Ecuadorian Liga Pro· Kick-off : Friday, October 9, 2026, 21:30 (UK time)
Delfin SC vs Mushuc Runa SC prediction: correct score and AI tips
Match analysis
Ecuadorian Liga Pro: the Delfin SC vs Mushuc Runa SC match is scheduled on Friday, October 9, 2026 at 21:30 (UK time). Venue: Estadio Jocay, Manta. It is a tight call: 43% for Delfin SC, 26% for the draw and 31% for Mushuc Runa SC. On the correct score, 1-1 comes out on top (12.4%), followed by 1-0 (10.6%) and 2-1 (8.9%).
Over their last 5 matches, Delfin SC have 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat, scoring 5 and conceding 3. Mushuc Runa SC have won just one of their last 5 matches (3 draws, 1 defeat), scoring 4 and conceding 5. Both sides come in with similar form. On average Delfin SC score 1.00 and concede 0.60 goals per game; Mushuc Runa SC score 0.80 and concede 1.00. In the table, Delfin SC sit 15th with 29 points from 31 games, Mushuc Runa SC 11th with 39 points from 31. The two teams are close in the standings.
In the last 2 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 1 win for Delfin SC, 1 for Mushuc Runa SC and 0 draws. The most recent ended Mushuc Runa SC 1-0 Delfin SC (Aug 28, 2026). In double chance terms, "Delfin SC or draw" stands at 69%, "Mushuc Runa SC or draw" at 57% and "no draw" at 74%.
In short : Delfin SC are favourites for this Delfin SC v Mushuc Runa SC, with a 43% win probability from our model. On recent form, Delfin SC have 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss in 5 while Mushuc Runa SC have 1 win, 3 draws and 1 loss in 5. Our model's most likely scoreline: 1-1.
Outcome probabilities (1X2)
Double chance
Most likely correct scores
Scores shown as Delfin SC – Mushuc Runa SC. 1-1 is the single most likely scoreline (12.4%); the 5 scores below add up to 48% of all outcomes, which is why an exact score remains hard to call.
| Score | Probability |
|---|---|
| Delfin SC 1-1 Mushuc Runa SC | 12.4% |
| Delfin SC 1-0 Mushuc Runa SC | 10.6% |
| Delfin SC 2-1 Mushuc Runa SC | 8.9% |
| Delfin SC 0-1 Mushuc Runa SC | 8.7% |
| Delfin SC 2-0 Mushuc Runa SC | 7.6% |
Goals: both teams to score, over/under
With 1.43 expected goals for Delfin SC and 1.17 for Mushuc Runa SC, "over 2.5 goals" is rated at 48% and "both teams to score" at 53%. Delfin SC keep a clean sheet in 31% of scenarios, Mushuc Runa SC in 24%.
| Probability | |
|---|---|
| Delfin SC expected goals | 1.43 |
| Mushuc Runa SC expected goals | 1.17 |
| Both teams to score | 53% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 73% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 48% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 26% |
| Delfin SC clean sheet | 31% |
| Mushuc Runa SC clean sheet | 24% |
Recent form
Latest matches in all competitions, at the time of the prediction.
Delfin SC
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 20, 2026 | Tecnico Universitario · Ecuadorian Liga Pro | 1-1 | D |
| Sep 17, 2026 | LDU Portoviejo · Copa Ecuador | 2-0 | W |
| Sep 14, 2026 | Barcelona SC · Ecuadorian Liga Pro | 1-1 | D |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Universidad Catolica · Ecuadorian Liga Pro | 0-1 | L |
| Sep 1, 2026 | Tecnico Universitario · Ecuadorian Liga Pro | 1-0 | W |
Mushuc Runa SC
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 20, 2026 | Deportivo Cuenca · Ecuadorian Liga Pro | 1-1 | D |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Guayaquil City FC · Ecuadorian Liga Pro | 1-3 | L |
| Sep 8, 2026 | Leones del Norte · Ecuadorian Liga Pro | 1-1 | D |
| Sep 2, 2026 | LDU de Quito · Ecuadorian Liga Pro | 0-0 | D |
| Aug 28, 2026 | Delfin SC · Ecuadorian Liga Pro | 1-0 | W |
Standings before the match
| Pos. | Points | Played | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Delfin SC | 15 | 29 | 31 |
| Mushuc Runa SC | 11 | 39 | 31 |
Head-to-head
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 28, 2026 | Mushuc Runa SC 1-0 Delfin SC | Ecuadorian Liga Pro |
| May 3, 2026 | Delfin SC 1-0 Mushuc Runa SC | Ecuadorian Liga Pro |
Out and doubtful
Delfin SC
No absences reported.
