Ecuadorian Liga Pro· Kick-off : Saturday, October 10, 2026, 20:00 (UK time)
Manta FC vs Tecnico Universitario prediction: correct score and AI tips
Match analysis
Ecuadorian Liga Pro: Manta FC vs Tecnico Universitario kicks off on Saturday, October 10, 2026 at 20:00 (UK time). Venue: Estadio Jocay, Manta. Nothing is settled in advance: the AI gives Manta FC 41%, Tecnico Universitario 33% and the draw 26%. The most likely correct score is 1-1 (12.5%), ahead of 1-0 (10.5%) and 0-1 (9.1%).
Over their last 5 matches, Manta FC have 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats, scoring 7 and conceding 6. Over their last 5 matches, Tecnico Universitario have 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats, scoring 6 and conceding 6. On recent form, there is little to separate the two teams. On average Manta FC score 1.40 and concede 1.20 goals per game; Tecnico Universitario score 1.20 and concede 1.20. In the table, Manta FC sit 16th with 24 points from 31 games, Tecnico Universitario 14th with 33 points from 31. The two teams are close in the standings.
In the last 5 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 2 wins for Manta FC, 3 for Tecnico Universitario and 0 draws. The most recent ended Tecnico Universitario 1-0 Manta FC (Jul 26, 2026). In double chance terms, "Manta FC or draw" stands at 67%, "Tecnico Universitario or draw" at 59% and "no draw" at 74%.
In short : Manta FC host Tecnico Universitario in a tight contest where a draw stays on the table (26%). In the table, Manta FC (16th, 24 pts) host Tecnico Universitario (14th, 33 pts). Our model's most likely scoreline: 1-1.
Outcome probabilities (1X2)
Double chance
Most likely correct scores
Scores shown as Manta FC – Tecnico Universitario. 1-1 is the single most likely scoreline (12.5%); the 5 scores below add up to 48% of all outcomes, which is why an exact score remains hard to call.
| Score | Probability |
|---|---|
| Manta FC 1-1 Tecnico Universitario | 12.5% |
| Manta FC 1-0 Tecnico Universitario | 10.5% |
| Manta FC 0-1 Tecnico Universitario | 9.1% |
| Manta FC 2-1 Tecnico Universitario | 8.7% |
| Manta FC 0-0 Tecnico Universitario | 7.6% |
Goals: both teams to score, over/under
The model expects 2.58 goals in total (1.38 for Manta FC, 1.20 for Tecnico Universitario): over 2.5 goals has a 48% probability and both teams to score 52%. Manta FC keep a clean sheet in 30% of scenarios, Tecnico Universitario in 25%.
| Probability | |
|---|---|
| Manta FC expected goals | 1.38 |
| Tecnico Universitario expected goals | 1.20 |
| Both teams to score | 52% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 73% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 48% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 26% |
| Manta FC clean sheet | 30% |
| Tecnico Universitario clean sheet | 25% |
Recent form
Latest matches in all competitions, at the time of the prediction.
Manta FC
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 21, 2026 | Orense SC · Ecuadorian Liga Pro | 2-1 | W |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Aucas · Ecuadorian Liga Pro | 0-0 | D |
| Sep 8, 2026 | Emelec · Ecuadorian Liga Pro | 0-1 | L |
| Sep 2, 2026 | Macara · Ecuadorian Liga Pro | 3-4 | L |
| Aug 30, 2026 | Barcelona SC · Ecuadorian Liga Pro | 2-0 | W |
Tecnico Universitario
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 20, 2026 | Delfin SC · Ecuadorian Liga Pro | 1-1 | D |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Leones del Norte · Ecuadorian Liga Pro | 1-0 | W |
| Sep 5, 2026 | LDU de Quito · Ecuadorian Liga Pro | 1-3 | L |
| Sep 1, 2026 | Delfin SC · Ecuadorian Liga Pro | 0-1 | L |
| Aug 29, 2026 | Deportivo Cuenca · Ecuadorian Liga Pro | 3-1 | W |
Standings before the match
| Pos. | Points | Played | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Manta FC | 16 | 24 | 31 |
| Tecnico Universitario | 14 | 33 | 31 |
Head-to-head
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 26, 2026 | Tecnico Universitario 1-0 Manta FC | Liga Pro |
| Apr 5, 2026 | Manta FC 0-2 Tecnico Universitario | Liga Pro |
| Nov 29, 2025 | Tecnico Universitario 2-3 Manta FC | Liga Pro |
| Oct 19, 2025 | Manta FC 2-0 Tecnico Universitario | Liga Pro |
| Aug 3, 2025 | Tecnico Universitario 3-1 Manta FC | Liga Pro |
Out and doubtful
Manta FC
No absences reported.
