Ligue 2· Kick-off : Friday, October 9, 2026, 19:00 (UK time)
Dunkerque vs Annecy: 0-1 result and AI prediction review
Review: prediction vs result
Final score: Dunkerque 0-1 Annecy. The outcome was missed: the model favoured victory for Dunkerque (43%), while victory for Annecy was rated at only 30%. The final score ranked 3rd among the most likely scorelines (9.9%), behind 1-1. On goals, the model did not expect both teams to score (47%): correct; it pointed to under 2.5 goals (42%): correct.
Match analysis
Dunkerque and Annecy met on Friday, October 9, 2026, a Ligue 2, matchday 8 fixture. Venue: Stade Marcel Tribut, Dunkirk. Before kick-off, our model gave Dunkerque a 43% chance of winning, the draw 28% and Annecy 30%. On the correct score, 1-1 comes out on top (13.0%), followed by 1-0 (12.5%) and 0-1 (9.9%).
Dunkerque have won just one of their last 5 matches (1 draw, 3 defeats), scoring 3 and conceding 10. Over their last 5 matches, Annecy have 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats, scoring 7 and conceding 7. Both sides come in with similar form. On average Dunkerque score 0.60 and concede 2.00 goals per game; Annecy score 1.40 and concede 1.40. In the table, Dunkerque sit 12th with 8 points from 7 games, Annecy 7th with 10 points from 7. The two teams are close in the standings.
In the last 5 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 1 win for Dunkerque, 3 for Annecy and 1 draw. The most recent ended Dunkerque 0-1 Annecy (Jan 31, 2026). In double chance terms, "Dunkerque or draw" stands at 70%, "Annecy or draw" at 57% and "no draw" at 72%.
In short : Dunkerque are tipped by our AI model in this Dunkerque v Annecy (43%). In the table, Dunkerque (12th, 8 pts) host Annecy (7th, 10 pts). Our model's most likely scoreline: 1-1.
Outcome probabilities (1X2)
Double chance
Most likely correct scores
Scores shown as Dunkerque – Annecy. 1-1 is the single most likely scoreline (13.0%); the 5 scores below add up to 53% of all outcomes, which is why an exact score remains hard to call.
| Score | Probability |
|---|---|
| Dunkerque 1-1 Annecy | 13.0% |
| Dunkerque 1-0 Annecy | 12.5% |
| Dunkerque 0-1 Annecy | 9.9% |
| Dunkerque 0-0 Annecy | 9.5% |
| Dunkerque 2-1 Annecy | 8.5% |
Goals: both teams to score, over/under
With 1.31 expected goals for Dunkerque and 1.04 for Annecy, "over 2.5 goals" is rated at 42% and "both teams to score" at 47%. Few goals are expected here. Dunkerque keep a clean sheet in 35% of scenarios, Annecy in 27%.
| Probability | |
|---|---|
| Dunkerque expected goals | 1.31 |
| Annecy expected goals | 1.04 |
| Both teams to score | 47% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 68% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 42% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 21% |
| Dunkerque clean sheet | 35% |
| Annecy clean sheet | 27% |
Recent form
Latest matches in all competitions, at the time of the prediction.
Dunkerque
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 2, 2026 | RAAL La Louvière · Club Friendlies | 0-4 | L |
| Sep 18, 2026 | PAU · Ligue 2 | 0-2 | L |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Saint Etienne · Ligue 2 | 2-1 | W |
| Sep 4, 2026 | Clermont Foot · Ligue 2 | 1-1 | D |
| Aug 28, 2026 | Nancy · Ligue 2 | 0-2 | L |
Annecy
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 2, 2026 | Servette FC · Club Friendlies | 2-1 | W |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Dijon · Ligue 2 | 1-2 | L |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Guingamp · Ligue 2 | 1-2 | L |
| Sep 4, 2026 | Grenoble · Ligue 2 | 2-1 | W |
| Aug 29, 2026 | Metz · Ligue 2 | 1-1 | D |
Standings before the match
| Pos. | Points | Played | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dunkerque | 12 | 8 | 7 |
| Annecy | 7 | 10 | 7 |
Head-to-head
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 31, 2026 | Dunkerque 0-1 Annecy | Ligue 2 |
| Aug 16, 2025 | Annecy 2-2 Dunkerque | Ligue 2 |
| Jan 27, 2025 | Annecy 0-2 Dunkerque | Ligue 2 |
| Aug 16, 2024 | Dunkerque 0-2 Annecy | Ligue 2 |
| Mar 30, 2024 | Dunkerque 0-2 Annecy | Ligue 2 |
Out and doubtful
Dunkerque
No absences reported.
