitario.

In the last 5 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 3 wins for Deportivo Cuenca, 1 for Tecnico Universitario and 1 draw. The most recent ended Tecnico Universitario 3-1 Deportivo Cuenca (Aug 29, 2026). In double chance terms, "Deportivo Cuenca or draw" stands at 46%, "Tecnico Universitario or draw" at 89% and "no draw" at 65%.

In short : Tecnico Universitario are tipped by our AI model in this Deportivo Cuenca v Tecnico Universitario (54%). In the table, Deportivo Cuenca (12th, 38 pts) host Tecnico Universitario (14th, 33 pts). Our model's most likely scoreline: 0-1.

Outcome probabilities (1X2)

11%
Deportivo Cuenca (Win)
35%
Draw
54%
Tecnico Universitario (Win)

Double chance

46%
Deportivo Cuenca or draw
89%
Tecnico Universitario or draw
65%
No draw

Most likely correct scores

Scores shown as Deportivo Cuenca – Tecnico Universitario. 0-1 is the single most likely scoreline (27.0%); the 5 scores below add up to 83% of all outcomes, which is why an exact score remains hard to call.

ScoreProbability
Deportivo Cuenca 0-1 Tecnico Universitario27.0%
Deportivo Cuenca 0-0 Tecnico Universitario25.9%
Deportivo Cuenca 0-2 Tecnico Universitario14.0%
Deportivo Cuenca 1-1 Tecnico Universitario8.4%
Deportivo Cuenca 1-0 Tecnico Universitario8.0%

Goals: both teams to score, over/under

With 0.31 expected goals for Deportivo Cuenca and 1.04 for Tecnico Universitario, "over 2.5 goals" is rated at 16% and "both teams to score" at 17%. Few goals are expected here. Deportivo Cuenca keep a clean sheet in 35% of scenarios, Tecnico Universitario in 73%.

Probability
Deportivo Cuenca expected goals0.31
Tecnico Universitario expected goals1.04
Both teams to score17%
Over 1.5 goals39%
Over 2.5 goals16%
Over 3.5 goals5%
Deportivo Cuenca clean sheet35%
Tecnico Universitario clean sheet73%

Recent form

Latest matches in all competitions, at the time of the prediction.

Deportivo Cuenca

DateOpponentScore
Oct 11, 2026Orense SC · Ecuadorian Liga Pro0-0D
Sep 20, 2026Mushuc Runa SC · Ecuadorian Liga Pro1-1D
Sep 13, 2026LDU de Quito · Ecuadorian Liga Pro1-1D
Sep 7, 2026Libertad · Ecuadorian Liga Pro0-1L
Sep 2, 2026Guayaquil City FC · Ecuadorian Liga Pro1-0W

Tecnico Universitario

DateOpponentScore
Oct 10, 2026Manta FC · Ecuadorian Liga Pro0-1L
Sep 20, 2026Delfin SC · Ecuadorian Liga Pro1-1D
Sep 13, 2026Leones del Norte · Ecuadorian Liga Pro1-0W
Sep 5, 2026LDU de Quito · Ecuadorian Liga Pro1-3L
Sep 1, 2026Delfin SC · Ecuadorian Liga Pro0-1L

Standings before the match

Pos.PointsPlayed
Deportivo Cuenca123832
Tecnico Universitario143332

Head-to-head

DateScoreCompetition
Aug 29, 2026Tecnico Universitario 3-1 Deportivo CuencaLiga Pro
May 2, 2026Deportivo Cuenca 2-1 Tecnico UniversitarioLiga Pro
Sep 14, 2025Tecnico Universitario 0-2 Deportivo CuencaLiga Pro
May 17, 2025Deportivo Cuenca 2-0 Tecnico UniversitarioLiga Pro
Oct 5, 2024Deportivo Cuenca 1-1 Tecnico UniversitarioLiga Pro

Out and doubtful

Deportivo Cuenca

No absences reported.

Tecnico Universitario

No absences reported.

Most regular starters

Deportivo Cuenca

Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).

  • Carlos Arboleda4/5
  • Edison Vega4/5
  • Facundo Ferrero4/5
  • Patricio Boolsen4/5
  • Santiago Postel4/5
  • Melvin Diaz3/5
  • Yeltzin Erique3/5
  • Cristhian Benalcazar2/5
  • David González2/5
  • Eddie Guevara2/5
  • Jeremy Chacon2/5

Tecnico Universitario

Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).

  • Ayrton Morales5/5
  • Adrian Cela4/5
  • Bagner Delgado4/5
  • Diego Armas4/5
  • Edwin Mesa4/5
  • Johan Bocanegra4/5
  • Luis Estupiñan4/5
  • Yorlin Arce4/5
  • Jonathan Majao3/5
  • Julian Anaya3/5
  • Stiwar Mena3/5

Other matches in this competition

Frequently asked questions

What is the Deportivo Cuenca vs Tecnico Universitario prediction?

Before the match, our AI gave Deportivo Cuenca a 11% chance of winning, the draw 35% and Tecnico Universitario 54%. Tecnico Universitario are therefore favourites. Final score: 2-1.

What is the most likely correct score for Deportivo Cuenca vs Tecnico Universitario?

0-1 (27.0%), followed by 0-0 (25.9%), 0-2 (14.0%), 1-1 (8.4%) and 1-0 (8.0%).

Will both teams score in Deportivo Cuenca vs Tecnico Universitario?

The probability that both Deportivo Cuenca and Tecnico Universitario score is 17%. Deportivo Cuenca have a 35% chance of keeping a clean sheet, Tecnico Universitario 73%.

How many goals should we expect in Deportivo Cuenca vs Tecnico Universitario?

The model expects 1.35 goals (0.31 for Deportivo Cuenca, 1.04 for Tecnico Universitario). Probabilities: over 1.5 goals 39%, over 2.5 goals 16%, over 3.5 goals 5%.

When and where is Deportivo Cuenca vs Tecnico Universitario played?

Friday, October 16, 2026 at 21:30 (UK time), Ecuadorian Liga Pro. Venue: Alejandro Serrano Aguilar, Cuenca.

What form are Deportivo Cuenca and Tecnico Universitario in?

Deportivo Cuenca: 1 win, 3 draws and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches (3 scored, 3 conceded). Tecnico Universitario: 1 win, 1 draw and 3 defeats in their last 5 matches (3 scored, 6 conceded).

What is the head-to-head record between Deportivo Cuenca and Tecnico Universitario?

In the last 5 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 3 wins for Deportivo Cuenca, 1 for Tecnico Universitario and 1 draw. The most recent ended Tecnico Universitario 3-1 Deportivo Cuenca (Aug 29, 2026).

What was the Deportivo Cuenca vs Tecnico Universitario result, and was the prediction right?

Final score: Deportivo Cuenca 2-1 Tecnico Universitario. The outcome was missed: the model favoured victory for Tecnico Universitario (54%), while victory for Deportivo Cuenca was rated at only 11%. The final score ranked 9th among the most likely scorelines (1.3%), behind 0-1. On goals, the model did not expect both teams to score (17%): missed; it pointed to under 2.5 goals (16%): missed.

How is the Deportivo Cuenca vs Tecnico Universitario prediction calculated?

The model estimates each team's expected goals (0.31 for Deportivo Cuenca, 1.04 for Tecnico Universitario) from recent form, xG and standings, then applies a Poisson distribution: every possible score gets a probability, from which the 1X2, correct score, both teams to score and total goals are derived. Every figure is calculated, none is made up.

Go further

Key terms explained