Ligue 2· Kick-off : Friday, October 9, 2026, 19:00 (UK time)
PAU vs Laval prediction: correct score and AI tips
Match analysis
Ligue 2, matchday 8: the PAU vs Laval match is scheduled on Friday, October 9, 2026 at 19:00 (UK time). Venue: Nouste Camp, Pau. Our model makes PAU clear favourites: a 64% chance of winning, against 21% for the draw and 15% for Laval. On the correct score, 1-0 comes out on top (11.8%), followed by 2-0 (11.8%) and 1-1 (9.8%).
PAU have won just one of their last 5 matches (2 draws, 2 defeats), scoring 4 and conceding 5. Laval have won just one of their last 5 matches (1 draw, 3 defeats), scoring 6 and conceding 10. Both sides come in with similar form. On average PAU score 0.80 and concede 1.00 goals per game; Laval score 1.20 and concede 2.00. In the table, PAU sit 10th with 8 points from 7 games, Laval 18th with 5 points from 7. 8 places separate the two sides.
In the last 5 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 3 wins for PAU, 1 for Laval and 1 draw. The most recent ended Laval 0-1 PAU (Jan 30, 2026). In double chance terms, "PAU or draw" stands at 85%, "Laval or draw" at 36% and "no draw" at 79%.
In short : Our model backs PAU to edge Laval (64% probability). In the table, PAU (10th, 8 pts) host Laval (18th, 5 pts). Both teams could find the net (BTTS at 49%).
Outcome probabilities (1X2)
Double chance
Most likely correct scores
Scores shown as PAU – Laval. 1-0 is the single most likely scoreline (11.8%); the 5 scores below add up to 51% of all outcomes, which is why an exact score remains hard to call.
| Score | Probability |
|---|---|
| PAU 1-0 Laval | 11.8% |
| PAU 2-0 Laval | 11.8% |
| PAU 1-1 Laval | 9.8% |
| PAU 2-1 Laval | 9.8% |
| PAU 3-0 Laval | 7.9% |
Goals: both teams to score, over/under
With 2.00 expected goals for PAU and 0.83 for Laval, "over 2.5 goals" is rated at 54% and "both teams to score" at 49%. PAU keep a clean sheet in 44% of scenarios, Laval in 14%.
| Probability | |
|---|---|
| PAU expected goals | 2.00 |
| Laval expected goals | 0.83 |
| Both teams to score | 49% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 77% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 54% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 32% |
| PAU clean sheet | 44% |
| Laval clean sheet | 14% |
Recent form
Latest matches in all competitions, at the time of the prediction.
PAU
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 11, 2026 | Montpellier · Ligue 2 | 0-1 | L |
| Sep 4, 2026 | Sochaux · Ligue 2 | 1-1 | D |
| Aug 28, 2026 | Rodez · Ligue 2 | 2-2 | D |
| Aug 21, 2026 | Nancy · Ligue 2 | 0-1 | L |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Dijon · Ligue 2 | 1-0 | W |
Laval
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 11, 2026 | Dijon · Ligue 2 | 2-3 | L |
| Sep 4, 2026 | RED Star FC 93 · Ligue 2 | 1-2 | L |
| Aug 28, 2026 | Grenoble · Ligue 2 | 0-3 | L |
| Aug 22, 2026 | Metz · Ligue 2 | 1-1 | D |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Nantes · Ligue 2 | 2-1 | W |
Standings before the match
| Pos. | Points | Played | |
|---|---|---|---|
| PAU | 10 | 8 | 7 |
| Laval | 18 | 5 | 7 |
Head-to-head
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 30, 2026 | Laval 0-1 PAU | Ligue 2 |
| Sep 23, 2025 | PAU 1-0 Laval | Ligue 2 |
| Jan 31, 2025 | PAU 1-1 Laval | Ligue 2 |
| Sep 27, 2024 | Laval 3-1 PAU | Ligue 2 |
| Apr 20, 2024 | PAU 3-0 Laval | Ligue 2 |
Out and doubtful
PAU
No absences reported.
Laval
No absences reported.
Most regular starters
PAU
Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).
- B. Maubleu5/5
- J. Benet5/5
- T. Pouilly5/5
- A. Dodote4/5
- B. Leye4/5
- C. Fall4/5
- G. Paquiez4/5
- H. Benali4/5
- L. Rajot4/5
- A. Abdallah3/5
- A. Bamba3/5
Laval
Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).
- C. Mandouki5/5
- J. Gaudin5/5
- M. Samassa5/5
- S. Sanna5/5
- W. Bianda5/5
- A. Lo4/5
- E. Mouton4/5
- M. Houdayer4/5
- J. Maggiotti3/5
- T. Dago3/5
- E. Clavreul2/5
First detailed prediction free, no card required.
See the full prediction (scenario, scorers, half-time)Other matches in this competition
- Dunkerque – AnnecyOct 9, 2026
- Montpellier – GrenobleOct 9, 2026
- Nancy – GuingampOct 9, 2026
- Sochaux – BoulogneOct 9, 2026
- Clermont Foot – RED Star FC 93Oct 10, 2026
- Nantes – ReimsOct 10, 2026
- Saint Etienne – RodezOct 10, 2026
Frequently asked questions
What is the PAU vs Laval prediction?
Our AI gives PAU a 64% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Laval 15%. PAU are therefore favourites.
What is the most likely correct score for PAU vs Laval?
1-0 (11.8%), followed by 2-0 (11.8%), 1-1 (9.8%), 2-1 (9.8%) and 3-0 (7.9%).
Will both teams score in PAU vs Laval?
The probability that both PAU and Laval score is 49%. PAU have a 44% chance of keeping a clean sheet, Laval 14%.
How many goals should we expect in PAU vs Laval?
The model expects 2.83 goals (2.00 for PAU, 0.83 for Laval). Probabilities: over 1.5 goals 77%, over 2.5 goals 54%, over 3.5 goals 32%.
When and where is PAU vs Laval played?
Friday, October 9, 2026 at 19:00 (UK time), Ligue 2, matchday 8. Venue: Nouste Camp, Pau.
What form are PAU and Laval in?
PAU: 1 win, 2 draws and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches (4 scored, 5 conceded). Laval: 1 win, 1 draw and 3 defeats in their last 5 matches (6 scored, 10 conceded).
What is the head-to-head record between PAU and Laval?
In the last 5 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 3 wins for PAU, 1 for Laval and 1 draw. The most recent ended Laval 0-1 PAU (Jan 30, 2026).
How is the PAU vs Laval prediction calculated?
The model estimates each team's expected goals (2.00 for PAU, 0.83 for Laval) from recent form, xG and standings, then applies a Poisson distribution: every possible score gets a probability, from which the 1X2, correct score, both teams to score and total goals are derived. Every figure is calculated, none is made up.