Ecuadorian Liga Pro· Kick-off : Sunday, October 11, 2026, 19:45 (UK time)
Orense SC vs Deportivo Cuenca prediction: correct score and AI tips
Match analysis
Ecuadorian Liga Pro: Orense SC vs Deportivo Cuenca kicks off on Sunday, October 11, 2026 at 19:45 (UK time). Venue: Estadio 9 de Mayo, Machala. Orense SC start as favourites with a 46% chance of victory; Deportivo Cuenca are given 28% and the draw 26%. On the correct score, 1-1 comes out on top (12.2%), followed by 1-0 (11.0%) and 2-1 (9.2%).
Orense SC have won just one of their last 5 matches (0 draws, 4 defeats), scoring 7 and conceding 10. Deportivo Cuenca have won just one of their last 5 matches (2 draws, 2 defeats), scoring 4 and conceding 6. Both sides come in with similar form. On average Orense SC score 1.40 and concede 2.00 goals per game; Deportivo Cuenca score 0.80 and concede 1.20. In the table, Orense SC sit 13th with 33 points from 31 games, Deportivo Cuenca 12th with 37 points from 31. The two teams are close in the standings.
In the last 5 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 4 wins for Orense SC, 0 for Deportivo Cuenca and 1 draw. The most recent ended Orense SC 2-0 Deportivo Cuenca (Aug 16, 2026). In double chance terms, "Orense SC or draw" stands at 72%, "Deportivo Cuenca or draw" at 54% and "no draw" at 74%.
In short : Orense SC are tipped by our AI model in this Orense SC v Deportivo Cuenca (46%). On recent form, Orense SC are struggling (4 losses in 5) while Deportivo Cuenca have 1 win, 2 draws and 2 losses in 5. Our model's most likely scoreline: 1-1.
Outcome probabilities (1X2)
Double chance
Most likely correct scores
Scores shown as Orense SC – Deportivo Cuenca. 1-1 is the single most likely scoreline (12.2%); the 5 scores below add up to 49% of all outcomes, which is why an exact score remains hard to call.
| Score | Probability |
|---|---|
| Orense SC 1-1 Deportivo Cuenca | 12.2% |
| Orense SC 1-0 Deportivo Cuenca | 11.0% |
| Orense SC 2-1 Deportivo Cuenca | 9.2% |
| Orense SC 2-0 Deportivo Cuenca | 8.3% |
| Orense SC 0-1 Deportivo Cuenca | 8.2% |
Goals: both teams to score, over/under
With 1.50 expected goals for Orense SC and 1.11 for Deportivo Cuenca, "over 2.5 goals" is rated at 48% and "both teams to score" at 52%. Orense SC keep a clean sheet in 33% of scenarios, Deportivo Cuenca in 22%.
| Probability | |
|---|---|
| Orense SC expected goals | 1.50 |
| Deportivo Cuenca expected goals | 1.11 |
| Both teams to score | 52% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 74% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 48% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 27% |
| Orense SC clean sheet | 33% |
| Deportivo Cuenca clean sheet | 22% |
Recent form
Latest matches in all competitions, at the time of the prediction.
Orense SC
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 21, 2026 | Manta FC · Ecuadorian Liga Pro | 1-2 | L |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Universidad Catolica · Ecuadorian Liga Pro | 1-2 | L |
| Sep 8, 2026 | Guayaquil City FC · Ecuadorian Liga Pro | 4-3 | W |
| Sep 3, 2026 | Leones del Norte · Ecuadorian Liga Pro | 0-1 | L |
| Aug 30, 2026 | Macara · Ecuadorian Liga Pro | 1-2 | L |
Deportivo Cuenca
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 20, 2026 | Mushuc Runa SC · Ecuadorian Liga Pro | 1-1 | D |
| Sep 13, 2026 | LDU de Quito · Ecuadorian Liga Pro | 1-1 | D |
| Sep 7, 2026 | Libertad · Ecuadorian Liga Pro | 0-1 | L |
| Sep 2, 2026 | Guayaquil City FC · Ecuadorian Liga Pro | 1-0 | W |
| Aug 29, 2026 | Tecnico Universitario · Ecuadorian Liga Pro | 1-3 | L |
Standings before the match
| Pos. | Points | Played | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Orense SC | 13 | 33 | 31 |
| Deportivo Cuenca | 12 | 37 | 31 |
Head-to-head
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 16, 2026 | Orense SC 2-0 Deportivo Cuenca | Liga Pro |
| Apr 22, 2026 | Deportivo Cuenca 1-3 Orense SC | Liga Pro |
| Aug 31, 2025 | Deportivo Cuenca 1-1 Orense SC | Liga Pro |
| May 10, 2025 | Orense SC 1-0 Deportivo Cuenca | Liga Pro |
| Aug 10, 2024 | Deportivo Cuenca 1-2 Orense SC | Liga Pro |
Out and doubtful
Orense SC
No absences reported.
