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Argentine Primera DivisiónArgentine Primera División· Kick-off : Saturday, October 3, 2026, 23:15 (UK time)

Argentinos JRS vs Tigre prediction: correct score and AI tips

Match analysis

Argentine Primera División: Argentinos JRS vs Tigre kicks off on Saturday, October 3, 2026 at 23:15 (UK time). Venue: Estadio Diego Armando Maradona, Buenos Aires. With a 75% win probability, Argentinos JRS go in as strong favourites against Tigre (7%), with the draw rated at 18%. The most likely correct score is 2-0 (17.4%), ahead of 1-0 (17.2%) and 3-0 (11.8%).

Argentinos JRS have won just one of their last 5 matches (3 draws, 1 defeat), scoring 4 and conceding 4. Tigre have won just one of their last 5 matches (1 draw, 3 defeats), scoring 4 and conceding 6. On recent form, there is little to separate the two teams. On average Argentinos JRS score 0.80 and concede 0.80 goals per game; Tigre score 0.80 and concede 1.20. In the table, Argentinos JRS sit 1st with 18 points from 10 games, Tigre 10th with 12 points from 10. 9 places separate the two sides.

In the last 1 meeting between the two sides, the record reads 0 wins for Argentinos JRS, 0 for Tigre and 1 draw. The most recent ended Tigre 1-1 Argentinos JRS (Mar 16, 2026). In double chance terms, "Argentinos JRS or draw" stands at 93%, "Tigre or draw" at 25% and "no draw" at 82%.

In short : Argentinos JRS are tipped by our AI model in this Argentinos JRS v Tigre (75%). On recent form, Argentinos JRS have 1 win, 3 draws and 1 loss in 5 while Tigre have 1 win, 1 draw and 3 losses in 5. Our model's most likely scoreline: 2-0.

Outcome probabilities (1X2)

75%
Argentinos JRS (Win)
18%
Draw
7%
Tigre (Win)

Double chance

93%
Argentinos JRS or draw
25%
Tigre or draw
82%
No draw

Most likely correct scores

Scores shown as Argentinos JRS – Tigre. 2-0 is the single most likely scoreline (17.4%); the 5 scores below add up to 63% of all outcomes, which is why an exact score remains hard to call.

ScoreProbability
Argentinos JRS 2-0 Tigre17.4%
Argentinos JRS 1-0 Tigre17.2%
Argentinos JRS 3-0 Tigre11.8%
Argentinos JRS 0-0 Tigre8.5%
Argentinos JRS 2-1 Tigre7.7%

Goals: both teams to score, over/under

The model expects 2.47 goals in total (2.03 for Argentinos JRS, 0.44 for Tigre): over 2.5 goals has a 45% probability and both teams to score 31%. Argentinos JRS keep a clean sheet in 64% of scenarios, Tigre in 13%.

Probability
Argentinos JRS expected goals2.03
Tigre expected goals0.44
Both teams to score31%
Over 1.5 goals71%
Over 2.5 goals45%
Over 3.5 goals24%
Argentinos JRS clean sheet64%
Tigre clean sheet13%

Recent form

Latest matches in all competitions, at the time of the prediction.

Argentinos JRS

DateOpponentScore
Sep 20, 2026Rosario Central · Argentine Primera División0-1L
Sep 13, 2026Gimnasia L.P. · Argentine Primera División1-1D
Sep 7, 2026Barracas Central · Argentine Primera División0-0D
Aug 30, 2026Aldosivi · Argentine Primera División2-1W
Aug 25, 2026Lanus · Argentine Primera División1-1D

Tigre

DateOpponentScore
Sep 13, 2026Rosario Central · Argentine Primera División0-1L
Sep 5, 2026Gimnasia L.P. · Argentine Primera División1-2L
Sep 1, 2026Barracas Central · Argentine Primera División0-0D
Aug 24, 2026Central Cordoba de Santiago · Argentine Primera División2-1W
Aug 20, 2026Atletico Torque · CONMEBOL Sudamericana1-2L

Standings before the match

Pos.PointsPlayed
Argentinos JRS11810
Tigre101210

Head-to-head

DateScoreCompetition
Mar 16, 2026Tigre 1-1 Argentinos JRSArgentine Primera División

Out and doubtful

Argentinos JRS

No absences reported.

Tigre

No absences reported.

Most regular starters

Argentinos JRS

Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).

  • B. Cortes4/5
  • F. Alvarez4/5
  • F. Vazquez4/5
  • H. Lopez4/5
  • K. Coronel4/5
  • K. Gutierrez4/5
  • N. Oroz4/5
  • T. Molina4/5
  • G. Veron3/5
  • S. Prieto3/5
  • A. Lescano2/5

Tigre

Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).

  • A. Barrionuevo5/5
  • F. T. Zenobio5/5
  • I. Russo5/5
  • J. Saralegui5/5
  • N. Banegas5/5
  • S. Lopez5/5
  • V. Moreno5/5
  • J. Villalba4/5
  • M. Garay4/5
  • M. Mendez4/5
  • S. Gonzalez4/5

First detailed prediction free, no card required.

See the full prediction (scenario, scorers, half-time)

Other matches in this competition

Frequently asked questions

What is the Argentinos JRS vs Tigre prediction?

Our AI gives Argentinos JRS a 75% chance of winning, the draw 18% and Tigre 7%. Argentinos JRS are therefore favourites.

What is the most likely correct score for Argentinos JRS vs Tigre?

2-0 (17.4%), followed by 1-0 (17.2%), 3-0 (11.8%), 0-0 (8.5%) and 2-1 (7.7%).

Will both teams score in Argentinos JRS vs Tigre?

The probability that both Argentinos JRS and Tigre score is 31%. Argentinos JRS have a 64% chance of keeping a clean sheet, Tigre 13%.

How many goals should we expect in Argentinos JRS vs Tigre?

The model expects 2.47 goals (2.03 for Argentinos JRS, 0.44 for Tigre). Probabilities: over 1.5 goals 71%, over 2.5 goals 45%, over 3.5 goals 24%.

When and where is Argentinos JRS vs Tigre played?

Saturday, October 3, 2026 at 23:15 (UK time), Argentine Primera División. Venue: Estadio Diego Armando Maradona, Buenos Aires.

What form are Argentinos JRS and Tigre in?

Argentinos JRS: 1 win, 3 draws and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches (4 scored, 4 conceded). Tigre: 1 win, 1 draw and 3 defeats in their last 5 matches (4 scored, 6 conceded).

What is the head-to-head record between Argentinos JRS and Tigre?

In the last 1 meeting between the two sides, the record reads 0 wins for Argentinos JRS, 0 for Tigre and 1 draw. The most recent ended Tigre 1-1 Argentinos JRS (Mar 16, 2026).

How is the Argentinos JRS vs Tigre prediction calculated?

The model estimates each team's expected goals (2.03 for Argentinos JRS, 0.44 for Tigre) from recent form, xG and standings, then applies a Poisson distribution: every possible score gets a probability, from which the 1X2, correct score, both teams to score and total goals are derived. Every figure is calculated, none is made up.

Go further

Key terms explained