Ligue 2· Kick-off : Friday, October 9, 2026, 19:00 (UK time)
Nancy vs Guingamp: 1-0 result and AI prediction review
Review: prediction vs result
Final score: Nancy 1-0 Guingamp. The 1X2 prediction came good: victory for Nancy was the model's favourite outcome (48%). The final score ranked 2nd among the most likely scorelines (11.4%), behind 1-1. On goals, the model expected both teams to score (51%): missed; it pointed to under 2.5 goals (48%): correct.
Match analysis
Nancy vs Guingamp was played on Friday, October 9, 2026 (Ligue 2, matchday 8). Venue: Stade Marcel-Picot, Nancy. Before kick-off, our model gave Nancy a 48% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Guingamp 27%. The most likely correct score is 1-1 (12.2%), ahead of 1-0 (11.4%) and 2-1 (9.3%).
Over their last 5 matches, Nancy have 2 wins, 0 draws and 3 defeats, scoring 8 and conceding 8. Over their last 5 matches, Guingamp have 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat, scoring 10 and conceding 10. On recent form, there is little to separate the two teams. On average Nancy score 1.60 and concede 1.60 goals per game; Guingamp score 2.00 and concede 2.00. In the table, Nancy sit 6th with 10 points from 7 games, Guingamp 11th with 8 points from 7. The two teams are close in the standings.
In the last 5 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 1 win for Nancy, 2 for Guingamp and 2 draws. The most recent ended Nancy 0-3 Guingamp (Jan 19, 2026). In double chance terms, "Nancy or draw" stands at 73%, "Guingamp or draw" at 53% and "no draw" at 74%.
In short : Nancy are tipped by our AI model in this Nancy v Guingamp (48%). On recent form, Nancy have 2 wins, 0 draw and 3 losses in 5 while Guingamp have 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss in 5. Our model's most likely scoreline: 1-1.
Outcome probabilities (1X2)
Double chance
Most likely correct scores
Scores shown as Nancy – Guingamp. 1-1 is the single most likely scoreline (12.2%); the 5 scores below add up to 50% of all outcomes, which is why an exact score remains hard to call.
| Score | Probability |
|---|---|
| Nancy 1-1 Guingamp | 12.2% |
| Nancy 1-0 Guingamp | 11.4% |
| Nancy 2-1 Guingamp | 9.3% |
| Nancy 2-0 Guingamp | 8.7% |
| Nancy 0-1 Guingamp | 8.0% |
Goals: both teams to score, over/under
The model expects 2.59 goals in total (1.52 for Nancy, 1.07 for Guingamp): over 2.5 goals has a 48% probability and both teams to score 51%. Nancy keep a clean sheet in 34% of scenarios, Guingamp in 22%.
| Probability | |
|---|---|
| Nancy expected goals | 1.52 |
| Guingamp expected goals | 1.07 |
| Both teams to score | 51% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 73% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 48% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 26% |
| Nancy clean sheet | 34% |
| Guingamp clean sheet | 22% |
Recent form
Latest matches in all competitions, at the time of the prediction.
Nancy
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 2, 2026 | FC Saarbrücken · Club Friendlies | 1-2 | L |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Rodez · Ligue 2 | 4-3 | W |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Reims · Ligue 2 | 1-2 | L |
| Sep 7, 2026 | Nantes · Ligue 2 | 0-1 | L |
| Aug 28, 2026 | Dunkerque · Ligue 2 | 2-0 | W |
Guingamp
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 2, 2026 | Le Mans · Club Friendlies | 2-1 | W |
| Sep 19, 2026 | RED Star FC 93 · Ligue 2 | 1-3 | L |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Annecy · Ligue 2 | 2-1 | W |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Reims · Ligue 2 | 2-2 | D |
| Aug 29, 2026 | Nantes · Ligue 2 | 3-3 | D |
Standings before the match
| Pos. | Points | Played | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nancy | 6 | 10 | 7 |
| Guingamp | 11 | 8 | 7 |
Head-to-head
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 19, 2026 | Nancy 0-3 Guingamp | Ligue 2 |
| Oct 3, 2025 | Guingamp 2-2 Nancy | Ligue 2 |
| Mar 19, 2022 | Guingamp 3-1 Nancy | Ligue 2 |
| Oct 16, 2021 | Nancy 2-1 Guingamp | Ligue 2 |
| Jul 17, 2021 | Nancy 2-2 Guingamp | Club Friendlies |
Out and doubtful
Nancy
No absences reported.