Tecnico Universitario
No absences reported.
Most regular starters
Manta FC
Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).
- B. Ramirez5/5
- A. Medina4/5
- J. Alman4/5
- J. Troya4/5
- M. Ortiz4/5
- O. Moscarelli4/5
- A. Ledesma3/5
- J. Jimenez3/5
- J. Monaga3/5
- J. Nazareno3/5
- J. Verges3/5
Tecnico Universitario
Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).
- A. Cela5/5
- A. Morales5/5
- B. Delgado5/5
- D. Armas5/5
- E. E. Mesa Mercado5/5
- Johan Bocanegra5/5
- Y. Arce5/5
- J. Anaya4/5
- J. Majao4/5
- L. Estupinan4/5
- S. Mena3/5
First detailed prediction free, no card required.
See the full prediction (scenario, scorers, half-time)Other matches in this competition
- Libertad – Leones del NorteOct 9, 2026
- Delfin SC – Mushuc Runa SCOct 9, 2026
- Independiente del Valle – AucasOct 10, 2026
- Guayaquil City FC – EmelecOct 10, 2026
- Universidad Catolica – MacaraOct 11, 2026
- Orense SC – Deportivo CuencaOct 11, 2026
- LDU de Quito – Barcelona SCOct 11, 2026
Frequently asked questions
What is the Manta FC vs Tecnico Universitario prediction?
Our AI gives Manta FC a 41% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Tecnico Universitario 33%. Manta FC are therefore slight favourites.
What is the most likely correct score for Manta FC vs Tecnico Universitario?
1-1 (12.5%), followed by 1-0 (10.5%), 0-1 (9.1%), 2-1 (8.7%) and 0-0 (7.6%).
Will both teams score in Manta FC vs Tecnico Universitario?
The probability that both Manta FC and Tecnico Universitario score is 52%. Manta FC have a 30% chance of keeping a clean sheet, Tecnico Universitario 25%.
How many goals should we expect in Manta FC vs Tecnico Universitario?
The model expects 2.58 goals (1.38 for Manta FC, 1.20 for Tecnico Universitario). Probabilities: over 1.5 goals 73%, over 2.5 goals 48%, over 3.5 goals 26%.
When and where is Manta FC vs Tecnico Universitario played?
Saturday, October 10, 2026 at 20:00 (UK time), Ecuadorian Liga Pro. Venue: Estadio Jocay, Manta.
What form are Manta FC and Tecnico Universitario in?
Manta FC: 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches (7 scored, 6 conceded). Tecnico Universitario: 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches (6 scored, 6 conceded).
What is the head-to-head record between Manta FC and Tecnico Universitario?
In the last 5 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 2 wins for Manta FC, 3 for Tecnico Universitario and 0 draws. The most recent ended Tecnico Universitario 1-0 Manta FC (Jul 26, 2026).
How is the Manta FC vs Tecnico Universitario prediction calculated?
The model estimates each team's expected goals (1.38 for Manta FC, 1.20 for Tecnico Universitario) from recent form, xG and standings, then applies a Poisson distribution: every possible score gets a probability, from which the 1X2, correct score, both teams to score and total goals are derived. Every figure is calculated, none is made up.
Go further
- All Manta FC predictions
- All Tecnico Universitario predictions
- Ecuadorian Liga Pro predictions
- Today’s predictions
- Our methodology