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Argentine Primera DivisiónArgentine Primera División· Kick-off : Thursday, November 5, 2026, 22:15 (UK time)

Gimnasia L.P. vs Belgrano Cordoba: 2-1 result and AI prediction review

Gimnasia L.P.Gimnasia L.P.2 – 1Belgrano CordobaBelgrano Cordoba

Review: prediction vs result

1X2 outcome correctExact score missedMost likely score before kick-off : 1-0

Final score: Gimnasia L.P. 2-1 Belgrano Cordoba. The 1X2 prediction came good: victory for Gimnasia L.P. was the model's favourite outcome (55%). The final score ranked 4th among the most likely scorelines (9.7%), behind 1-0. On goals, the model expected both teams to score (50%): correct; it pointed to under 2.5 goals (50%): missed.

Match analysis

Gimnasia L.P. vs Belgrano Cordoba was played on Thursday, November 5, 2026 (Argentine Primera División). Venue: Estadio Juan Carmelo Zerillo, La Plata. Before kick-off, our model gave Gimnasia L.P. a 55% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Belgrano Cordoba 21%. The most likely correct score is 1-0 (12.0%), ahead of 1-1 (11.4%) and 2-0 (10.2%).

Gimnasia L.P. are unbeaten in their last 5 matches (3 wins, 2 draws), scoring 8 and conceding 4. Over their last 5 matches, Belgrano Cordoba have 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats, scoring 5 and conceding 6. Recent momentum is clearly with Gimnasia L.P.. On average Gimnasia L.P. score 1.60 and concede 0.80 goals per game; Belgrano Cordoba score 1.00 and concede 1.20. In the table, Gimnasia L.P. sit 3rd with 28 points from 15 games, Belgrano Cordoba 5th with 23 points from 15. The two teams are close in the standings. Over their recent games, Gimnasia L.P. have averaged 1.33 xG (expected goals) per match, against 1.22 for Belgrano Cordoba.

In the last 5 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 2 wins for Gimnasia L.P., 3 for Belgrano Cordoba and 0 draws. The most recent ended Belgrano Cordoba 0-1 Gimnasia L.P. (Apr 26, 2026). In double chance terms, "Gimnasia L.P. or draw" stands at 79%, "Belgrano Cordoba or draw" at 45% and "no draw" at 76%.

In short : Gimnasia L.P. are tipped by our AI model in this Gimnasia L.P. v Belgrano Cordoba (55%). On recent form, Gimnasia L.P. have 3 wins, 2 draws and 0 losses in 5 while Belgrano Cordoba have 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses in 5. Our model's most likely scoreline: 1-0.

Outcome probabilities (1X2)

55%
Gimnasia L.P. (Win)
24%
Draw
21%
Belgrano Cordoba (Win)

Double chance

79%
Gimnasia L.P. or draw
45%
Belgrano Cordoba or draw
76%
No draw

Most likely correct scores

Scores shown as Gimnasia L.P. – Belgrano Cordoba. 1-0 is the single most likely scoreline (12.0%); the 5 scores below add up to 50% of all outcomes, which is why an exact score remains hard to call.

ScoreProbability
Gimnasia L.P. 1-0 Belgrano Cordoba12.0%
Gimnasia L.P. 1-1 Belgrano Cordoba11.4%
Gimnasia L.P. 2-0 Belgrano Cordoba10.2%
Gimnasia L.P. 2-1 Belgrano Cordoba9.7%
Gimnasia L.P. 0-0 Belgrano Cordoba7.0%

Goals: both teams to score, over/under

The model expects 2.66 goals in total (1.71 for Gimnasia L.P., 0.95 for Belgrano Cordoba): over 2.5 goals has a 50% probability and both teams to score 50%. Gimnasia L.P. keep a clean sheet in 39% of scenarios, Belgrano Cordoba in 18%.

Probability
Gimnasia L.P. expected goals1.71
Belgrano Cordoba expected goals0.95
Both teams to score50%
Over 1.5 goals74%
Over 2.5 goals50%
Over 3.5 goals28%
Gimnasia L.P. clean sheet39%
Belgrano Cordoba clean sheet18%

Recent form

Latest matches in all competitions, at the time of the prediction.

Gimnasia L.P.

