Ecuadorian Liga Pro· Kick-off : Sunday, October 18, 2026, 21:00 (UK time)
Mushuc Runa SC vs Orense SC prediction: correct score and AI tips
Match analysis
Mushuc Runa SC take on Orense SC on Sunday, October 18, 2026 at 21:00 (UK time), a Ecuadorian Liga Pro fixture. Venue: Estadio Bellavista, Ambato. Mushuc Runa SC start as favourites with a 59% chance of victory; Orense SC are given 18% and the draw 23%. On the correct score, 1-0 comes out on top (11.9%), followed by 2-0 (10.8%) and 1-1 (10.8%).
Mushuc Runa SC have won just one of their last 5 matches (3 draws, 1 defeat), scoring 4 and conceding 5. Orense SC have won just one of their last 5 matches (0 draws, 4 defeats), scoring 7 and conceding 10. Both sides come in with similar form. On average Mushuc Runa SC score 0.80 and concede 1.00 goals per game; Orense SC score 1.40 and concede 2.00. In the table, Mushuc Runa SC sit 11th with 39 points from 31 games, Orense SC 13th with 33 points from 31. The two teams are close in the standings.
In the last 2 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 1 win for Mushuc Runa SC, 1 for Orense SC and 0 draws. The most recent ended Mushuc Runa SC 2-1 Orense SC (Jul 20, 2026). In double chance terms, "Mushuc Runa SC or draw" stands at 82%, "Orense SC or draw" at 41% and "no draw" at 77%.
In short : Mushuc Runa SC are tipped by our AI model in this Mushuc Runa SC v Orense SC (59%). In the table, Mushuc Runa SC (11th, 39 pts) host Orense SC (13th, 33 pts). Our model's most likely scoreline: 1-0.
Outcome probabilities (1X2)
Double chance
Most likely correct scores
Scores shown as Mushuc Runa SC – Orense SC. 1-0 is the single most likely scoreline (11.9%); the 5 scores below add up to 50% of all outcomes, which is why an exact score remains hard to call.
| Score | Probability |
|---|---|
| Mushuc Runa SC 1-0 Orense SC | 11.9% |
| Mushuc Runa SC 2-0 Orense SC | 10.8% |
| Mushuc Runa SC 1-1 Orense SC | 10.8% |
| Mushuc Runa SC 2-1 Orense SC | 9.8% |
| Mushuc Runa SC 3-0 Orense SC | 6.6% |
Goals: both teams to score, over/under
With 1.82 expected goals for Mushuc Runa SC and 0.91 for Orense SC, "over 2.5 goals" is rated at 51% and "both teams to score" at 50%. Mushuc Runa SC keep a clean sheet in 40% of scenarios, Orense SC in 16%.
| Probability | |
|---|---|
| Mushuc Runa SC expected goals | 1.82 |
| Orense SC expected goals | 0.91 |
| Both teams to score | 50% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 76% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 51% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 29% |
| Mushuc Runa SC clean sheet | 40% |
| Orense SC clean sheet | 16% |
Recent form
Latest matches in all competitions, at the time of the prediction.
Mushuc Runa SC
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 20, 2026 | Deportivo Cuenca · Ecuadorian Liga Pro | 1-1 | D |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Guayaquil City FC · Ecuadorian Liga Pro | 1-3 | L |
| Sep 8, 2026 | Leones del Norte · Ecuadorian Liga Pro | 1-1 | D |
| Sep 2, 2026 | LDU de Quito · Ecuadorian Liga Pro | 0-0 | D |
| Aug 28, 2026 | Delfin SC · Ecuadorian Liga Pro | 1-0 | W |
Orense SC
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 21, 2026 | Manta FC · Ecuadorian Liga Pro | 1-2 | L |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Universidad Catolica · Ecuadorian Liga Pro | 1-2 | L |
| Sep 8, 2026 | Guayaquil City FC · Ecuadorian Liga Pro | 4-3 | W |
| Sep 3, 2026 | Leones del Norte · Ecuadorian Liga Pro | 0-1 | L |
| Aug 30, 2026 | Macara · Ecuadorian Liga Pro | 1-2 | L |
Standings before the match
| Pos. | Points | Played | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mushuc Runa SC | 11 | 39 | 31 |
| Orense SC | 13 | 33 | 31 |
Head-to-head
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 20, 2026 | Mushuc Runa SC 2-1 Orense SC | Ecuadorian Liga Pro |
| Mar 19, 2026 | Orense SC 3-2 Mushuc Runa SC | Ecuadorian Liga Pro |
Out and doubtful
Mushuc Runa SC
No absences reported.