Guingamp
No absences reported.
Most regular starters
Nancy
Starts over the last 4 matches (official line-ups).
- E. Basilio4/4
- E. Tacafred4/4
- I. Housni4/4
- K. Kebe4/4
- W. Bouabdelli4/4
- Y. Nahounou4/4
- E. Mendy3/4
- N. Fernandez-Veliz3/4
- N. Kandil3/4
- El Hadari2/4
- P. Meïssa Ba2/4
Guingamp
Starts over the last 4 matches (official line-ups).
- D. Gomis4/4
- D. Louiserre4/4
- S. Ben Brahim4/4
- T. Ahile4/4
- T. Averlant4/4
- A. Demouchy3/4
- E. Koffi3/4
- S. Kielt3/4
- T. Ducrocq3/4
- T. Ollila3/4
- A. Ortola2/4
Other matches in this competition
- Dunkerque 0-1 AnnecyOct 9, 2026
- Montpellier 2-0 GrenobleOct 9, 2026
- PAU 3-2 LavalOct 9, 2026
- Sochaux 1-1 BoulogneOct 9, 2026
- Clermont Foot 2-3 RED Star FC 93Oct 10, 2026
- Nantes 0-0 ReimsOct 10, 2026
- Saint Etienne 2-0 RodezOct 10, 2026
- Dijon 4-2 MetzOct 12, 2026
Frequently asked questions
What is the Nancy vs Guingamp prediction?
Before the match, our AI gave Nancy a 48% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Guingamp 27%. Nancy are therefore favourites. Final score: 1-0.
What is the most likely correct score for Nancy vs Guingamp?
1-1 (12.2%), followed by 1-0 (11.4%), 2-1 (9.3%), 2-0 (8.7%) and 0-1 (8.0%).
Will both teams score in Nancy vs Guingamp?
The probability that both Nancy and Guingamp score is 51%. Nancy have a 34% chance of keeping a clean sheet, Guingamp 22%.
How many goals should we expect in Nancy vs Guingamp?
The model expects 2.59 goals (1.52 for Nancy, 1.07 for Guingamp). Probabilities: over 1.5 goals 73%, over 2.5 goals 48%, over 3.5 goals 26%.
When and where is Nancy vs Guingamp played?
Friday, October 9, 2026 at 19:00 (UK time), Ligue 2, matchday 8. Venue: Stade Marcel-Picot, Nancy.
What form are Nancy and Guingamp in?
Nancy: 2 wins, 0 draws and 3 defeats in their last 5 matches (8 scored, 8 conceded). Guingamp: 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches (10 scored, 10 conceded).
What is the head-to-head record between Nancy and Guingamp?
In the last 5 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 1 win for Nancy, 2 for Guingamp and 2 draws. The most recent ended Nancy 0-3 Guingamp (Jan 19, 2026).
What was the Nancy vs Guingamp result, and was the prediction right?
Final score: Nancy 1-0 Guingamp. The 1X2 prediction came good: victory for Nancy was the model's favourite outcome (48%). The final score ranked 2nd among the most likely scorelines (11.4%), behind 1-1. On goals, the model expected both teams to score (51%): missed; it pointed to under 2.5 goals (48%): correct.
How is the Nancy vs Guingamp prediction calculated?
The model estimates each team's expected goals (1.52 for Nancy, 1.07 for Guingamp) from recent form, xG and standings, then applies a Poisson distribution: every possible score gets a probability, from which the 1X2, correct score, both teams to score and total goals are derived. Every figure is calculated, none is made up.