Ecuadorian Liga Pro· Kick-off : Sunday, October 11, 2026, 21:00 (UK time)
LDU de Quito vs Barcelona SC prediction: correct score and AI tips
Match analysis
LDU de Quito take on Barcelona SC on Sunday, October 11, 2026 at 21:00 (UK time), a Ecuadorian Liga Pro fixture. Venue: Estadio Rodrigo Paz Delgado, Quito. With a 73% win probability, LDU de Quito go in as strong favourites against Barcelona SC (5%), with the draw rated at 22%. The most likely correct score is 1-0 (25.0%), ahead of 2-0 (20.2%) and 0-0 (15.4%).
LDU de Quito have won just one of their last 5 matches (2 draws, 2 defeats), scoring 5 and conceding 5. Over their last 5 matches, Barcelona SC have 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 defeats, scoring 9 and conceding 6. Recent momentum is clearly with Barcelona SC. On average LDU de Quito score 1.00 and concede 1.00 goals per game; Barcelona SC score 1.80 and concede 1.20. In the table, LDU de Quito sit 5th with 49 points from 31 games, Barcelona SC 6th with 44 points from 30. The two teams are close in the standings.
In the last 2 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 1 win for LDU de Quito, 1 for Barcelona SC and 0 draws. The most recent ended Barcelona SC 0-1 LDU de Quito (Jul 27, 2026). In double chance terms, "LDU de Quito or draw" stands at 95%, "Barcelona SC or draw" at 27% and "no draw" at 78%.
In short : LDU de Quito are favourites for this LDU de Quito v Barcelona SC, with a 73% win probability from our model. On recent form, LDU de Quito have 1 win, 2 draws and 2 losses in 5 while Barcelona SC have 3 wins, 0 draw and 2 losses in 5. Our model's most likely scoreline: 1-0.
Outcome probabilities (1X2)
Double chance
Most likely correct scores
Scores shown as LDU de Quito – Barcelona SC. 1-0 is the single most likely scoreline (25.0%); the 5 scores below add up to 78% of all outcomes, which is why an exact score remains hard to call.
| Score | Probability |
|---|---|
| LDU de Quito 1-0 Barcelona SC | 25.0% |
| LDU de Quito 2-0 Barcelona SC | 20.2% |
| LDU de Quito 0-0 Barcelona SC | 15.4% |
| LDU de Quito 3-0 Barcelona SC | 10.9% |
| LDU de Quito 1-1 Barcelona SC | 6.2% |
Goals: both teams to score, over/under
The model expects 1.87 goals in total (1.62 for LDU de Quito, 0.25 for Barcelona SC): over 2.5 goals has a 29% probability and both teams to score 18%. A tight, low-scoring game is on the cards. LDU de Quito keep a clean sheet in 78% of scenarios, Barcelona SC in 20%.
| Probability | |
|---|---|
| LDU de Quito expected goals | 1.62 |
| Barcelona SC expected goals | 0.25 |
| Both teams to score | 18% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 56% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 29% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 12% |
| LDU de Quito clean sheet | 78% |
| Barcelona SC clean sheet | 20% |
Recent form
Latest matches in all competitions, at the time of the prediction.
LDU de Quito
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 13, 2026 | Deportivo Cuenca · Ecuadorian Liga Pro | 1-1 | D |
| Sep 9, 2026 | Palmeiras · CONMEBOL Libertadores | 0-1 | L |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Tecnico Universitario · Ecuadorian Liga Pro | 3-1 | W |
| Sep 2, 2026 | Mushuc Runa SC · Ecuadorian Liga Pro | 0-0 | D |
| Aug 29, 2026 | Guayaquil City FC · Ecuadorian Liga Pro | 1-2 | L |
Barcelona SC
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 25, 2026 | Delfin SC · Liga Pro | 2-1 | W |
| May 22, 2026 | U. Catolica · CONMEBOL Libertadores | 0-2 | L |
| May 17, 2026 | Aucas · Liga Pro | 3-0 | W |
| May 12, 2026 | Insutec · Copa Ecuador | 4-2 | W |
| May 10, 2026 | Independiente del Valle · Liga Pro | 0-1 | L |
Standings before the match
| Pos. | Points | Played | |
|---|---|---|---|
| LDU de Quito | 5 | 49 | 31 |
| Barcelona SC | 6 | 44 | 30 |
Head-to-head
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 27, 2026 | Barcelona SC 0-1 LDU de Quito | Ecuadorian Liga Pro |
| Apr 4, 2026 | LDU de Quito 0-2 Barcelona SC | Ecuadorian Liga Pro |
Out and doubtful
LDU de Quito
No absences reported.
Barcelona SC
No absences reported.
Most regular starters
LDU de Quito
Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).
- G. F. Allala Menendez4/5
- J. Pretell4/5
- M. Weigandt4/5
- Y. Quinonez4/5
- F. Cornejo3/5
- G. Valle3/5
- M. Estrada3/5
- R. Ade3/5
- Deyverson2/5
- I. Zambrano2/5
- J. Carabali2/5
First detailed prediction free, no card required.
See the full prediction (scenario, scorers, half-time)Other matches in this competition
- Libertad – Leones del NorteOct 9, 2026
- Delfin SC – Mushuc Runa SCOct 9, 2026
- Independiente del Valle – AucasOct 10, 2026
- Manta FC – Tecnico UniversitarioOct 10, 2026
- Guayaquil City FC – EmelecOct 10, 2026
- Orense SC – Deportivo CuencaOct 11, 2026
- Universidad Catolica – MacaraOct 11, 2026
Frequently asked questions
What is the LDU de Quito vs Barcelona SC prediction?
Our AI gives LDU de Quito a 73% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Barcelona SC 5%. LDU de Quito are therefore favourites.
What is the most likely correct score for LDU de Quito vs Barcelona SC?
1-0 (25.0%), followed by 2-0 (20.2%), 0-0 (15.4%), 3-0 (10.9%) and 1-1 (6.2%).
Will both teams score in LDU de Quito vs Barcelona SC?
The probability that both LDU de Quito and Barcelona SC score is 18%. LDU de Quito have a 78% chance of keeping a clean sheet, Barcelona SC 20%.
How many goals should we expect in LDU de Quito vs Barcelona SC?
The model expects 1.87 goals (1.62 for LDU de Quito, 0.25 for Barcelona SC). Probabilities: over 1.5 goals 56%, over 2.5 goals 29%, over 3.5 goals 12%.
When and where is LDU de Quito vs Barcelona SC played?
Sunday, October 11, 2026 at 21:00 (UK time), Ecuadorian Liga Pro. Venue: Estadio Rodrigo Paz Delgado, Quito.
What form are LDU de Quito and Barcelona SC in?
LDU de Quito: 1 win, 2 draws and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches (5 scored, 5 conceded). Barcelona SC: 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches (9 scored, 6 conceded).
What is the head-to-head record between LDU de Quito and Barcelona SC?
In the last 2 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 1 win for LDU de Quito, 1 for Barcelona SC and 0 draws. The most recent ended Barcelona SC 0-1 LDU de Quito (Jul 27, 2026).
How is the LDU de Quito vs Barcelona SC prediction calculated?
The model estimates each team's expected goals (1.62 for LDU de Quito, 0.25 for Barcelona SC) from recent form, xG and standings, then applies a Poisson distribution: every possible score gets a probability, from which the 1X2, correct score, both teams to score and total goals are derived. Every figure is calculated, none is made up.
Go further
- All LDU de Quito predictions
- All Barcelona SC predictions
- Ecuadorian Liga Pro predictions
- Today’s predictions
- Our methodology