Orense SC
No absences reported.
Most regular starters
Mushuc Runa SC
Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).
- A. Zambrano5/5
- C. Angulo5/5
- J. Cusme5/5
- J. Hernandez5/5
- M. Perea5/5
- R. Biojo5/5
- R. Formento5/5
- E. Davila4/5
- R. Ibarra4/5
- T. Minda4/5
- F. Mina3/5
Orense SC
Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).
- A. Herrera5/5
- B. Caicedo5/5
- P. Velasco5/5
- R. Silva5/5
- V. Burgoa5/5
- G. Achilier4/5
- M. Parrales4/5
- N. Molina4/5
- C. Ortiz3/5
- M. Bermudez3/5
- A. Lorenzo2/5
First detailed prediction free, no card required.
See the full prediction (scenario, scorers, half-time)Other matches in this competition
- Barcelona SC – Universidad CatolicaOct 18, 2026
- Delfin SC – Manta FCOct 18, 2026
- Aucas – LDU de QuitoOct 18, 2026
- Leones del Norte – EmelecOct 18, 2026
- Macara – Independiente del ValleOct 18, 2026
- Deportivo Cuenca – Tecnico UniversitarioOct 18, 2026
- Libertad – Guayaquil City FCOct 18, 2026
Frequently asked questions
What is the Mushuc Runa SC vs Orense SC prediction?
Our AI gives Mushuc Runa SC a 59% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Orense SC 18%. Mushuc Runa SC are therefore favourites.
What is the most likely correct score for Mushuc Runa SC vs Orense SC?
1-0 (11.9%), followed by 2-0 (10.8%), 1-1 (10.8%), 2-1 (9.8%) and 3-0 (6.6%).
Will both teams score in Mushuc Runa SC vs Orense SC?
The probability that both Mushuc Runa SC and Orense SC score is 50%. Mushuc Runa SC have a 40% chance of keeping a clean sheet, Orense SC 16%.
How many goals should we expect in Mushuc Runa SC vs Orense SC?
The model expects 2.73 goals (1.82 for Mushuc Runa SC, 0.91 for Orense SC). Probabilities: over 1.5 goals 76%, over 2.5 goals 51%, over 3.5 goals 29%.
When and where is Mushuc Runa SC vs Orense SC played?
Sunday, October 18, 2026 at 21:00 (UK time), Ecuadorian Liga Pro. Venue: Estadio Bellavista, Ambato.
What form are Mushuc Runa SC and Orense SC in?
Mushuc Runa SC: 1 win, 3 draws and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches (4 scored, 5 conceded). Orense SC: 1 win, 0 draws and 4 defeats in their last 5 matches (7 scored, 10 conceded).
What is the head-to-head record between Mushuc Runa SC and Orense SC?
In the last 2 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 1 win for Mushuc Runa SC, 1 for Orense SC and 0 draws. The most recent ended Mushuc Runa SC 2-1 Orense SC (Jul 20, 2026).
How is the Mushuc Runa SC vs Orense SC prediction calculated?
The model estimates each team's expected goals (1.82 for Mushuc Runa SC, 0.91 for Orense SC) from recent form, xG and standings, then applies a Poisson distribution: every possible score gets a probability, from which the 1X2, correct score, both teams to score and total goals are derived. Every figure is calculated, none is made up.
Go further
- All Mushuc Runa SC predictions
- All Orense SC predictions
- Ecuadorian Liga Pro predictions
- Today’s predictions
- Our methodology