Ligue 2· Kick-off : Saturday, October 10, 2026, 19:00 (UK time)
Saint Etienne vs Rodez prediction: correct score and AI tips
Match analysis
Ligue 2, matchday 8: the Saint Etienne vs Rodez match is scheduled on Saturday, October 10, 2026 at 19:00 (UK time). Venue: Stade Geoffroy-Guichard. Our model makes Saint Etienne clear favourites: a 80% chance of winning, against 13% for the draw and 7% for Rodez. On the correct score, 2-0 comes out on top (13.2%), followed by 3-0 (11.7%) and 1-0 (9.9%).
Over their last 5 matches, Saint Etienne have 4 wins, 0 draws and 1 defeat, scoring 14 and conceding 6. Rodez have won just one of their last 5 matches (1 draw, 3 defeats), scoring 8 and conceding 11. Saint Etienne therefore arrive in far better shape than Rodez. On average Saint Etienne score 2.80 and concede 1.20 goals per game; Rodez score 1.60 and concede 2.20. In the table, Saint Etienne sit 1st with 16 points from 7 games, Rodez 14th with 7 points from 7. 13 places separate the two sides.
In the last 3 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 1 win for Saint Etienne, 1 for Rodez and 1 draw. The most recent ended Saint Etienne 0-0 Rodez (May 15, 2026). In double chance terms, "Saint Etienne or draw" stands at 93%, "Rodez or draw" at 20% and "no draw" at 87%.
In short : Saint Etienne are favourites for this Saint Etienne v Rodez, with a 80% win probability from our model. On recent form, Saint Etienne are in good shape (4 wins in 5) while Rodez have 1 win, 1 draw and 3 losses in 5. Our model's most likely scoreline: 2-0.
Outcome probabilities (1X2)
Double chance
Most likely correct scores
Scores shown as Saint Etienne – Rodez. 2-0 is the single most likely scoreline (13.2%); the 5 scores below add up to 51% of all outcomes, which is why an exact score remains hard to call.
| Score | Probability |
|---|---|
| Saint Etienne 2-0 Rodez | 13.2% |
| Saint Etienne 3-0 Rodez | 11.7% |
| Saint Etienne 1-0 Rodez | 9.9% |
| Saint Etienne 2-1 Rodez | 8.3% |
| Saint Etienne 4-0 Rodez | 7.8% |
Goals: both teams to score, over/under
With 2.66 expected goals for Saint Etienne and 0.63 for Rodez, "over 2.5 goals" is rated at 64% and "both teams to score" at 44%. Goals look likely in this one. Saint Etienne keep a clean sheet in 53% of scenarios, Rodez in 7%.
| Probability | |
|---|---|
| Saint Etienne expected goals | 2.66 |
| Rodez expected goals | 0.63 |
| Both teams to score | 44% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 84% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 64% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 42% |
| Saint Etienne clean sheet | 53% |
| Rodez clean sheet | 7% |
Recent form
Latest matches in all competitions, at the time of the prediction.
Saint Etienne
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 12, 2026 | Dunkerque · Ligue 2 | 1-2 | L |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Montpellier · Ligue 2 | 3-1 | W |
| Aug 31, 2026 | Dijon · Ligue 2 | 3-2 | W |
| Aug 22, 2026 | Grenoble · Ligue 2 | 4-0 | W |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Clermont Foot · Ligue 2 | 3-1 | W |
Rodez
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 11, 2026 | Grenoble · Ligue 2 | 0-1 | L |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Metz · Ligue 2 | 1-4 | L |
| Aug 28, 2026 | PAU · Ligue 2 | 2-2 | D |
| Aug 22, 2026 | Nantes · Ligue 2 | 5-2 | W |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Annecy · Ligue 2 | 0-2 | L |
Standings before the match
| Pos. | Points | Played | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Saint Etienne | 1 | 16 | 7 |
| Rodez | 14 | 7 | 7 |
Head-to-head
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 15, 2026 | Saint Etienne 0-0 Rodez | Ligue 1 |
| May 2, 2026 | Rodez 2-1 Saint Etienne | Ligue 2 |
| Aug 16, 2025 | Saint Etienne 4-0 Rodez | Ligue 2 |
Out and doubtful
Saint Etienne
No absences reported.
Rodez
No absences reported.
Most regular starters
Saint Etienne
Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).
- A. Boakye5/5
- G. Larsonneur5/5
- I. Cardona5/5
- J. Le Cardinal5/5
- K. Pedro5/5
- M. Bernauer5/5
- S. Nair5/5
- T. Ballo5/5
- A. Csongvai4/5
- T. Svetlin4/5
- Z. Davitashvili3/5
Rodez
Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).
- J. Mendes5/5
- L. Margueron5/5
- M. Magnin5/5
- R. Lipinski5/5
- C. Issanchou4/5
- L. Laurent4/5
- M. Touho4/5
- A. Cartillier3/5
- D. Pavlovic3/5
- I. Balde3/5
- R. Ponti3/5
First detailed prediction free, no card required.
See the full prediction (scenario, scorers, half-time)Other matches in this competition
- Dunkerque – AnnecyOct 9, 2026
- Montpellier – GrenobleOct 9, 2026
- PAU – LavalOct 9, 2026
- Nancy – GuingampOct 9, 2026
- Sochaux – BoulogneOct 9, 2026
- Clermont Foot – RED Star FC 93Oct 10, 2026
- Nantes – ReimsOct 10, 2026
Frequently asked questions
What is the Saint Etienne vs Rodez prediction?
Our AI gives Saint Etienne a 80% chance of winning, the draw 13% and Rodez 7%. Saint Etienne are therefore favourites.
What is the most likely correct score for Saint Etienne vs Rodez?
2-0 (13.2%), followed by 3-0 (11.7%), 1-0 (9.9%), 2-1 (8.3%) and 4-0 (7.8%).
Will both teams score in Saint Etienne vs Rodez?
The probability that both Saint Etienne and Rodez score is 44%. Saint Etienne have a 53% chance of keeping a clean sheet, Rodez 7%.
How many goals should we expect in Saint Etienne vs Rodez?
The model expects 3.29 goals (2.66 for Saint Etienne, 0.63 for Rodez). Probabilities: over 1.5 goals 84%, over 2.5 goals 64%, over 3.5 goals 42%.
When and where is Saint Etienne vs Rodez played?
Saturday, October 10, 2026 at 19:00 (UK time), Ligue 2, matchday 8. Venue: Stade Geoffroy-Guichard.
What form are Saint Etienne and Rodez in?
Saint Etienne: 4 wins, 0 draws and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches (14 scored, 6 conceded). Rodez: 1 win, 1 draw and 3 defeats in their last 5 matches (8 scored, 11 conceded).
What is the head-to-head record between Saint Etienne and Rodez?
In the last 3 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 1 win for Saint Etienne, 1 for Rodez and 1 draw. The most recent ended Saint Etienne 0-0 Rodez (May 15, 2026).
How is the Saint Etienne vs Rodez prediction calculated?
The model estimates each team's expected goals (2.66 for Saint Etienne, 0.63 for Rodez) from recent form, xG and standings, then applies a Poisson distribution: every possible score gets a probability, from which the 1X2, correct score, both teams to score and total goals are derived. Every figure is calculated, none is made up.
Go further
- All Saint Etienne predictions
- All Rodez predictions
- Ligue 2 predictions
- Today’s predictions
- Our methodology