DateOpponentScore
Oct 30, 2026Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto · Argentine Primera División2-1W
Oct 23, 2026Sarmiento Junin · Argentine Primera División2-0W
Oct 16, 2026Huracan · Argentine Primera División2-1W
Oct 9, 2026Atletico Tucuman · Argentine Primera División1-1D
Oct 3, 2026Independ. Rivadavia · Argentine Primera División1-1D

Belgrano Cordoba

DateOpponentScore
Nov 1, 2026Barracas Central · Argentine Primera División2-2D
Oct 25, 2026Aldosivi · Argentine Primera División0-1L
Oct 19, 2026River Plate · Argentine Primera División0-3L
Oct 11, 2026Racing Club · Argentine Primera División2-0W
Oct 4, 2026Talleres Cordoba · Argentine Primera División1-0W

Standings before the match

Pos.PointsPlayed
Gimnasia L.P.32815
Belgrano Cordoba52315

Head-to-head

DateScoreCompetition
Apr 26, 2026Belgrano Cordoba 0-1 Gimnasia L.P.Argentine Primera División
Aug 26, 2024Belgrano Cordoba 0-1 Gimnasia L.P.Argentine Primera División
Apr 16, 2023Gimnasia L.P. 0-2 Belgrano CordobaArgentine Primera División
Nov 2, 2018Belgrano Cordoba 2-0 Gimnasia L.P.Argentine Primera División
Nov 25, 2017Belgrano Cordoba 2-0 Gimnasia L.P.Argentine Primera División

Out and doubtful

Gimnasia L.P.

No absences reported.

Belgrano Cordoba

No absences reported.

Most regular starters

Gimnasia L.P.

Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).

  • A. Auzmendi5/5
  • L. Janson5/5
  • E. Martinez4/5
  • I. Miramon4/5
  • M. Seoane4/5
  • N. Fernandez4/5
  • A. Steimbach3/5
  • German Conti3/5
  • H. Castillo3/5
  • M. Torres3/5
  • P. Silva Torrejon3/5

Belgrano Cordoba

Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).

  • E. Rigoni5/5
  • L. Morales5/5
  • L. Passerini5/5
  • A. Maldonado4/5
  • A. Sanchez4/5
  • A. Sporle4/5
  • F. Vazquez4/5
  • L. Lopez4/5
  • L. Zelarayan4/5
  • T. Cardozo3/5
  • M. Vicentini2/5

Other matches in this competition

Frequently asked questions

What is the Gimnasia L.P. vs Belgrano Cordoba prediction?

Before the match, our AI gave Gimnasia L.P. a 55% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Belgrano Cordoba 21%. Gimnasia L.P. are therefore favourites. Final score: 2-1.

What is the most likely correct score for Gimnasia L.P. vs Belgrano Cordoba?

1-0 (12.0%), followed by 1-1 (11.4%), 2-0 (10.2%), 2-1 (9.7%) and 0-0 (7.0%).

Will both teams score in Gimnasia L.P. vs Belgrano Cordoba?

The probability that both Gimnasia L.P. and Belgrano Cordoba score is 50%. Gimnasia L.P. have a 39% chance of keeping a clean sheet, Belgrano Cordoba 18%.

How many goals should we expect in Gimnasia L.P. vs Belgrano Cordoba?

The model expects 2.66 goals (1.71 for Gimnasia L.P., 0.95 for Belgrano Cordoba). Probabilities: over 1.5 goals 74%, over 2.5 goals 50%, over 3.5 goals 28%.

When and where is Gimnasia L.P. vs Belgrano Cordoba played?

Thursday, November 5, 2026 at 22:15 (UK time), Argentine Primera División. Venue: Estadio Juan Carmelo Zerillo, La Plata.

What form are Gimnasia L.P. and Belgrano Cordoba in?

Gimnasia L.P.: 3 wins, 2 draws and 0 defeats in their last 5 matches (8 scored, 4 conceded). Belgrano Cordoba: 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches (5 scored, 6 conceded).

What is the head-to-head record between Gimnasia L.P. and Belgrano Cordoba?

In the last 5 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 2 wins for Gimnasia L.P., 3 for Belgrano Cordoba and 0 draws. The most recent ended Belgrano Cordoba 0-1 Gimnasia L.P. (Apr 26, 2026).

What was the Gimnasia L.P. vs Belgrano Cordoba result, and was the prediction right?

Final score: Gimnasia L.P. 2-1 Belgrano Cordoba. The 1X2 prediction came good: victory for Gimnasia L.P. was the model's favourite outcome (55%). The final score ranked 4th among the most likely scorelines (9.7%), behind 1-0. On goals, the model expected both teams to score (50%): correct; it pointed to under 2.5 goals (50%): missed.

How is the Gimnasia L.P. vs Belgrano Cordoba prediction calculated?

The model estimates each team's expected goals (1.71 for Gimnasia L.P., 0.95 for Belgrano Cordoba) from recent form, xG and standings, then applies a Poisson distribution: every possible score gets a probability, from which the 1X2, correct score, both teams to score and total goals are derived. Every figure is calculated, none is made up.

Go further

Key terms explained