Annecy
No absences reported.
Most regular starters
Dunkerque
Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).
- A. Linguet5/5
- A. Lebeau4/5
- E. Prutsev4/5
- J. Morel4/5
- L. Vallier4/5
- S. Keita4/5
- V. Mayela4/5
- K. Ayari3/5
- G. Robail2/5
- M. Prevot2/5
- Moha Airam2/5
Annecy
Starts over the last 4 matches (official line-ups).
- A. Kashi4/4
- C. Billemaz4/4
- F. Escales4/4
- J. Kouadio4/4
- K. Young4/4
- M. Veillon4/4
- T. Delphis4/4
- A. Do Marcolino2/4
- M. Kone2/4
- P. Venot2/4
- T. Rambaud2/4
Other matches in this competition
- Montpellier 2-0 GrenobleOct 9, 2026
- PAU 3-2 LavalOct 9, 2026
- Nancy 1-0 GuingampOct 9, 2026
- Sochaux 1-1 BoulogneOct 9, 2026
- Clermont Foot 2-3 RED Star FC 93Oct 10, 2026
- Nantes 0-0 ReimsOct 10, 2026
- Saint Etienne 2-0 RodezOct 10, 2026
- Dijon 4-2 MetzOct 12, 2026
Frequently asked questions
What is the Dunkerque vs Annecy prediction?
Before the match, our AI gave Dunkerque a 43% chance of winning, the draw 28% and Annecy 30%. Dunkerque are therefore slight favourites. Final score: 0-1.
What is the most likely correct score for Dunkerque vs Annecy?
1-1 (13.0%), followed by 1-0 (12.5%), 0-1 (9.9%), 0-0 (9.5%) and 2-1 (8.5%).
Will both teams score in Dunkerque vs Annecy?
The probability that both Dunkerque and Annecy score is 47%. Dunkerque have a 35% chance of keeping a clean sheet, Annecy 27%.
How many goals should we expect in Dunkerque vs Annecy?
The model expects 2.35 goals (1.31 for Dunkerque, 1.04 for Annecy). Probabilities: over 1.5 goals 68%, over 2.5 goals 42%, over 3.5 goals 21%.
When and where is Dunkerque vs Annecy played?
Friday, October 9, 2026 at 19:00 (UK time), Ligue 2, matchday 8. Venue: Stade Marcel Tribut, Dunkirk.
What form are Dunkerque and Annecy in?
Dunkerque: 1 win, 1 draw and 3 defeats in their last 5 matches (3 scored, 10 conceded). Annecy: 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches (7 scored, 7 conceded).
What is the head-to-head record between Dunkerque and Annecy?
In the last 5 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 1 win for Dunkerque, 3 for Annecy and 1 draw. The most recent ended Dunkerque 0-1 Annecy (Jan 31, 2026).
What was the Dunkerque vs Annecy result, and was the prediction right?
Final score: Dunkerque 0-1 Annecy. The outcome was missed: the model favoured victory for Dunkerque (43%), while victory for Annecy was rated at only 30%. The final score ranked 3rd among the most likely scorelines (9.9%), behind 1-1. On goals, the model did not expect both teams to score (47%): correct; it pointed to under 2.5 goals (42%): correct.
How is the Dunkerque vs Annecy prediction calculated?
The model estimates each team's expected goals (1.31 for Dunkerque, 1.04 for Annecy) from recent form, xG and standings, then applies a Poisson distribution: every possible score gets a probability, from which the 1X2, correct score, both teams to score and total goals are derived. Every figure is calculated, none is made up.
Go further
- All Dunkerque predictions
- All Annecy predictions
- Ligue 2 predictions
- Today’s predictions
- Our methodology