Ecuadorian Liga Pro· Kick-off : Sunday, October 18, 2026, 21:00 (UK time)
Deportivo Cuenca vs Tecnico Universitario prediction: correct score and AI tips
Match analysis
Ecuadorian Liga Pro: the Deportivo Cuenca vs Tecnico Universitario match is scheduled on Sunday, October 18, 2026 at 21:00 (UK time). Venue: Estadio Alejandro Serrano Aguilar, Cuenca. Deportivo Cuenca start as favourites with a 54% chance of victory; Tecnico Universitario are given 22% and the draw 24%. On the correct score, 1-0 comes out on top (11.6%), followed by 1-1 (11.5%) and 2-0 (9.8%).
Deportivo Cuenca have won just one of their last 5 matches (2 draws, 2 defeats), scoring 4 and conceding 6. Over their last 5 matches, Tecnico Universitario have 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats, scoring 6 and conceding 6. Both sides come in with similar form. On average Deportivo Cuenca score 0.80 and concede 1.20 goals per game; Tecnico Universitario score 1.20 and concede 1.20. In the table, Deportivo Cuenca sit 12th with 37 points from 31 games, Tecnico Universitario 14th with 33 points from 31. The two teams are close in the standings.
In the last 2 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 1 win for Deportivo Cuenca, 1 for Tecnico Universitario and 0 draws. The most recent ended Tecnico Universitario 3-1 Deportivo Cuenca (Aug 29, 2026). In double chance terms, "Deportivo Cuenca or draw" stands at 78%, "Tecnico Universitario or draw" at 46% and "no draw" at 76%.
In short : Deportivo Cuenca are favourites for this Deportivo Cuenca v Tecnico Universitario, with a 54% win probability from our model. On recent form, Deportivo Cuenca have 1 win, 2 draws and 2 losses in 5 while Tecnico Universitario have 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses in 5. Our model's most likely scoreline: 1-0.
Outcome probabilities (1X2)
Double chance
Most likely correct scores
Scores shown as Deportivo Cuenca – Tecnico Universitario. 1-0 is the single most likely scoreline (11.6%); the 5 scores below add up to 50% of all outcomes, which is why an exact score remains hard to call.
| Score | Probability |
|---|---|
| Deportivo Cuenca 1-0 Tecnico Universitario | 11.6% |
| Deportivo Cuenca 1-1 Tecnico Universitario | 11.5% |
| Deportivo Cuenca 2-0 Tecnico Universitario | 9.8% |
| Deportivo Cuenca 2-1 Tecnico Universitario | 9.7% |
| Deportivo Cuenca 0-0 Tecnico Universitario | 6.9% |
Goals: both teams to score, over/under
With 1.68 expected goals for Deportivo Cuenca and 0.99 for Tecnico Universitario, "over 2.5 goals" is rated at 50% and "both teams to score" at 51%. Deportivo Cuenca keep a clean sheet in 37% of scenarios, Tecnico Universitario in 19%.
| Probability | |
|---|---|
| Deportivo Cuenca expected goals | 1.68 |
| Tecnico Universitario expected goals | 0.99 |
| Both teams to score | 51% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 75% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 50% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 28% |
| Deportivo Cuenca clean sheet | 37% |
| Tecnico Universitario clean sheet | 19% |
Recent form
Latest matches in all competitions, at the time of the prediction.
Deportivo Cuenca
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 20, 2026 | Mushuc Runa SC · Ecuadorian Liga Pro | 1-1 | D |
| Sep 13, 2026 | LDU de Quito · Ecuadorian Liga Pro | 1-1 | D |
| Sep 7, 2026 | Libertad · Ecuadorian Liga Pro | 0-1 | L |
| Sep 2, 2026 | Guayaquil City FC · Ecuadorian Liga Pro | 1-0 | W |
| Aug 29, 2026 | Tecnico Universitario · Ecuadorian Liga Pro | 1-3 | L |
Tecnico Universitario
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 20, 2026 | Delfin SC · Ecuadorian Liga Pro | 1-1 | D |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Leones del Norte · Ecuadorian Liga Pro | 1-0 | W |
| Sep 5, 2026 | LDU de Quito · Ecuadorian Liga Pro | 1-3 | L |
| Sep 1, 2026 | Delfin SC · Ecuadorian Liga Pro | 0-1 | L |
| Aug 29, 2026 | Deportivo Cuenca · Ecuadorian Liga Pro | 3-1 | W |
Standings before the match
| Pos. | Points | Played | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Deportivo Cuenca | 12 | 37 | 31 |
| Tecnico Universitario | 14 | 33 | 31 |
Head-to-head
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 29, 2026 | Tecnico Universitario 3-1 Deportivo Cuenca | Ecuadorian Liga Pro |
| May 2, 2026 | Deportivo Cuenca 2-1 Tecnico Universitario | Ecuadorian Liga Pro |
Out and doubtful
Deportivo Cuenca
No absences reported.
