Argentine Primera División· Kick-off : Thursday, November 5, 2026, 18:00 (UK time)
Aldosivi vs River Plate: 0-2 result and AI prediction review
Review: prediction vs result
Final score: Aldosivi 0-2 River Plate. The 1X2 prediction came good: victory for River Plate was the model's favourite outcome (67%). The final score ranked 2nd among the most likely scorelines (14.1%), behind 0-1. On goals, the model did not expect both teams to score (41%): correct; it pointed to under 2.5 goals (47%): correct.
Match analysis
Aldosivi vs River Plate was played on Thursday, November 5, 2026 (Argentine Primera División). Venue: Estadio Jose Maria Minella, Mar del Plata. Before kick-off, our model gave Aldosivi a 12% chance of winning, the draw 21% and River Plate 67%. The most likely correct score is 0-1 (14.9%), ahead of 0-2 (14.1%) and 1-1 (9.7%).
Aldosivi have won just one of their last 5 matches (0 draws, 4 defeats), scoring 4 and conceding 8. Over their last 5 matches, River Plate have 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat, scoring 6 and conceding 2. Recent momentum is clearly with River Plate. On average Aldosivi score 0.80 and concede 1.60 goals per game; River Plate score 1.20 and concede 0.40. In the table, Aldosivi sit 14th with 11 points from 15 games, River Plate 4th with 23 points from 15. 10 places separate the two sides. Over their recent games, Aldosivi have averaged 1.18 xG (expected goals) per match, against 1.29 for River Plate.
In the last 5 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 1 win for Aldosivi, 4 for River Plate and 0 draws. The most recent ended River Plate 1-3 Aldosivi (Jul 18, 2026). In double chance terms, "Aldosivi or draw" stands at 33%, "River Plate or draw" at 88% and "no draw" at 79%.
In short : River Plate are favourites for this Aldosivi v River Plate, with a 67% win probability from our model. In the table, Aldosivi (14th, 11 pts) host River Plate (4th, 23 pts). Our model's most likely scoreline: 0-1.
Outcome probabilities (1X2)
Double chance
Most likely correct scores
Scores shown as Aldosivi – River Plate. 0-1 is the single most likely scoreline (14.9%); the 5 scores below add up to 57% of all outcomes, which is why an exact score remains hard to call.
| Score | Probability |
|---|---|
| Aldosivi 0-1 River Plate | 14.9% |
| Aldosivi 0-2 River Plate | 14.1% |
| Aldosivi 1-1 River Plate | 9.7% |
| Aldosivi 1-2 River Plate | 9.2% |
| Aldosivi 0-3 River Plate | 8.9% |
Goals: both teams to score, over/under
The model expects 2.54 goals in total (0.65 for Aldosivi, 1.89 for River Plate): over 2.5 goals has a 47% probability and both teams to score 41%. Aldosivi keep a clean sheet in 15% of scenarios, River Plate in 52%.
| Probability | |
|---|---|
| Aldosivi expected goals | 0.65 |
| River Plate expected goals | 1.89 |
| Both teams to score | 41% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 72% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 47% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 25% |
| Aldosivi clean sheet | 15% |
| River Plate clean sheet | 52% |
Recent form
Latest matches in all competitions, at the time of the prediction.
Aldosivi
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 31, 2026 | Racing Club · Argentine Primera División | 1-2 | L |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Belgrano Cordoba · Argentine Primera División | 1-0 | W |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto · Argentine Primera División | 1-2 | L |
| Oct 9, 2026 | Sarmiento Junin · Argentine Primera División | 1-3 | L |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Huracan · Argentine Primera División | 0-1 | L |
River Plate
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 2026 | Boca Juniors · Argentine Primera División | 0-1 | L |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Racing Club · Argentine Primera División | 1-0 | W |
| Oct 19, 2026 | Belgrano Cordoba · Argentine Primera División | 3-0 | W |
| Oct 14, 2026 | Sarmiento Junin · Argentine Primera División | 1-1 | D |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto · Argentine Primera División | 1-0 | W |
Standings before the match
| Pos. | Points | Played | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aldosivi | 14 | 11 | 15 |
| River Plate | 4 | 23 | 15 |
Head-to-head
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 18, 2026 | River Plate 1-3 Aldosivi | Copa Argentina |
| Apr 26, 2026 | River Plate 3-1 Aldosivi | Argentine Primera División |
| Jul 24, 2022 | Aldosivi 0-3 River Plate | Argentine Primera División |
| Aug 27, 2021 | River Plate 2-0 Aldosivi | Argentine Primera División |
| May 9, 2021 | River Plate 4-1 Aldosivi | Argentine Primera División |
Out and doubtful
Aldosivi
No absences reported.