Deportivo Cuenca
No absences reported.
Most regular starters
Orense SC
Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).
- A. Herrera5/5
- B. Caicedo5/5
- P. Velasco5/5
- R. Silva5/5
- V. Burgoa5/5
- G. Achilier4/5
- M. Parrales4/5
- N. Molina4/5
- C. Ortiz3/5
- M. Bermudez3/5
- A. Lorenzo2/5
Deportivo Cuenca
Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).
- C. Arboleda5/5
- F. Ferrero5/5
- P. Boolsen5/5
- S. Postel5/5
- E. Vega4/5
- M. Diaz4/5
- Y. H. Erique Villigua4/5
- A. Lopez3/5
- C. Benalcazar3/5
- D. Gonzalez3/5
- M. Maccari3/5
First detailed prediction free, no card required.
See the full prediction (scenario, scorers, half-time)Other matches in this competition
- Libertad – Leones del NorteOct 9, 2026
- Delfin SC – Mushuc Runa SCOct 9, 2026
- Independiente del Valle – AucasOct 10, 2026
- Manta FC – Tecnico UniversitarioOct 10, 2026
- Guayaquil City FC – EmelecOct 10, 2026
- Universidad Catolica – MacaraOct 11, 2026
- LDU de Quito – Barcelona SCOct 11, 2026
Frequently asked questions
What is the Orense SC vs Deportivo Cuenca prediction?
Our AI gives Orense SC a 46% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Deportivo Cuenca 28%. Orense SC are therefore favourites.
What is the most likely correct score for Orense SC vs Deportivo Cuenca?
1-1 (12.2%), followed by 1-0 (11.0%), 2-1 (9.2%), 2-0 (8.3%) and 0-1 (8.2%).
Will both teams score in Orense SC vs Deportivo Cuenca?
The probability that both Orense SC and Deportivo Cuenca score is 52%. Orense SC have a 33% chance of keeping a clean sheet, Deportivo Cuenca 22%.
How many goals should we expect in Orense SC vs Deportivo Cuenca?
The model expects 2.61 goals (1.50 for Orense SC, 1.11 for Deportivo Cuenca). Probabilities: over 1.5 goals 74%, over 2.5 goals 48%, over 3.5 goals 27%.
When and where is Orense SC vs Deportivo Cuenca played?
Sunday, October 11, 2026 at 19:45 (UK time), Ecuadorian Liga Pro. Venue: Estadio 9 de Mayo, Machala.
What form are Orense SC and Deportivo Cuenca in?
Orense SC: 1 win, 0 draws and 4 defeats in their last 5 matches (7 scored, 10 conceded). Deportivo Cuenca: 1 win, 2 draws and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches (4 scored, 6 conceded).
What is the head-to-head record between Orense SC and Deportivo Cuenca?
In the last 5 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 4 wins for Orense SC, 0 for Deportivo Cuenca and 1 draw. The most recent ended Orense SC 2-0 Deportivo Cuenca (Aug 16, 2026).
How is the Orense SC vs Deportivo Cuenca prediction calculated?
The model estimates each team's expected goals (1.50 for Orense SC, 1.11 for Deportivo Cuenca) from recent form, xG and standings, then applies a Poisson distribution: every possible score gets a probability, from which the 1X2, correct score, both teams to score and total goals are derived. Every figure is calculated, none is made up.
Go further
- All Orense SC predictions
- All Deportivo Cuenca predictions
- Ecuadorian Liga Pro predictions
- Today’s predictions
- Our methodology