Ligue 2· Kick-off : Friday, October 9, 2026, 19:00 (UK time)
Nancy vs Guingamp prediction: correct score and AI tips
Match analysis
Ligue 2, matchday 8: Nancy vs Guingamp kicks off on Friday, October 9, 2026 at 19:00 (UK time). Venue: Stade Marcel Picot, Nancy. With a 61% win probability, Nancy go in as strong favourites against Guingamp (17%), with the draw rated at 22%. The most likely correct score is 1-0 (11.8%), ahead of 2-0 (11.2%) and 1-1 (10.4%).
Over their last 5 matches, Nancy have 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 defeats, scoring 8 and conceding 6. Guingamp have won just one of their last 5 matches (2 draws, 2 defeats), scoring 8 and conceding 10. Recent momentum is clearly with Nancy. On average Nancy score 1.60 and concede 1.20 goals per game; Guingamp score 1.60 and concede 2.00. In the table, Nancy sit 6th with 10 points from 7 games, Guingamp 11th with 8 points from 7. The two teams are close in the standings.
In the last 5 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 1 win for Nancy, 2 for Guingamp and 2 draws. The most recent ended Nancy 0-3 Guingamp (Jan 19, 2026). In double chance terms, "Nancy or draw" stands at 83%, "Guingamp or draw" at 39% and "no draw" at 78%.
In short : Nancy are tipped by our AI model in this Nancy v Guingamp (61%). On recent form, Nancy have 3 wins, 0 draw and 2 losses in 5 while Guingamp have 1 win, 2 draws and 2 losses in 5. Our model's most likely scoreline: 1-0.
Outcome probabilities (1X2)
Double chance
Most likely correct scores
Scores shown as Nancy – Guingamp. 1-0 is the single most likely scoreline (11.8%); the 5 scores below add up to 50% of all outcomes, which is why an exact score remains hard to call.
| Score | Probability |
|---|---|
| Nancy 1-0 Guingamp | 11.8% |
| Nancy 2-0 Guingamp | 11.2% |
| Nancy 1-1 Guingamp | 10.4% |
| Nancy 2-1 Guingamp | 9.8% |
| Nancy 3-0 Guingamp | 7.1% |
Goals: both teams to score, over/under
The model expects 2.77 goals in total (1.89 for Nancy, 0.88 for Guingamp): over 2.5 goals has a 52% probability and both teams to score 50%. Nancy keep a clean sheet in 42% of scenarios, Guingamp in 15%.
| Probability | |
|---|---|
| Nancy expected goals | 1.89 |
| Guingamp expected goals | 0.88 |
| Both teams to score | 50% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 76% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 52% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 30% |
| Nancy clean sheet | 42% |
| Guingamp clean sheet | 15% |
Recent form
Latest matches in all competitions, at the time of the prediction.
Nancy
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 18, 2026 | Rodez · Ligue 2 | 4-3 | W |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Reims · Ligue 2 | 1-2 | L |
| Sep 7, 2026 | Nantes · Ligue 2 | 0-1 | L |
| Aug 28, 2026 | Dunkerque · Ligue 2 | 2-0 | W |
| Aug 21, 2026 | PAU · Ligue 2 | 1-0 | W |
Guingamp
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 19, 2026 | RED Star FC 93 · Ligue 2 | 1-3 | L |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Annecy · Ligue 2 | 2-1 | W |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Reims · Ligue 2 | 2-2 | D |
| Aug 29, 2026 | Nantes · Ligue 2 | 3-3 | D |
| Aug 21, 2026 | Sochaux · Ligue 2 | 0-1 | L |
Standings before the match
| Pos. | Points | Played | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nancy | 6 | 10 | 7 |
| Guingamp | 11 | 8 | 7 |
Head-to-head
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 19, 2026 | Nancy 0-3 Guingamp | Ligue 2 |
| Oct 3, 2025 | Guingamp 2-2 Nancy | Ligue 2 |
| Mar 19, 2022 | Guingamp 3-1 Nancy | Ligue 2 |
| Oct 16, 2021 | Nancy 2-1 Guingamp | Ligue 2 |
| Jul 17, 2021 | Nancy 2-2 Guingamp | Club Friendlies |
Out and doubtful
Nancy
No absences reported.
Guingamp
No absences reported.
Most regular starters
Nancy
Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).
- E. Basilio5/5
- E. Tacafred5/5
- I. Housni5/5
- K. Kebe5/5
- W. Bouabdelli5/5
- Y. Nahounou5/5
- E. Mendy4/5
- N. Kandil4/5
- N. Fernandez-Veliz3/5
- Z. Fdaouch3/5
- El Hadari2/5
Guingamp
Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).
- D. Gomis5/5
- D. Louiserre5/5
- T. Averlant5/5
- A. Demouchy4/5
- E. Koffi4/5
- S. Ben Brahim4/5
- S. Kielt4/5
- T. Ahile4/5
- T. Ducrocq4/5
- A. Ortola3/5
- T. Ollila3/5
First detailed prediction free, no card required.
See the full prediction (scenario, scorers, half-time)Other matches in this competition
- Dunkerque – AnnecyOct 9, 2026
- Montpellier – GrenobleOct 9, 2026
- PAU – LavalOct 9, 2026
- Sochaux – BoulogneOct 9, 2026
- Clermont Foot – RED Star FC 93Oct 10, 2026
- Nantes – ReimsOct 10, 2026
Frequently asked questions
What is the Nancy vs Guingamp prediction?
Our AI gives Nancy a 61% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Guingamp 17%. Nancy are therefore favourites.
What is the most likely correct score for Nancy vs Guingamp?
1-0 (11.8%), followed by 2-0 (11.2%), 1-1 (10.4%), 2-1 (9.8%) and 3-0 (7.1%).
Will both teams score in Nancy vs Guingamp?
The probability that both Nancy and Guingamp score is 50%. Nancy have a 42% chance of keeping a clean sheet, Guingamp 15%.
How many goals should we expect in Nancy vs Guingamp?
The model expects 2.77 goals (1.89 for Nancy, 0.88 for Guingamp). Probabilities: over 1.5 goals 76%, over 2.5 goals 52%, over 3.5 goals 30%.
When and where is Nancy vs Guingamp played?
Friday, October 9, 2026 at 19:00 (UK time), Ligue 2, matchday 8. Venue: Stade Marcel Picot, Nancy.
What form are Nancy and Guingamp in?
Nancy: 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches (8 scored, 6 conceded). Guingamp: 1 win, 2 draws and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches (8 scored, 10 conceded).
What is the head-to-head record between Nancy and Guingamp?
In the last 5 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 1 win for Nancy, 2 for Guingamp and 2 draws. The most recent ended Nancy 0-3 Guingamp (Jan 19, 2026).
How is the Nancy vs Guingamp prediction calculated?
The model estimates each team's expected goals (1.89 for Nancy, 0.88 for Guingamp) from recent form, xG and standings, then applies a Poisson distribution: every possible score gets a probability, from which the 1X2, correct score, both teams to score and total goals are derived. Every figure is calculated, none is made up.