Tecnico Universitario
No absences reported.
Most regular starters
Deportivo Cuenca
Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).
- C. Arboleda5/5
- F. Ferrero5/5
- P. Boolsen5/5
- S. Postel5/5
- E. Vega4/5
- M. Diaz4/5
- Y. H. Erique Villigua4/5
- A. Lopez3/5
- C. Benalcazar3/5
- D. Gonzalez3/5
- M. Maccari3/5
Tecnico Universitario
Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).
- A. Cela5/5
- A. Morales5/5
- B. Delgado5/5
- D. Armas5/5
- E. E. Mesa Mercado5/5
- Johan Bocanegra5/5
- Y. Arce5/5
- J. Anaya4/5
- J. Majao4/5
- L. Estupinan4/5
- S. Mena3/5
First detailed prediction free, no card required.
See the full prediction (scenario, scorers, half-time)Other matches in this competition
- Barcelona SC – Universidad CatolicaOct 18, 2026
- Delfin SC – Manta FCOct 18, 2026
- Mushuc Runa SC – Orense SCOct 18, 2026
- Aucas – LDU de QuitoOct 18, 2026
- Leones del Norte – EmelecOct 18, 2026
- Macara – Independiente del ValleOct 18, 2026
- Libertad – Guayaquil City FCOct 18, 2026
Frequently asked questions
What is the Deportivo Cuenca vs Tecnico Universitario prediction?
Our AI gives Deportivo Cuenca a 54% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Tecnico Universitario 22%. Deportivo Cuenca are therefore favourites.
What is the most likely correct score for Deportivo Cuenca vs Tecnico Universitario?
1-0 (11.6%), followed by 1-1 (11.5%), 2-0 (9.8%), 2-1 (9.7%) and 0-0 (6.9%).
Will both teams score in Deportivo Cuenca vs Tecnico Universitario?
The probability that both Deportivo Cuenca and Tecnico Universitario score is 51%. Deportivo Cuenca have a 37% chance of keeping a clean sheet, Tecnico Universitario 19%.
How many goals should we expect in Deportivo Cuenca vs Tecnico Universitario?
The model expects 2.67 goals (1.68 for Deportivo Cuenca, 0.99 for Tecnico Universitario). Probabilities: over 1.5 goals 75%, over 2.5 goals 50%, over 3.5 goals 28%.
When and where is Deportivo Cuenca vs Tecnico Universitario played?
Sunday, October 18, 2026 at 21:00 (UK time), Ecuadorian Liga Pro. Venue: Estadio Alejandro Serrano Aguilar, Cuenca.
What form are Deportivo Cuenca and Tecnico Universitario in?
Deportivo Cuenca: 1 win, 2 draws and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches (4 scored, 6 conceded). Tecnico Universitario: 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches (6 scored, 6 conceded).
What is the head-to-head record between Deportivo Cuenca and Tecnico Universitario?
In the last 2 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 1 win for Deportivo Cuenca, 1 for Tecnico Universitario and 0 draws. The most recent ended Tecnico Universitario 3-1 Deportivo Cuenca (Aug 29, 2026).
How is the Deportivo Cuenca vs Tecnico Universitario prediction calculated?
The model estimates each team's expected goals (1.68 for Deportivo Cuenca, 0.99 for Tecnico Universitario) from recent form, xG and standings, then applies a Poisson distribution: every possible score gets a probability, from which the 1X2, correct score, both teams to score and total goals are derived. Every figure is calculated, none is made up.
Go further
- All Deportivo Cuenca predictions
- All Tecnico Universitario predictions
- Ecuadorian Liga Pro predictions
- Today’s predictions
- Our methodology