Ecuadorian Liga Pro· Kick-off : Saturday, October 10, 2026, 22:30 (UK time)
Guayaquil City FC vs Emelec prediction: correct score and AI tips
Match analysis
Guayaquil City FC take on Emelec on Saturday, October 10, 2026 at 22:30 (UK time), a Ecuadorian Liga Pro fixture. The edge goes to Guayaquil City FC (52%), ahead of the draw (25%) and a Emelec win (23%). The most likely correct score is 1-1 (11.7%), ahead of 1-0 (11.6%) and 2-1 (9.6%).
Over their last 5 matches, Guayaquil City FC have 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats, scoring 9 and conceding 8. Over their last 5 matches, Emelec have 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats, scoring 5 and conceding 5. On recent form, there is little to separate the two teams. On average Guayaquil City FC score 1.80 and concede 1.60 goals per game; Emelec score 1.00 and concede 1.00. In the table, Guayaquil City FC sit 9th with 40 points from 31 games, Emelec 10th with 39 points from 31. The two teams are close in the standings.
In the last 2 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 1 win for Guayaquil City FC, 0 for Emelec and 1 draw. The most recent ended Guayaquil City FC 0-0 Emelec (Aug 10, 2026). In double chance terms, "Guayaquil City FC or draw" stands at 77%, "Emelec or draw" at 48% and "no draw" at 75%.
In short : Guayaquil City FC are tipped by our AI model in this Guayaquil City FC v Emelec (52%). In the table, Guayaquil City FC (9th, 40 pts) host Emelec (10th, 39 pts). Our model's most likely scoreline: 1-1.
Outcome probabilities (1X2)
Double chance
Most likely correct scores
Scores shown as Guayaquil City FC – Emelec. 1-1 is the single most likely scoreline (11.7%); the 5 scores below add up to 50% of all outcomes, which is why an exact score remains hard to call.
| Score | Probability |
|---|---|
| Guayaquil City FC 1-1 Emelec | 11.7% |
| Guayaquil City FC 1-0 Emelec | 11.6% |
| Guayaquil City FC 2-1 Emelec | 9.6% |
| Guayaquil City FC 2-0 Emelec | 9.5% |
| Guayaquil City FC 0-1 Emelec | 7.1% |
Goals: both teams to score, over/under
The model expects 2.65 goals in total (1.64 for Guayaquil City FC, 1.01 for Emelec): over 2.5 goals has a 49% probability and both teams to score 51%. Guayaquil City FC keep a clean sheet in 36% of scenarios, Emelec in 19%.
| Probability | |
|---|---|
| Guayaquil City FC expected goals | 1.64 |
| Emelec expected goals | 1.01 |
| Both teams to score | 51% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 74% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 49% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 28% |
| Guayaquil City FC clean sheet | 36% |
| Emelec clean sheet | 19% |
Recent form
Latest matches in all competitions, at the time of the prediction.
Guayaquil City FC
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 19, 2026 | Leones del Norte · Ecuadorian Liga Pro | 1-1 | D |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Mushuc Runa SC · Ecuadorian Liga Pro | 3-1 | W |
| Sep 8, 2026 | Orense SC · Ecuadorian Liga Pro | 3-4 | L |
| Sep 2, 2026 | Deportivo Cuenca · Ecuadorian Liga Pro | 0-1 | L |
| Aug 29, 2026 | LDU de Quito · Ecuadorian Liga Pro | 2-1 | W |
Emelec
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 20, 2026 | Libertad · Ecuadorian Liga Pro | 1-2 | L |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Macara · Ecuadorian Liga Pro | 0-1 | L |
| Sep 8, 2026 | Manta FC · Ecuadorian Liga Pro | 1-0 | W |
| Sep 4, 2026 | Libertad · Ecuadorian Liga Pro | 1-1 | D |
| Aug 31, 2026 | Leones del Norte · Ecuadorian Liga Pro | 2-1 | W |
Standings before the match
| Pos. | Points | Played | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Guayaquil City FC | 9 | 40 | 31 |
| Emelec | 10 | 39 | 31 |
Head-to-head
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 10, 2026 | Guayaquil City FC 0-0 Emelec | Ecuadorian Liga Pro |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Emelec 1-3 Guayaquil City FC | Ecuadorian Liga Pro |
Out and doubtful
Guayaquil City FC
No absences reported.
Emelec
No absences reported.
Most regular starters
Guayaquil City FC
Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).
- D. Arroyo5/5
- E. Mero5/5
- J. J. Ayovi Caicedo5/5
- J. Quinonez5/5
- P. Gonzalez5/5
- S. Laurino5/5
- Y. Rodriguez5/5
- A. Naula4/5
- R. Arias4/5
- D. Dorregaray3/5
- G. Napa3/5
Emelec
Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).
- A. Leguizamon5/5
- F. Leon5/5
- J. Ruiz5/5
- J. Valverde5/5
- A. Mina4/5
- L. Gomez4/5
- M. Valero4/5
- R. Carrillo4/5
- E. Segura3/5
- L. Fragozo3/5
- G. Napoli2/5
First detailed prediction free, no card required.
See the full prediction (scenario, scorers, half-time)Other matches in this competition
- Libertad – Leones del NorteOct 9, 2026
- Delfin SC – Mushuc Runa SCOct 9, 2026
- Independiente del Valle – AucasOct 10, 2026
- Manta FC – Tecnico UniversitarioOct 10, 2026
- Universidad Catolica – MacaraOct 11, 2026
- Orense SC – Deportivo CuencaOct 11, 2026
- LDU de Quito – Barcelona SCOct 11, 2026
Frequently asked questions
What is the Guayaquil City FC vs Emelec prediction?
Our AI gives Guayaquil City FC a 52% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Emelec 23%. Guayaquil City FC are therefore favourites.
What is the most likely correct score for Guayaquil City FC vs Emelec?
1-1 (11.7%), followed by 1-0 (11.6%), 2-1 (9.6%), 2-0 (9.5%) and 0-1 (7.1%).
Will both teams score in Guayaquil City FC vs Emelec?
The probability that both Guayaquil City FC and Emelec score is 51%. Guayaquil City FC have a 36% chance of keeping a clean sheet, Emelec 19%.
How many goals should we expect in Guayaquil City FC vs Emelec?
The model expects 2.65 goals (1.64 for Guayaquil City FC, 1.01 for Emelec). Probabilities: over 1.5 goals 74%, over 2.5 goals 49%, over 3.5 goals 28%.
When and where is Guayaquil City FC vs Emelec played?
Saturday, October 10, 2026 at 22:30 (UK time), Ecuadorian Liga Pro.
What form are Guayaquil City FC and Emelec in?
Guayaquil City FC: 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches (9 scored, 8 conceded). Emelec: 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches (5 scored, 5 conceded).
What is the head-to-head record between Guayaquil City FC and Emelec?
In the last 2 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 1 win for Guayaquil City FC, 0 for Emelec and 1 draw. The most recent ended Guayaquil City FC 0-0 Emelec (Aug 10, 2026).
How is the Guayaquil City FC vs Emelec prediction calculated?
The model estimates each team's expected goals (1.64 for Guayaquil City FC, 1.01 for Emelec) from recent form, xG and standings, then applies a Poisson distribution: every possible score gets a probability, from which the 1X2, correct score, both teams to score and total goals are derived. Every figure is calculated, none is made up.
Go further
- All Guayaquil City FC predictions
- All Emelec predictions
- Ecuadorian Liga Pro predictions
- Today’s predictions
- Our methodology