Mushuc Runa SC
No absences reported.
Most regular starters
Delfin SC
Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).
- A. Bedoya5/5
- B. Heras5/5
- F. Ayunta5/5
- G. Heredia5/5
- O. Medina5/5
- D. Luna4/5
- E. Rubio4/5
- E. Zuniga4/5
- J. Morocho4/5
- J. Arce3/5
- K. Ushina3/5
Mushuc Runa SC
Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).
- A. Zambrano5/5
- C. Angulo5/5
- J. Cusme5/5
- J. Hernandez5/5
- M. Perea5/5
- R. Biojo5/5
- R. Formento5/5
- E. Davila4/5
- R. Ibarra4/5
- T. Minda4/5
- F. Mina3/5
First detailed prediction free, no card required.
See the full prediction (scenario, scorers, half-time)Other matches in this competition
- Libertad – Leones del NorteOct 9, 2026
- Independiente del Valle – AucasOct 10, 2026
- Manta FC – Tecnico UniversitarioOct 10, 2026
- Guayaquil City FC – EmelecOct 10, 2026
- Universidad Catolica – MacaraOct 11, 2026
- Orense SC – Deportivo CuencaOct 11, 2026
- LDU de Quito – Barcelona SCOct 11, 2026
Frequently asked questions
What is the Delfin SC vs Mushuc Runa SC prediction?
Our AI gives Delfin SC a 43% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Mushuc Runa SC 31%. Delfin SC are therefore slight favourites.
What is the most likely correct score for Delfin SC vs Mushuc Runa SC?
1-1 (12.4%), followed by 1-0 (10.6%), 2-1 (8.9%), 0-1 (8.7%) and 2-0 (7.6%).
Will both teams score in Delfin SC vs Mushuc Runa SC?
The probability that both Delfin SC and Mushuc Runa SC score is 53%. Delfin SC have a 31% chance of keeping a clean sheet, Mushuc Runa SC 24%.
How many goals should we expect in Delfin SC vs Mushuc Runa SC?
The model expects 2.60 goals (1.43 for Delfin SC, 1.17 for Mushuc Runa SC). Probabilities: over 1.5 goals 73%, over 2.5 goals 48%, over 3.5 goals 26%.
When and where is Delfin SC vs Mushuc Runa SC played?
Friday, October 9, 2026 at 21:30 (UK time), Ecuadorian Liga Pro. Venue: Estadio Jocay, Manta.
What form are Delfin SC and Mushuc Runa SC in?
Delfin SC: 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches (5 scored, 3 conceded). Mushuc Runa SC: 1 win, 3 draws and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches (4 scored, 5 conceded).
What is the head-to-head record between Delfin SC and Mushuc Runa SC?
In the last 2 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 1 win for Delfin SC, 1 for Mushuc Runa SC and 0 draws. The most recent ended Mushuc Runa SC 1-0 Delfin SC (Aug 28, 2026).
How is the Delfin SC vs Mushuc Runa SC prediction calculated?
The model estimates each team's expected goals (1.43 for Delfin SC, 1.17 for Mushuc Runa SC) from recent form, xG and standings, then applies a Poisson distribution: every possible score gets a probability, from which the 1X2, correct score, both teams to score and total goals are derived. Every figure is calculated, none is made up.
Go further
- All Delfin SC predictions
- All Mushuc Runa SC predictions
- Ecuadorian Liga Pro predictions
- Today’s predictions
- Our methodology