River Plate
No absences reported.
Most regular starters
Aldosivi
Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).
- L. Castro5/5
- J. Pombo4/5
- M. Garcia4/5
- S. Moya4/5
- A. Palavecino3/5
- A. Vombergar3/5
- B. Cufre3/5
- F. Anso3/5
- N. Breitenbruch3/5
- N. Cordero3/5
- N. Gaitan3/5
River Plate
Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).
- G. Montiel5/5
- N. Otamendi5/5
- T. Andrada5/5
- A. Correa4/5
- S. Beltran4/5
- T. Almada4/5
- T. Galvan4/5
- L. Martinez Quarta3/5
- A. Moreno2/5
- F. Ortega2/5
- Fausto Vera2/5
Other matches in this competition
- Gimnasia L.P. 2-1 Belgrano CordobaNov 5, 2026
- Barracas Central 2-0 Racing ClubNov 6, 2026
- Union Santa Fe 2-0 Velez SarsfieldNov 6, 2026
- San Lorenzo 0-2 PlatenseNov 6, 2026
- Independiente 2-1 Deportivo RiestraNov 6, 2026
- Tigre 1-0 Sarmiento JuninNov 7, 2026
- Banfield 2-2 Atletico TucumanNov 7, 2026
- Gimnasia M. 1-1 Independ. RivadaviaNov 7, 2026
- Talleres Cordoba 1-1 Estudiantes L.P.Nov 7, 2026
- Boca Juniors 1-0 Defensa Y JusticiaNov 7, 2026
Frequently asked questions
What is the Aldosivi vs River Plate prediction?
Before the match, our AI gave Aldosivi a 12% chance of winning, the draw 21% and River Plate 67%. River Plate are therefore favourites. Final score: 0-2.
What is the most likely correct score for Aldosivi vs River Plate?
0-1 (14.9%), followed by 0-2 (14.1%), 1-1 (9.7%), 1-2 (9.2%) and 0-3 (8.9%).
Will both teams score in Aldosivi vs River Plate?
The probability that both Aldosivi and River Plate score is 41%. Aldosivi have a 15% chance of keeping a clean sheet, River Plate 52%.
How many goals should we expect in Aldosivi vs River Plate?
The model expects 2.54 goals (0.65 for Aldosivi, 1.89 for River Plate). Probabilities: over 1.5 goals 72%, over 2.5 goals 47%, over 3.5 goals 25%.
When and where is Aldosivi vs River Plate played?
Thursday, November 5, 2026 at 18:00 (UK time), Argentine Primera División. Venue: Estadio Jose Maria Minella, Mar del Plata.
What form are Aldosivi and River Plate in?
Aldosivi: 1 win, 0 draws and 4 defeats in their last 5 matches (4 scored, 8 conceded). River Plate: 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches (6 scored, 2 conceded).
What is the head-to-head record between Aldosivi and River Plate?
In the last 5 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 1 win for Aldosivi, 4 for River Plate and 0 draws. The most recent ended River Plate 1-3 Aldosivi (Jul 18, 2026).
What was the Aldosivi vs River Plate result, and was the prediction right?
Final score: Aldosivi 0-2 River Plate. The 1X2 prediction came good: victory for River Plate was the model's favourite outcome (67%). The final score ranked 2nd among the most likely scorelines (14.1%), behind 0-1. On goals, the model did not expect both teams to score (41%): correct; it pointed to under 2.5 goals (47%): correct.
How is the Aldosivi vs River Plate prediction calculated?
The model estimates each team's expected goals (0.65 for Aldosivi, 1.89 for River Plate) from recent form, xG and standings, then applies a Poisson distribution: every possible score gets a probability, from which the 1X2, correct score, both teams to score and total goals are derived. Every figure is calculated, none is made up.
Go further
- All Aldosivi predictions
- All River Plate predictions
- Argentine Primera División predictions
- Today’s predictions
- Our methodology